Local political polarization is rising sharply ahead of the midterms, survey finds

Read the original at NBC News ↗
NBC News · collected 2026-10-06 · by Megan Brand

Quick Summary

A new survey by CivicPulse reveals a significant increase in political polarization among local officials across the United States ahead of the midterm elections. Conducted over the summer and shared first with NBC News, the survey found that 41% of local officials reported substantial negative effects from polarization, marking a 10-point rise compared to previous surveys. The cost of living emerged as one of the most polarizing issues both nationally and locally, alongside immigration, election administration, foreign affairs, taxes, and housing.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-06, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

Ahead of the midterms, a CivicPulse survey reveals a sharp rise in political polarization among local communities across the U.S., impacting governance and civic engagement. The survey, conducted over the summer by CivicPulse, found that 41% of local officials reported substantial negative effects from increasing polarization, marking a 10-point increase compared to previous surveys. This trend is particularly pronounced in larger towns, with 49% reporting more polarization than smaller communities at 39%. Cost-of-living issues are cited as major drivers due to the direct impact of property taxes, utility charges, and housing decisions on residents' budgets. Local officials also noted tensions arising from national issues beyond their control, such as immigration arrests causing community-wide unrest.

Written for “Political Polarization Ahead Midterms” on 2026-10-06, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Leans left (beta estimate) Confidence high
Leaning: leans left for article 59639 (high confidence, 4 verified quotes) · logged 2026-10-06

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
63
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
2%
1 of 63 hedged
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Correction & hedging signals
95.2
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-10-06 · how these are computed

Story

📰 Political Polarization Ahead Midterms
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans left and hedges 2% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
NBC News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 4% hedged 3 of 85 📰 publisher trust 95
“The articles describe different aspects related to political views ahead of an election, but do not report on the same specific incident.”
New York Post
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 10% hedged 2 of 20 📰 publisher trust 64
“The articles describe different events: one focuses on a survey showing Republicans' advantage on affordability issues, while the other reports on rising political polarization among local officials.”
Toronto Star
⚖️ Leans right further right than this 🔴 38% hedged 18 of 48 📰 publisher trust 63
“The articles discuss different aspects of political climate ahead of elections, rather than the same specific incident.”
NBC News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 no claims extracted 📰 publisher trust 95
“Both articles discuss political polarization among local officials but do not report on a single, specific incident or occurrence.”

Publisher

NBC News · 1022 article(s) · 0 correction(s) detected
No corrections detected for this publisher. That may mean careful reporting, or simply that nothing has been checked.

Who wrote this

Megan Brand
7 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Describing how national issues are affecting local politics, she said, “Some Democrats will not accept an idea if it’s a Republican that’s proposing it, even if it’s fundamentally a Democrat idea that they’re trying to push, and then that’s where the division starts.”
🔮 “My plans right now are to run for re-election, but as I’ve said before, if I don’t think I can be effective in the Senate anymore, I would consider it,” he said.
🔮 President Donald Trump said in a Sunday Truth Social post that he would convert plans for the D.C.-area “Triumphal Arch” to “a top grade Military Complex/Triumphal Arch” at the request of the U.S. military for national security purposes.
🔮 At the time of the program’s announcement, then-White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said that if federal workers “don’t want to work in the office and contribute to making America great again, then they are free to choose a different line of work, and the Trump Administration will provide a very generous payout of 8 months.” During Trump’s second term, the federal workforce has lost more than 271,000 employees as of July, according to data published by OPM.
🔮 Rep. Jamie Raskin, D-Md., told NBC’s “Meet the Press” on Sunday that President Donald Trump has “undoubtedly” committed impeachable offenses but that Democrats would also focus on issues like healthcare if they win back the House.
🔮 “Harriet has ALWAYS delivered for Wyoming, and will continue to do so in the United States Senate.”
Also by Megan Brand
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 7 articles by Megan Brand →

Topics

Andrew Carnegie Foundation City Council CivicPulse NBC News Republican

Subjects

CivicPulse ORG · 2× NBC News ORG · 2× Ramirez PERSON · 2× Republican NORP · 2× Andrew Carnegie Foundation ORG · 1× April Ramirez PERSON · 1× City Council ORG · 1× James Kvaal PERSON · 1× Kvaal PERSON · 1× Nathan Lee PERSON · 1×

Narrative

“The national level stuff is just frightening and scary, and you feel very helpless — I do, and I think a lot of other people,” she said, citing things like Trump’s efforts to dismantle the Department of Education. Cost-of-living issues are prominent sources of polarization at the local level in part because local governments have authority over things that affect household budgets, like property tax rates, utility charges and housing construction decisions, CivicPulse said.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-06
🔮 Describing how national issues are affecting local politics, she said, “Some Democrats will not accept an idea if it’s a Republican that’s proposing it, even if it’s fundamentally a Democrat idea that they’re trying to push, and then that’s where the division starts.”

Claims (63 extracted, 1 hedged)

Local officials from around the country are reporting a spike in political polarization within their communities in the months leading up to the midterm elections, with the high cost of living a top driver, a new survey shared first with NBC News has found. asserted
survey → report → News
The results of the survey, conducted over the summer by the nonprofit research firm CivicPulse, show that 41% of local officials reported “substantial negative effects” of polarization, about a 10-point spike from the organization’s three previous surveys. asserted
% → conduct → surveys
The reported polarization differed depending on the size of the community. asserted
polarization → report → community
Forty-nine percent of local officials in towns with more than 50,000 residents reported more polarization, compared to 39% of local officials in smaller communities. asserted
percent → report → communities
In interviews with NBC News, survey participants provided examples of the kind of tensions they’re seeing. asserted
they → provide → tensions
One described residents venting their frustrations at local officials over national issues like rising gas prices that are out of their control. asserted
that → describe → control
Another recalled how an immigration arrest sent shock waves through the community, leading to protests and clashes with federal authorities. asserted
arrest → recall → authorities
A third local official even considered giving up her position over the hostility she has faced doing her job. asserted
she → consider → job
Still, the survey found that local officials believe political polarization is far worse at the national level, with 91% of participants saying it is “substantially” hurting the country. asserted
it → find → country
Both nationally and locally, the cost of living was considered one of the most polarizing issues. asserted
cost → consider → issues
Immigration, election administration and foreign affairs were also among the top drivers nationally, while taxes and housing were high on the list locally, with immigration behind those, but becoming more polarizing as the midterms approach, they said. asserted
they → become → those
Nathan Lee, CivicPulse’s managing director, said most local governments seem “to be functioning quite a bit more harmoniously and less divisively” than what officials perceive is happening at the national level, but the survey indicates that “that good news is starting to be compromised.” asserted
news → say → level
‘It’s gotten worse’ James Kvaal, an executive at the Andrew Carnegie Foundation, which commissioned the survey, said political conflict over controversial national issues is increasingly being felt at the local level. asserted
conflict → get → level
“Some of the rhetoric that’s used in the national debate is now being used locally as well, and I think that is in part due to the heat of the midterms that is bringing greater attention to debates that are dividing our country,” Kvaal said. asserted
Kvaal → use → country
For April Ramirez, a City Council member in Twentynine Palms, California, the political polarization has grown so “severe” that she considered giving up her seat. asserted
she → grow → seat
Describing how national issues are affecting local politics, she said, “Some Democrats will not accept an idea if it’s a Republican that’s proposing it, even if it’s fundamentally a Democrat idea that they’re trying to push, and then that’s where the division starts.” asserted
division → describe → that
Ramirez, a Republican who says she holds some liberal-leaning views, recalled being yelled at and called a “f---ing MAGA b----” for her position supporting a controversial solar development project that she said would have spurred investment in the area but faced opposition from environmentalists. asserted
she → say → environmentalists
Another time, she said, she was stalked while pursuing a community grant that would have funded things like emergency and homeless services through a church-affiliated nonprofit. asserted
that → say → nonprofit
Instead, some residents accused her of trying to put money toward upgrading the church. asserted
residents → accuse → church
“That’s when it got really bad, like to the point of threats, to the point of like, ‘Let’s just run her out of this town,’” Ramirez said. asserted
Ramirez → ’ → town
The Keller Independent School District in Tarrant County, Texas, has seen its share of political polarization over the years. asserted
District → see → years
The district became a target of the conservative cellphone company Patriot Mobile after it created a political action committee and spent hundreds of thousands of dollars on school board races in the state in 2022. asserted
it → become → 2022
Company president Glenn Story touted the results to former Donald Trump aide Steve Bannon, who a year earlier had exhorted conservatives to win seats on school boards to “save the nation.” asserted
who → tout → nation
Speaking to Bannon at the 2022 Conservative Political Action Conference, Story bragged that his group “took over” four of the state’s school boards. asserted
group → speak → boards
Tensions in the district had escalated over things like book bans, school board trustee Randy Campbell said. asserted
Campbell → escalate → bans
“Anything that would be nontraditional for quote, unquote, ‘Christian values,’ they would try to have pulled off the shelves, and they did so,” he said, referring to materials that some in the community had targeted over what they said were diversity or LGBTQ themes. asserted
they → try → community
Campbell, a Democrat, said the culture war issues exemplified “the local impact of Project 2025” in his community, referring to the conservative blueprint for a Republican agenda ahead of the 2024 elections. asserted
issues → say → elections
Then, last year, the district was nearly split up in a proposal that was pitched as a way to resolve financial problems. asserted
that → split → problems
Campbell, who opposed the proposal, said the issue was one reason he decided to run for his school board position, explaining that the division “would have been very much on racial and economic lines.” asserted
division → oppose → lines
“A lot of people have been trying to sew the parts back together, but there’s a lot of resentment on both sides about that failed detachment,” he said. asserted
he → try → detachment
In Biscoe, North Carolina, Mayor Grant Hinson said political polarization in his community has worsened during Trump’s second term. A registered Democrat, Hinson said some community members are increasingly hostile to city leaders because of their frustrations related to national politics — a theme highlighted in the CivicPulse survey findings. asserted
members → say → findings
Pointing to concerns over things like rising gas prices, he added that residents aim their criticisms at local officials “when we have nothing to do with prices of fuel or diesel.” asserted
we → point → fuel
“I’m like, ‘Listen, I understand that you’re super upset and hyperfocused on the national level, but I’m not,’” he said. asserted
he → ’m → level
“I’m worried about making sure your water lines are not exploding underneath your house right now. asserted
lines → ’m → house
“I’ve been elected for four years,” Hinson added later. asserted
Hinson → elect → years
“This is the first time that people have really sort of beat me up with phone calls. asserted
people → beat → calls
I would say in the past six months it’s gotten worse, but it’s election season, so I kind of expected it.” asserted
I → say → it
Julie Checketts, a city council member in Woods Cross, Utah, echoed Hinson’s point that polarization has become worse in the community over the last couple of years. asserted
polarization → echo → years
“I think the current administration that we have has given people permission to be jerks, to be rude to one another, because I think that basic human behavior starts at the top,” Checketts said. asserted
Checketts → think → top
Immigration and cost of living top the list The CivicPulse survey findings noted that 36% of local officials described immigration as “substantially polarizing” in their communities; 44% described it as becoming more so in the run-up to the midterm elections, making it the most rapidly polarizing topic at the local level of the issues asked about in the survey. asserted
it → top → survey
…and 23 more, not listed.
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