The real reason behind St Kilda’s steep asking price for Marshall

Read the original at The Sydney Morning Herald ↗
The Sydney Morning Herald · collected 2026-10-06 · by Michael Gleeson

Quick Summary

St Kilda has set a steep asking price for rower Rowan Marshall, demanding Geelong's first-round draft pick and an additional player in return. This move is strategically linked to St Kilda’s desire to acquire Brisbane’s midcourter Sam Marshall, who was drafted at pick 25 last year. The article highlights the complex negotiations involving multiple clubs, including Geelong and Brisbane, each trying to secure favorable trade deals that align with their specific needs and draft positions.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-06, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

Rowan Marshall, an AFL player for St Kilda, skipped the club's best and fairest night awards in November 2022 due to dissatisfaction over the team signing Tom De Koning instead of him last October. Despite this, Marshall still finished tenth at the awards ceremony he didn't attend. Previously, St Kilda had rejected Geelong’s trade proposals for Marshall but recently set a price for a potential deal involving Geelong's first-round pick. The club's current steep asking price reflects their reluctance to let Marshall go, even as his discontent with the team remains high.

Written for “St Kilda Marshall Asking Price” on 2026-10-06, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
This article does not take a side on a contested political question, so it has no leaning score. That is an answer rather than a gap: a match report or a rescue can be warmly or critically written without being left or right, and scoring it anyway is how approval of a subject gets recorded as a political position.
No political leaning scored for article 59081 · logged 2026-10-06

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
59
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
2%
1 of 59 hedged
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Correction & hedging signals
61.2
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
1
Sports
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-10-06 · how these are computed

Story

📰 St Kilda Marshall Asking Price
Sports · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 2% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Sydney Morning Herald
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 2 📰 publisher trust 61
“Article A reports on Rowan Marshall's absence from St Kilda's end-of-season awards night, while Article B discusses reasons behind Marshall not attending and his ranking at the awards despite his absence.”
The Sydney Morning Herald
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 10% hedged 2 of 21 📰 publisher trust 61
“Article A discusses St Kilda's trade demands for Rowan Marshall, while Article B focuses on Marshall's reasons for not attending his club's awards function and his feelings towards the club.”
The Sydney Morning Herald
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 6 📰 publisher trust 61
“While both articles discuss Rowan Marshall's decision to boycott the St Kilda best and fairest award ceremony, Article B is more interpretive and offers a different perspective on why he decided not to attend, suggesting they are covering related but distinct aspects of the event.”

Publisher

The Sydney Morning Herald · 2497 article(s) · 4 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 4 correction(s)
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Who wrote this

Michael Gleeson
14 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Twelve months ago, St Kilda rejected Geelong’s overtures for Marshall and never stated what would persuade them to change their minds.
🔮 Merrett will move to Hawthorn in exchange for picks 15 and 25 in this year’s draft and a future second-round draft pick.
🔮 The Saints have not nominated a player they would like to pair with the pick for Marshall, having earlier made a failed bid for Lawson Humphries.
🔮 Melbourne veteran Jack Viney will fly to Perth on Tuesday to tour West Coast’s facilities as he plots a move away from the Demons.
🔮 There will be Fremantle fans – and players – who in years to come will hear the first bars of Hells Bells at a party, or walking the aisles of Bunnings, and they will be like the punch drunk boxer who hears a tram’s bell ring and starts shadowboxing.
🔮 The most commonly uttered words in football this week related to Lachie Neale, which is quite a feat given Hawthorn, abuse and umpires would top any Google News search.
🔮 The AFL will confirm the suitable free agency compensation to be received during the trade and free agency period in October.”
2026-09-23 · assertive framing · Swan makes free agency request to join Carlton
🔮 For a man who demanded attention whenever he set foot on the track, it was an irony that his biggest performances were in front of the smallest crowds. “I really wanted to go out on a high note, and after winning the gold medal at the Commonwealth Games in the relay, it was only going to go downhill from there,” Browning said. Rohan Browning career highlights - Commonwealth Games champion (Men’s 4x100m – 2026) - Four-time Australian champion (100m – 2019, 2021, 2023, 2025) - Two-time Olympian (Tokyo 2020, Paris 2024) - Olympic semi-finalist in Tokyo when he ran 10.01-second 100m personal best - 9.41-second Australian 100 yards record (Sydney 2021) “The athlete in me still thinks that I could get back, run personal bests and compete at the highest level, but no athlete is ever going to be truly satisfied.
🔮 Hawthorn is hoping the Suns do not match the contract terms they have offered to the restricted free agent and in so doing would accept the free agency compensation pick for losing him; a pick which currently stands to be selection seven in the national draft.
2026-09-21 · assertive framing · Ben King makes it official: He wants to join Hawthorn
🔮 Neale might be glad of that given his very public personal matters this year.
2026-09-20 · assertive framing · Why Lachie Neale should still play on grand final day
Also by Michael Gleeson
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 14 articles by Michael Gleeson →

Topics

Brisbane Geelong Lions Saints St Kilda

Subjects

Marshall PERSON · 11× Brisbane ORG · 5× Geelong ORG · 5× St Kilda ORG · 5× Lions ORG · 4× Saints ORG · 4× Rowan Marshall PERSON · 3× Cats ORG · 2× Sam Marshall PERSON · 2× Netflix ORG · 1×

Narrative

While he was lying on the couch watching Netflix or cleaning out his sock drawer, or indeed doing anything at all rather than going to his club’s best and fairest night, Rowan Marshall quietly finished 10th at the St Kilda awards function he was not at.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-06
🔮 Twelve months ago, St Kilda rejected Geelong’s overtures for Marshall and never stated what would persuade them to change their minds.
2026-10-06 · The Sydney Morning Herald
The real reason behind St Kilda’s steep asking price for Marshall · assertive framing

Claims (59 extracted, 1 hedged)

While he was lying on the couch watching Netflix or cleaning out his sock drawer, or indeed doing anything at all rather than going to his club’s best and fairest night, Rowan Marshall quietly finished 10th at the St Kilda awards function he was not at. asserted
he → lie → function
Marshall avoided needing to pose for red carpet pics or speak disingenuously of his love and affection for a club he has felt neither from in the past year. asserted
he → avoid → year
(We’re not talking about his teammates, players always love their teammates.) Marshall didn’t want to be at Moorabbin this year after the club brought Tom De Koning in over the top of him last October. asserted
club → talk → him
We were told Marshall was fully on board with having a new stable partner. asserted
Marshall → tell → partner
We now know he wasn’t. asserted
he → know → ?
But then, as now, Marshall had a contract so he sucked it up and played the season. asserted
he → suck → season
Played it well, too, to come tenth in the B&F. Interestingly, TDK was not in the top 10. asserted
TDK → play → top
This trade period Marshall is less inclined to suck it up. asserted
Marshall → suck → it
Twelve months ago, St Kilda rejected Geelong’s overtures for Marshall and never stated what would persuade them to change their minds. asserted
what → reject → minds
This year they have at least put a price on a trade. asserted
they → put → trade
They want Geelong’s first round pick and “a player”. asserted
They → want → pick
OK, it’s an opening gambit, but sheesh, a first rounder and a player? asserted
it → ’ → ?
There is a logic to the ambit bid though, and it’s a logic that that ripples through deals involving Geelong, Carlton, Brisbane and GWS. asserted
that → be → Geelong
St Kilda needs to lose a Marshall to gain a Marshall. asserted
Kilda → need → Marshall
Rowan needs to leave so Sam can come in. asserted
Sam → need → ?
The Saints want midfielder Sam Marshall, the Brisbane academy product who was taken at pick 25 in the 2024 draft. asserted
who → want → draft
The Lions want a similar pick for him now and unfortunately the Saints don’t have one: their first pick is at eight (too much even for a club that gave up pick seven for Sam Flanders 12 months ago) and their next is 49 asserted
next → want → Flanders
Lions list boss Dom Ambrogio said on Monday: “[St Kilda] have got an awareness of what we are looking for, albeit it’s not in their hands at the moment in that they don’t hold the pick in the range we think is appropriate.” asserted
we → say → range
Whether “what we are looking for” and “what is appropriate” are the same thing in any trade is doubtful and normally depends on what colours you wear. asserted
you → look → colours
In this case, what the Lions are looking for and thus what they hope is appropriate for Marshall is a pick in the 20s. asserted
they → look → 20s
So the Saints are trying to find a pick in that range. asserted
Saints → try → range
Losing one Marshall might buy them the draft capital to pass on for the other Marshall. uncertain
Losing → lose → Marshall
The Cats are reluctant to part with their first pick (14) for a 30-year-old ruck, albeit a contracted one. asserted
Cats → part → one
Their next pick, the one they have offered for Rowan Marshall, is currently 34. asserted
they → offer → Marshall
The problem is that the Cats’ pick 34 won’t satisfy Brisbane for Sam Marshall. asserted
pick → satisfy → Marshall
It’s not far off the pick they want. asserted
they → ’ → pick
Thirty-four seems fairly close for a player who played one game this year, is out of contract and has Essendon also keen on him – and thus able to take him for nothing in the pre-season if it came to it. asserted
it → seem → it
But Brisbane want a pick in the 20s because they have a good academy player available (yes, another one. One out, one in). asserted
they → want → player
They need a pick to cover that bid. asserted
They → need → bid
Academy player Caylen Murray is likely to be bid on somewhere in the mid-to-late-first round. asserted
Murray → bid → round
Under new rules the two grand finalists have a 20 per cent loading on the points required to match a bid that comes in the first 18 in the draft for an academy player. asserted
that → have → player
And you can only use two picks to match any bid. asserted
you → use → bid
So the Lions really need another pick in the 20s to be able to cover a bid on Murray. asserted
Lions → need → Murray
Pick 34 won’t cut it. asserted
Pick → cut → it
So unless St Kilda can find another way of bringing in a pick in the 20s – another player going out? - the Saints will need more from Geelong for Rowan Marshall, to be able to pass it on to Brisbane. asserted
Saints → find → Brisbane
But Geelong don’t have one. asserted
Geelong → have → one
Or do they? asserted
they → do → ?
Gryan Miers did a medical at West Coast on Friday before he flew overseas. asserted
he → do → Friday
It was a precaution in case the trade world moved while he was away. asserted
he → move → ?
Given he partially tore his ACL this year and has not had surgery to repair it, the normal buyer beware caveat carries more heft. asserted
caveat → give → heft
…and 19 more, not listed.
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