US meeting in Poland excluding France, UK, Baltics risks dividing NATO

Read the original at Euronews ↗
Euronews · collected 2026-10-05 · by Shona Murray

Quick Summary

US Undersecretary of Defense Elbridge Colby is hosting a meeting in Poland with representatives from Sweden, Finland, Poland, Germany, and the Netherlands to discuss NATO's future defense strategies under what is termed "NATO 3.0." The format excludes France, the UK, and the Baltic states, which has raised concerns among NATO experts who warn that this approach could create divisions within the alliance by implying favoritism from the US towards certain member countries. Critics argue that such exclusivity undermines collective defense principles central to NATO’s structure.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-05, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

US Undersecretary of Defense Elbridge Colby is hosting representatives from five key NATO members—Sweden, Finland, Poland, Germany, and the Netherlands—in Poland to discuss defense capabilities and the future of the alliance. Critics warn that excluding countries like the UK, France, and the Baltic states risks creating a "toxic" divide within NATO. The meeting format, known as the Bergen Group after its inaugural session in Norway last year, is seen by some experts as favoritism from the US, potentially splitting members into categories of "good European versus bad European." This division could undermine collective defense efforts and weaken the alliance's unity.

Written for “NATO Meeting Exclusion Controversy” on 2026-10-05, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Leans left (beta estimate) Confidence medium 1 quote(s) discarded as not found in the article
Leaning: leans left for article 57815 (medium confidence, 1 verified quote) · logged 2026-10-05

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
36
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
8%
3 of 36 hedged
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Correction & hedging signals
60.1
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-10-05 · how these are computed

Story

📰 NATO Meeting Exclusion Controversy
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

Nothing to compare against. No article is close enough to this one for the pipeline to have linked or judged the pair.

Publisher

Euronews · 639 article(s) · 1 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 1 correction(s)
2026-10-01
Death-row inmate Christa Pike seen during murder trial

Who wrote this

Shona Murray
1 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 While officials dismiss the talks as routine, others argue the arrangement will split members into "good European versus bad European" categories while reinforcing Washington's influence across the alliance.
The only article under this byline in the corpus.

Topics

Defense European France NATO Washington

Subjects

NATO ORG · 10× Pothier PERSON · 5× Baltic NORP · 4× European NORP · 4× Washington GPE · 4× France GPE · 3× Russian NORP · 3× Defense ORG · 2× Elbridge Colby PERSON · 2× Poland GPE · 2×

Narrative

EU Defence Commissioner Andrius Kubilius, a former Lithuanian prime minister, also called for a stronger response at the Euronews Defence and Space Summit last week. "If we are hit by Russian hybrid attacks, our answers should be as painful as that attack," Kubilius said.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-05
🔮 While officials dismiss the talks as routine, others argue the arrangement will split members into "good European versus bad European" categories while reinforcing Washington's influence across the alliance.

Claims (36 extracted, 3 hedged)

US Undersecretary of Defense Elbridge Colby is hosting representatives from five key NATO members in Poland to discuss defence capabilities and the future of the alliance. asserted
Colby → host → alliance
Critics warn the exclusion of some Allies risks creating a “toxic” divide. asserted
exclusion → warn → divide
Talks between US Undersecretary of Defense Elbridge Colby and five European countries have raised concerns among NATO experts who warn the format risks dividing the alliance as Washington presses Europe to take greater responsibility for its own defence. asserted
Washington → raise → defence
Known as the Bergen Group after its inaugural meeting in Norway last year, the format brings together Sweden, Finland, Poland, Germany and the Netherlands. asserted
format → know → Sweden
The UK, France and the Baltic states were not invited. asserted
UK → invite → ?
"The bottom line is this is very toxic for an alliance that relies of collective play," said Fabrice Pothier, CEO of geopolitical consultancy, Rasmussen Global. asserted
Pothier → rely → consultancy
"Clearly this is about the US having favourites," he told Euronews. asserted
he → have → Euronews
The group was established to discuss NATO’s future as the alliance shifts towards so-called NATO 3.0: a US invented model in which Europe takes the lead the conventional defence of the continent. asserted
Europe → establish → continent
It also involves the US scaling back its traditional role, and withdrawing key capabilities including bombers, submarines and personnel it makes available to the alliance. asserted
it → involve → alliance
Meanwhile, NATO is playing down the significance of the separate, US-led subgroup. asserted
NATO → play → subgroup
“It’s not unusual for groups of Allies to meet in smaller formats,” a NATO official told Euronews. asserted
official → ’ → Euronews
NATO 3.0 involves the US withdrawing from its traditional role as the leading defence provider in Europe, pulling capabilities such as bombers, submarines and personnel available to the alliance. asserted
US → involve → alliance
While officials dismiss the talks as routine, others argue the arrangement will split members into "good European versus bad European" categories while reinforcing Washington's influence across the alliance. asserted
arrangement → dismiss → alliance
Pothier acknowledged that smaller groups can advance new ideas within organisations, such as the publication of 'non-papers', but he argued that Washington had selected the Bergen countries as they fulfil important defence criteria. asserted
they → acknowledge → criteria
"Initiatives, often come from smaller groups," he said. asserted
he → come → groups
"These countries bring a certain desired mass – ground, air and maritime," said Pothier. asserted
Pothier → bring → mass
"But why is the US picking some rather than others when this is not a policy exercise?" he said. asserted
he → pick → some
Pothier, who is former director of policy planning said the separation of the parts of alliance into subgroups creates concern that the US might be more inclined to defend one ally over another. uncertain
US → say → another
"You introduce the notion that the US favours some allies and would be likely to defend those allies ahead of the rest," said Pothier. asserted
Pothier → introduce → rest
He suggested US President Donald Trump’s “grudge” over the UK and France’s initial refusal to join the war in Iran, along with France’s push to buy European military equipment, could explain their exclusion. uncertain
grudge → suggest → exclusion
UK diplomats, however, rejected the suggestion that Britain was being sidelined, saying they remained in regular contact with their US counterparts. asserted
they → reject → counterparts
They are among NATO’s biggest defence spenders as a share of GDP and sit on the alliance’s frontline with Russia. asserted
They → sit → Russia
The region has faced repeated hybrid attacks, including drone incursions, arson and sabotage. asserted
region → face → incursions
Their exclusion follows Colby’s visit to NATO headquarters in Brussels in August, when, according to NATO sources, he urged Baltic officials to adopt a less confrontational tone towards Russian aggression. uncertain
he → follow → aggression
One source said Colby cited renewed US efforts to end the war in Ukraine as a reason to tone down talk of being at “war” with Russia. asserted
Colby → say → Russia
Washington has also invited Russian President Vladimir Putin to the G20 summit in Miami in December, at a golf resort owned by Trump. asserted
Washington → invite → Trump
"It's probably the first time since NATO enlargement that there’s a split between the US and Baltics," said Pothier. asserted
Pothier → ’ → US
"We know that this US administration is far less fazed by Russian aggression," he said. asserted
he → know → aggression
The situation for the Baltics remains tense due to the ongoing drone and other shadow war hostilities. asserted
situation → remain → drone
On Saturday, Vilnius airport was forced to shut down for around an hour, prompting the deployment of two NATO jets in response to a suspected drone intrusion from Belarus. asserted
airport → force → Belarus
Lithuania invites Colby A source confirmed to Euronews that the Lithuanian government has invited Colby to visit the region to witness the ongoing airspace violations first-hand. asserted
government → invite → violations
"We say what we see," a Baltic diplomat told Euronews defending their forward military posture. asserted
diplomat → say → posture
The diplomat added that Moscow must understand the cost of its shadow war to be "harsh." asserted
Moscow → add → war
EU Defence Commissioner Andrius Kubilius, a former Lithuanian prime minister, also called for a stronger response at the Euronews Defence and Space Summit last week. "If we are hit by Russian hybrid attacks, our answers should be as painful as that attack," Kubilius said. asserted
Kubilius → call → attack
Meanwhile, a Washington-based source told Euronews that the exclusive meeting appears to be "mischief-making" on the part of the US, warning that it actively divides the alliance. asserted
it → base → alliance
French officials had no response time of publication. asserted
officials → have → publication
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