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The Met Office forecasts above-average temperatures and changing weather patterns for late October and early November, influenced by a strong "Godzilla" El Niño expected to bring stormier conditions similar to those experienced during the winters of 2015 and 2016. Grahame Madge from the Met Office warned that El Niño can disrupt the polar vortex, leading to colder winter weather in Europe and increasing the likelihood of extreme cold, wind, and snow for the UK this year. Energy providers advise people to prepare by stockpiling essential supplies including food, water, medicine, and extra blankets.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-05,
using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the
same event (that is the story summary below).
Story summary
The Met Office recently issued a November weather forecast predicting above average temperatures and changeable weather patterns for late October and early November. This follows one of the warmest Septembers since records began in 1884. Experts attribute this unusually warm period to an exceptionally strong "Godzilla" El Niño, which is expected to bring wetter and stormier conditions.
Grahame Madge, a Met Office climate spokesman, explained that there are established links between El Niño and UK weather during autumn and winter, often resulting in stormy autumns and colder winters. Previous strong El Niños, such as those in 2015 and 2016, led to severe storms and some of the worst flooding on record.
According to a research paper from the US government's NOAA Chemical Sciences Laboratory, El Niño can cause the polar vortex, which typically traps cold air near the Arctic, to break down. This disruption allows cold air to spill southward into North America and Europe, potentially leading to extreme weather conditions in these regions.
Written for “El Nino Impact Forecast” on 2026-10-05,
grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
A new long-range prediction from the Met Office forecasts “above average” temperatures and “changeable” weather patterns throughout late October and early November.
asserted
prediction → forecast → October
It follows one of the warmest Septembers since records began in 1884.
asserted
records → follow → 1884
Experts have said this spike in heat is due to be accompanied by a period of wetter, stormier weather as a result of an unusually-strong “Godzilla” El Niño this year.
asserted
spike → say → Niño
Met Office climate spokesman Grahame Madge said: “There are known general teleconnections between El Niño and UK weather in autumn and winter.
asserted
Madge → say → autumn
These can include a stormier autumn and a colder end to winter.”
asserted
These → include → winter
The winters of 2015 and 2016, which also coincided with a strong El Niño, brought a series of major storms and what experts described as some of the worst flooding on record.
asserted
experts → coincide → record
The impact of El Niño
Experts warned the natural climate phenomenon, characterised by a warming of the pacific ocean, could be one of the worst on record, causing a number of adverse weather effects.
uncertain
phenomenon → warn → effects
A research paper published by the US government's NOAA Chemical Sciences Laboratory concluded that El Niño "tends to promote the breakdown of the polar vortex, especially in late winter".
asserted
Niño → publish → winter
The polar vortex is a band of strong westerly winds that circles around the North Pole and traps bitterly cold air near the Arctic - but a weakened or disrupted vortex becomes "wavy" and allows cold air to spill southward into North America and Europe.
asserted
air → circle → America
This increases the likelihood that the UK will face extremely cold, windy and snowy conditions over the winter months.
asserted
UK → increase → months
Read More
The energy provider said people should have at least three days’ worth of food and essentials stockpiled.
asserted
worth → read → food
They added that emergency supplies should include medicines, drinking water, non-perishable food and snacks, and extra blankets.
asserted
supplies → add → medicines
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