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The article predicts an upcoming NFL game between the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Cincinnati Bengals, where despite being ranked lower by DVOA metrics, the Bengals are slight favorites due to home field advantage. The piece highlights a potential breakout performance for Jaguars running back Bhayshul Tuten in what is expected to be a high-scoring shootout, recommending bets on him exceeding 54.5 rushing yards and even predicting he could surpass 120 rushing yards at long odds.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-04,
using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the
same event (that is the story summary below).
Story summary
On Sunday, the Jacksonville Jaguars defeated the Cincinnati Bengals by a score of 22-17 in a matchup between two 2-1 teams from the AFC. Trevor Lawrence passed for 227 yards and a touchdown, while leading his team to their third victory of the season. Despite throwing for an impressive 428 yards, Joe Burrow suffered another loss against Lawrence, dropping his record against him to 1-3. The game was marked by key defensive plays from the Jaguars, including forcing two critical turnovers that prevented potential Bengals scoring opportunities. Both teams had previously won their first two games but lost their third, with this loss marking a downward trend for the Bengals who are now 2-2 after dropping consecutive matches following an initial 2-0 start.
Written for “Bengals Versus Jaguars Matchup” on 2026-10-05,
grounded in this article and the 2 other(s) covering the same event.
One of the best games on Sunday’s slate: the No. 2 team in total DVOA heads to Cincinnati to face the No. 7 team in total DVOA.
asserted
team → head → DVOA
Perhaps surprisingly, the better team by DVOA is the underdog, as Jacksonville has opened as three-point underdogs and sat at that number throughout the week.
asserted
Jacksonville → open → week
Cincinnati has shown legitimate defensive improvement with the trade of Dexter Lawrence and a new linebacking core.
asserted
Cincinnati → show → Lawrence
But the Jaguars are very well-rounded: No. 2 in overall DVOA, No. 6 in offensive DVOA, and No. 2 in defensive DVOA.
asserted
No → round → DVOA
In a quarterback matchup between Trevor Lawrence and Joe Burrow, this game has every bit of intrigue going into Sunday.
asserted
game → have → Sunday
Even on the road, I think the Jaguars should be a pick ‘em here, so give me the field goal against the spread.
asserted
Jaguars → think → spread
My model even has the Jaguars as slight favorites, 24.96 to 24.20.
asserted
model → have → favorites
As for a player prop, Bhayushul Tuten has been the story of the Jaguars week with coach Liam Coen constantly gushing over their star running back.
asserted
Coen → gush → back
In a game that I expect could feature tons of points, back Tuten to be unleashed this weekend by a high-profile offense.
uncertain
Tuten → expect → offense
Back Tuten to go over his rushing total of 54.5, and he could even blow past it.
uncertain
he → back → it
- Read our expert guide on how to bet on the NFL
- Check out the best NFL betting sites
- Get the BetMGM Bonus Code
For my long shot bettors out there, Tuten to go over 120 rushing yards comes in at 15/1 and is one of my favorite bets of the weekend.
asserted
go → read → weekend
THE PLAY: Jaguars +3 | Bhayshul Tuten over 54.5 rushing yards (-101, Prophetx) | Tuten over 119.5 rushing yards (15/1, DraftKings)
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting.
asserted
he → trust → betting
During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons.
asserted
he → showcase → market
While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.
asserted
return → bet → 2022
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