Canada must weigh creation of new spy service with 'eyes wide open,' study warns

Read the original at Toronto Star ↗
Toronto Star · collected 2026-10-04 · by Jim Bronskill The Canadian Press

Quick Summary

A new study by former Canadian intelligence officials Alan Barnes and Geoff St. John warns that policymakers must approach the idea of creating a foreign spy service with full awareness of how espionage actually works, rather than relying on fictional portrayals like James Bond. Published on the Policy Insights Forum website, the paper emphasizes the need for informed decision-making regarding Canada’s national security strategy updates and intelligence gathering capabilities. The authors highlight the complexities and legal challenges involved in espionage activities, advocating a realistic understanding that focuses more on recruiting insiders to gather information than on direct infiltration by agency officers.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-04, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

A new study published by Alan Barnes and Geoff St. John, former Canadian intelligence officials, warns that politicians must consider starting a foreign spy service "with their eyes wide open" due to the serious nature and widespread misunderstanding of espionage. The research, released this month on the website of the Policy Insights Forum, a part of lobbying firm Samuel Associates, highlights that Canadians generally have romanticized notions about how espionage operates. As Canada prepares an update to its national security strategy and the National Security and Intelligence Committee of Parliamentarians reviews foreign intelligence gathering capabilities, Barnes and St. John emphasize the need for practical considerations before establishing a new agency. Both authors caution against starting such initiatives based on misconceptions common in media portrayals of espionage.

Written for “Canadian Spy Service Evaluation” on 2026-10-05, grounded in this article and the 1 other(s) covering the same event.

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
48
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
25%
12 of 48 hedged
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Correction & hedging signals
63.3
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
2
Politics
Narrative spread
2
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-10-04 · how these are computed

Story

📰 Canadian Spy Service Evaluation
Politics · 2 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 25% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Global News · 0.96 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 24% hedged 12 of 49 📰 publisher trust 64
“Both articles describe the same new study warning Canadian politicians about the realities of espionage when considering creating a foreign spy service, authored by Alan Barnes and Geoff St. John.”

Publisher

Toronto Star · 5260 article(s) · 17 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 17 correction(s)
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Who wrote this

Jim Bronskill The Canadian Press
5 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Those bemused — or deceived — by the fictions of page and screen would benefit by learning how espionage is really done.” The study is being published this month on the website of the Policy Insights Forum, the research wing of the lobbying firm Samuel Associates.
🔮 The national spy watchdog says the Canadian Security Intelligence Service may not have complied with the law when using special powers to gather information.
🔮 He says the Conservative plan would expand refining capacity, help refineries process more Canadian crude and build the transportation and storage infrastructure needed to supply every region.
🔮 The Crown argued Ortis had no authority to disclose classified material and that he was not doing so as part of a legitimate undercover operation, though it could not pinpoint a motive.
🔮 The secretariat of the highly secretive committee would not elaborate on the scope, timeframe or potential findings of the review, which was announced in a brief June statement.
Wire or desk byline, not an individual reporter.
Also by Jim Bronskill The Canadian Press
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

Topics

Canadian OTTAWA Samuel Associates the National Security and Intelligence Committee of Parliamentarians the Policy Insights Forum

Subjects

Canada GPE · 6× Canadian NORP · 5× the Policy Insights Forum ORG · 2× Alan Barnes PERSON · 1× Barnes PERSON · 1× Carleton University’s ORG · 1× Geoff St. John PERSON · 1× OTTAWA GPE · 1× Samuel Associates ORG · 1× the National Security and Intelligence Committee of Parliamentarians ORG · 1×

Narrative

“Instead, the discussion should start by identifying the fundamental requirement — ‘Canada has a vital need for information on X which can only be obtained through espionage’ — before proceeding to consideration of the practical issues of actually establishing a new agency for this purpose,” the paper says.
framing: mixed · carried by 2 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-04
🔮 Those bemused — or deceived — by the fictions of page and screen would benefit by learning how espionage is really done.” The study is being published this month on the website of the Policy Insights Forum, the research wing of the lobbying firm Samuel Associates.
2026-10-04 · Global News
Canada urged to keep ‘eyes wide open’ on espionage · mixed framing

Claims (48 extracted, 12 hedged)

OTTAWA - Espionage is a deadly serious and generally misunderstood business, and it’s critical for Canadian politicians thinking about starting a foreign spy service to decide “with their eyes wide open,” a new study says. asserted
study → misunderstand → eyes
“Virtually no Canadian knows how espionage is actually done,” says the paper by former Canadian intelligence officials Alan Barnes and Geoff St. John. asserted
paper → know → officials
“Romantic, facile notions predominate. asserted
notions → predominate → ?
Those bemused — or deceived — by the fictions of page and screen would benefit by learning how espionage is really done.” The study is being published this month on the website of the Policy Insights Forum, the research wing of the lobbying firm Samuel Associates. asserted
study → bemuse → firm
The federal government is preparing a long-awaited update of its national security strategy while the National Security and Intelligence Committee of Parliamentarians examines Canada’s foreign intelligence gathering capabilities. asserted
Committee → prepare → capabilities
Barnes, who worked as an analyst and manager in the Canadian intelligence community for over 25 years, is a senior fellow at Carleton University’s Norman Paterson School of International Affairs. asserted
who → work → Affairs
Drawing on their own experience and the literature, the authors attempted to go beyond familiar arguments about setting up an espionage agency to look at what such spy services actually do, along with the full range of factors politicians need to consider. asserted
politicians → draw → factors
First and foremost, they write, policymakers must set aside the exploits of fictional spies like James Bond. asserted
policymakers → write → Bond
“Ninety-nine per cent of all espionage fiction is pure junk,” the paper says. asserted
paper → say → fiction
“Only a few fictional works have any merit. asserted
works → have → merit
Those of John le Carré are the best examples, but professionals have even found fault with some of his characterizations of espionage. asserted
professionals → find → espionage
Espionage, the clandestine collection of information by people, involves hostile, undercover acts to learn things otherwise unknowable — actions that break the laws of the country where agents operate, the paper notes. asserted
paper → involve → country
The authors take pains to distinguish the intelligence officers who work for espionage agencies from the agents they recruit abroad to ferret out secrets. asserted
they → take → secrets
“Imagine you run an espionage agency tasked with finding out what senior generals say about invading a neighbouring country,” the paper suggests. uncertain
paper → imagine → country
“In the Hollywood version, one of your intelligence officers would infiltrate the meeting and report what was said. asserted
what → infiltrate → meeting
Even if an officer with the right background and language fluency could be assigned — and even if they could find a way into the meeting — they would be instantly recognized as a fraud uncertain
they → assign → fraud
, the authors write. asserted
authors → write → ?
“No, much, much better to have one of the generals tell you what was said. asserted
what → have → you
Far better to suborn one of them, or perhaps the note taker, or an official who gets the meeting notes, to learn what transpired. asserted
what → suborn → notes
Canada already has some eyes and ears on the world. asserted
Canada → have → world
The Communications Security Establishment, Canada’s cyberspy agency, collects foreign intelligence through electronic means. asserted
Establishment → collect → means
Global Affairs Canada contributes diplomatic reporting, while the military gathers defence-specific intelligence. asserted
military → contribute → intelligence
The Canadian Security Intelligence Service is permitted to gather intelligence in Canada and abroad about security threats such as terrorism and espionage. asserted
Service → permit → terrorism
It is allowed to gather foreign intelligence — information about the activities, capabilities and intentions of foreign people, organizations and states — only within Canada, not overseas. asserted
It → allow → Canada
Since the end of the Second World War, Canada has regularly considered creating its own version of the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency or Britain’s Secret Intelligence Service, better known as MI-6. asserted
Canada → consider → MI-6
The fundamental question is what purpose a Canadian espionage agency would serve, the paper says. asserted
paper → serve → purpose
Often the question takes a back seat to enthusiasm for simply having a spy agency, the authors lament. asserted
authors → take → agency
“Instead, the discussion should start by identifying the fundamental requirement — ‘Canada has a vital need for information on X which can only be obtained through espionage’ — before proceeding to consideration of the practical issues of actually establishing a new agency for this purpose,” the paper says. asserted
paper → start → purpose
No espionage agency that Canada can afford could ever produce enough reports to replace the flood of raw information Canada receives from allies, the paper adds. uncertain
paper → afford → allies
“A Canadian espionage agency might be able to generate several hundred reports a year. uncertain
agency → generate → reports
And then it could only report on selected, narrow areas of Canadian interest, not all our interests.” uncertain
it → report → interest
The exposure of Canadian espionage operations would have diplomatic, political and economic repercussions, the authors warn. asserted
authors → have → repercussions
The foreign affairs minister and Canadian diplomats would have to deal with the fallout and try to limit the effect on Canada’s interests, the paper says. asserted
paper → have → interests
“In some cases the diplomatic response might be limited to the expulsion of diplomats. uncertain
response → limit → diplomats
But the repercussions could be more severe if the foreign country targeted by Canada’s spies was otherwise considered a friend.” And the agents — the foreigners spying for Canada — would face very real physical, legal and psychological risks, the authors point out. uncertain
authors → target → risks
“At best, if caught passing on secret material to a Canadian intelligence officer, he or she can expect a long prison sentence. asserted
he → catch → sentence
At worst, the agent may be tortured and executed. uncertain
agent → torture → ?
It is a certainty that one or more agents spying for Canada will be found out eventually,” the paper says. asserted
paper → spy → Canada
“Canadian espionage officers would face risks as well. asserted
officers → face → risks
Those operating under embassy cover will have some protections but could still face physical abuse before the diplomatic protocols are enforced.” Espionage officers operating under some non-official cover, such as a business, would face greater dangers, the paper adds. uncertain
paper → operate → dangers
…and 8 more, not listed.
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