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Jon Sumrall's first season as Florida Gators coach has seen the team start at 4-0 with a strong performance against Ole Miss last week. They are currently ranked No. 8 by AP and are among the top 12 teams according to SP+ and Sagarin rankings. Despite these achievements, they face Missouri in Columbia this Saturday as 5.5-point favorites. The article argues that while it might seem like a good time to bet against Florida due to their success so far, their offensive coordinator Buster Faulkner’s tactics and quarterback Aaron Philo’s performance suggest the Gators will maintain their form. Missouri's offense is struggling, particularly after star running back Ahmad Hardy’s absence, making it difficult for them to keep pace with Florida.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-03,
using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the
same event (that is the story summary below).
Story summary
Florida, ranked No. 8, suffered a significant defeat on October 7, losing to Missouri (ranked No. 25) by a score of 45-17 in Columbia, Missouri. This loss likely caused Florida's ranking to drop significantly in the latest AP Top 25 poll. Meanwhile, top-ranked teams like Alabama, who remained undefeated with a decisive victory over Mississippi State, and other untested high-ranking schools such as Georgia and Notre Dame, stayed strong. The game highlighted Missouri’s offensive prowess, led by quarterback Austin Simmons, who threw for 340 yards and two touchdowns, while Jamal Roberts added 211 rushing yards and three scores. This win marked a significant turnaround for coach Eli Drinkwitz, breaking his nine-game losing streak against ranked opponents.
Written for “Florida Missouri Football Game” on 2026-10-05,
grounded in this article and the 5 other(s) covering the same event.
Jon Sumrall’s first four games in charge couldn’t have gone better, and last week’s rout of Ole Miss has made the 44-year-old the toast of the town in Gainesville.
asserted
old → go → Gainesville
The AP has Florida (4-0) ranked No. 8, SP+ has the Gators as the 12th-best team in the country and Sagarin has them even higher at No. 9.
asserted
them → have → .
Florida is really good, but the schedule doesn’t relent.
asserted
schedule → relent → ?
The Gators travel to Faurot Field as 5.5-point favorites over No. 25 Missouri on Saturday.
asserted
Gators → travel → Saturday
Florida vs. Missouri odds, prediction
This is a classic sell-high spot, but the Gators haven’t given us any reason to believe that a stumble is coming.
asserted
stumble → give → reason
Offensive coordinator Buster Faulkner has Florida in carnival mode with the ball, and the defense has done its bit, too.
asserted
defense → have → bit
Quarterback Aaron Philo, a first-year starter who transferred from Faulkner’s old team, Georgia Tech, has hardly put a foot wrong, silencing skeptics who were wondering whether or not the lack of experience would prove too much in the SEC.
asserted
lack → transfer → SEC
He will face another good defense Saturday, but the Gators may not need to light up the scoreboard to win this game in Columbia.
uncertain
Gators → face → Columbia
It is hard to trust Mizzou’s offense right now.
asserted
It → trust → offense
Part of its struggles is not of its doing, with star running back Ahmad Hardy is still recovering from a gunshot wound he suffered in May, but the Tigers are not making life easy on a stalwart defense.
uncertain
life → do → defense
Missouri gained just 4.7 yards per play in a lackluster win over Troy in Week 3, and it couldn’t close the gap against Kamario Taylor and Mississippi State in Week 4.
asserted
it → gain → Week
Get the lowdown on the Best USA Sports Betting Sites and Apps
- Check out the best sports betting sites and apps
The numbers looked better against the Bulldogs, but that was likely an effect of going down 14-0 early in Starkville.
Perhaps this will end up being the right time to sell high on Florida, but the paths to victory are there for the Gators as they go up against an offense that hasn’t given us much reason to believe that they can keep pace with what Faulkner and Philo are cooking.
The Play: Florida -5.5 (-110, DraftKings)
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry.
asserted
Leboff → get → industry
He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.
asserted
punters → use → sports
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