Hurricane Lowell menaces Hawaiian Islands with life-threatening surf

NBC News Top Stories · collected 2026-09-06 · by Dennis Romero
Read the original at NBC News Top Stories ↗

Summary

Hurricane Lowell is forecast to pass just west of the major Hawaiian islands by Monday night, potentially bringing life-threatening conditions such as mudslides, heavy rain, and high surf. According to the National Hurricane Center, Kauai could receive up to 10 inches of rain, while Maui may see up to 8 inches. The state's Emergency Management Agency warns that tropical storm conditions are expected in Kauai County within the next 36 hours, with extremely dangerous surf possible on south- and west-facing coastlines. Gov. Josh Green has activated the National Guard to respond to the storm's impacts and urged residents to complete their preparations and stay away from floodwaters and hazardous areas.
Written by the local model on 2026-09-07, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
26
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
31%
8 of 26 hedged
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher trust
95.0
red-flag proxy, not a credibility rating
Outlets on this story
4
World
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-09-07 · source text last changed 2026-09-07 · how these are computed

AI analysis (generated at analysis time, not now)

Story summary

Hurricane Lowell, a Category 4 hurricane with sustained winds of 145 mph, is threatening the Hawaiian Islands, prompting officials to declare a state of emergency and issue tropical storm warnings for several islands. The hurricane's center was located 640 miles south-southwest of Honolulu on Saturday, and it was moving west-northwest at 7 mph. According to forecasts, Lowell will pass just west of the major Hawaiian Islands by Monday night, bringing life-threatening conditions, including mudslides, heavy rains, and high surf impacts. The storm is expected to bring 6-10 inches of rain, with possible maximum totals of 14 inches, and may trigger storm watches and alerts for Kauai County and the Papahānaumokuākea Marine National Monument. Despite being a major hurricane, Lowell's projected offshore path is expected to keep its most dangerous effects at bay, but residents are still urged to prepare for heavy rains, flooding, and possibly mudslides.

Written for “Hurricane Lowell Approaches Hawaii” on 2026-09-07, grounded in this article and the 3 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
This article does not take a side on a contested political question, so it has no leaning score. That is an answer rather than a gap: a match report or a rescue can be warmly or critically written without being left or right, and scoring it anyway is how approval of a subject gets recorded as a political position.
No political leaning scored for article 5313 · logged 2026-09-07

Story

📰 Hurricane Lowell Approaches Hawaii
World · 4 article(s) covering the same event.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 31% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
www.thestar.com - RSS Results of type article · 0.91 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 33% hedged 1 of 3 📰 publisher trust 62
“Both articles describe Hurricane Lowell's forecasted impact on Hawaii, specifically its projected rainfall and potential mudslides, as it passes to the west of the islands.”
US news | The Guardian
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 15% hedged 3 of 20 📰 publisher trust 96
“Both articles cover Hurricane Lowell's approach to Hawaii, with similar details about its category and wind speed.”
www.thestar.com - RSS Results of type article
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 3 📰 publisher trust 62
“Two different hurricanes are mentioned: Lowell threatening Hawaiian Islands and Marie creating waves in southern California”
ABC News: Top Stories
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 18% hedged 5 of 28 📰 publisher trust 95
“Article B mentions two separate hurricanes, Lowell and Marie, in addition to Lowell's impact on Hawaii”

Publisher

NBC News Top Stories · 164 article(s) · 0 correction(s) detected
SignalValueWeight
Correction rate 0.000 0.4
Uncertainty density 0.100 0.25
Assertive mismatch rate 0.000 0.35
No corrections detected for this publisher. That may mean careful reporting, or simply that nothing has been checked.

Who wrote this

Dennis Romero
6 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Hurricane Lowell is expected to create life-threatening conditions even as it is forecast to pass just west of the major Hawaiian islands by Monday night.
🔮 The man’s identity was being withheld until family could be notified, it said.
🔮 The dead have been identified, he said, but the number of those killed, their names and their ages will not be released for now.
🔮 The agency said Aviles entered the U.S. illegally at an unknown date and location and would remain in ICE custody pending removal proceedings.
🔮 That is the last thing Sonya Massey said before the defendant murdered her, just like he said he would.”
🔮 He had waterproof matches and a butane lighter, which could have been used to spark the fires, Nowels said.
Also by Dennis Romero
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 6 articles by Dennis Romero →

Topics

Hawaiian Hurricane Lowell Kauai Kauaʻi Niʻihau

Subjects

Kauaʻi GPE · 3× Niʻihau GPE · 3× Green PERSON · 2× Hawaii GPE · 2× Hawaiian NORP · 2× Kauai GPE · 2× Kauai County GPE · 2× Lowell PERSON · 2× Oahu GPE · 2× the National Hurricane Center ORG · 2×

Narrative

Lowell is joined by two other tropical cyclones spinning in the northern half of the Pacific this week: Tropical Storm Karina, a former Category 4 hurricane about 655 miles east-northeast of Hilo, Hawaii, on Sunday; and Hurricane Marie, churning about 550 miles west-southwest of Punta Eugenia, Mexico, and producing 75 mph sustained winds — a hair above the threshold for Category 1 status.
framing: mixed · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-07
🔮 Hurricane Lowell is expected to create life-threatening conditions even as it is forecast to pass just west of the major Hawaiian islands by Monday night.
2026-09-07 · NBC News Top Stories
Hurricane Lowell menaces Hawaiian Islands with life-threatening surf · mixed framing

Claims (26 extracted, 8 hedged)

Hurricane Lowell is expected to create life-threatening conditions even as it is forecast to pass just west of the major Hawaiian islands by Monday night. asserted
it → expect → night
It could remain a major hurricane — those with 111 mph or greater sustained winds — and is likely to create mudslides, as much as 10 inches of rain in Kauai, and life-threatening waves for parts of the island chain, the National Hurricane Center said. uncertain
Center → remain → chain
Lowell turned north Sunday, as a hurricane warning for the Papahānaumokuākea Marine National Monument was in effect. asserted
warning → turn → effect
Kauai County, including the islands of Kauai and Niʻihau, was under a tropical storm warning. asserted
County → include → warning
It was about 545 miles south-southwest of the community of Līhuʻe, on the westernmost major Hawaiian island of Kauai, according to the hurricane center’s late-morning advisory, and was moving at 6 mph. uncertain
It → accord → mph
The tropical cyclone reached Category 5, defined by sustained winds of 157 mph or greater, overnight Friday before losing some of its steam and settling into Category 4’s limits of sustained winds of 130-156 mph by Saturday. asserted
cyclone → reach → Saturday
On Sunday, its 120 mph sustained winds placed it in Category 3. asserted
winds → place → Category
The hurricane center’s forecast cone has Lowell passing just west of the archipelago’s major islands, from south to north, on Monday night. asserted
Lowell → pass → night
“Just because we’re on the edge of the cone doesn’t mean we’re safe,” John Bravender, warning coordination meteorologist at the National Weather Service, said at a Friday news conference. asserted
Bravender → ’re → conference
Maui could record up to 8 inches of rain, the National Hurricane Center said, but officials in the state are also focused on the storm’s impacts on Kauai and Niʻihau, the latter occupying the map as the archipelago’s 84-resident, westernmost island. uncertain
latter → record → island
“Hurricane Lowell has made its expected northward turn and remains forecast to pass west of Kauaʻi, but a slight shift east has increased the potential for tropical storm-force winds,” Gov. Josh Green said Sunday on X. “The greatest impacts are expected Monday, particularly on Kauaʻi and Niʻihau.” asserted
impacts → make → Kauaʻi
The state’s Emergency Management Agency said Sunday that tropical storm conditions were expected in Kauai County in the next 36 hours, while Ni‘ihau, Kauai and the surfing mecca of Oahu could see “extremely dangerous surf” on south- and west-facing coastlines Monday and Tuesday. uncertain
Ni‘ihau → say → coastlines
Niʻihau and Kauaʻi could see 12 to 14 inches of rain, it said, with downpours expected to begin Sunday afternoon and flash flooding and landslides possible. uncertain
flooding → see → rain
On Friday, Green declared a state of emergency for Hawaii and activated the National Guard to respond to the storm’s impacts. asserted
Green → declare → impacts
“We are taking Hurricane Lowell extremely seriously and preparing now, before conditions deteriorate,” Green said in a statement Friday. asserted
Green → take → statement
“I urge everyone, especially those in Kauaʻi County, to complete their preparations, follow official alerts and stay away from floodwaters, dangerous surf and other hazardous areas.” asserted
I → urge → floodwaters
The governor’s office said the state was securing its harbors, deploying emergency personnel to strategic locations and monitoring dams for any possible breaches or overflows. asserted
state → say → breaches
Parts of Oahu and the Big Island were hit with intense flooding and strong winds from Tropical Storm Lala last month. asserted
Parts → hit → Lala
Lowell is joined by two other tropical cyclones spinning in the northern half of the Pacific this week: Tropical Storm Karina, a former Category 4 hurricane about 655 miles east-northeast of Hilo, Hawaii, on Sunday; and Hurricane Marie, churning about 550 miles west-southwest of Punta Eugenia, Mexico, and producing 75 mph sustained winds — a hair above the threshold for Category 1 status. asserted
Lowell → join → status
Marie is producing high surf that could bring life-threatening waves and rip currents to some Southern California locations during the holiday weekend, hurricane center meteorologists said Sunday. uncertain
meteorologists → produce → weekend
The trio is part of a northeast Pacific hurricane season that includes 15 named storms to date, according to Colorado State University. uncertain
that → include → University
The high number is likely boosted by unusually warm water and the presence of an El Niño weather phenomenon that could also bring historic rain to California, experts have said. uncertain
experts → boost → California
Daniel Gilford, a meteorologist and atmospheric scientist at the nonprofit research group Climate Central, said El Niño’s warm sea surface temperatures are fueling potent tropical cyclones ahead of fall. asserted
temperatures → say → fall
“If we have extra fuel, we can push the accelerator down more and these storms can become more intense as a result,” he told NBC News. asserted
he → have → News
The phenomenon has been changing as a result of global warming, earth scientists have said, with United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres saying Thursday that El Niño is “being supersized before our eyes. asserted
Niño → change → eyes
It’s a call to action to address climate change, he said. asserted
he → ’ → change
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