Eric Schmitts the Bed

Read the original at The Bulwark ↗
The Bulwark · collected 2026-09-30 · by William Kristol commentary

Quick Summary

Eric Schmitt, a Republican senator from Missouri, suffered a significant setback during his questioning of Special Counsel Jack Smith before the Senate Judiciary Committee. Schmitt attempted to discredit Smith by alleging that he had attended an Atlanta Hawks game and possibly met with Fulton County Prosecutor Fani Willis around the time of a scandal involving her. However, Smith denied attending the game and stated he was actually in Maryland watching a women's basketball game. This incident damaged Schmitt’s reputation as he appeared uninformed and disrespectful during his questioning, causing Republicans to perceive him negatively following his ambitious branding efforts as a staunch Trump ally.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-09-30, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

President Donald Trump held a midterm convention in Dallas, Texas, on September 5-6, aiming to rally his Republican base ahead of the November 3 midterms that would decide control of the House and Senate. However, leaked audio from a private fundraiser revealed that Ken Paxton, Texas GOP Senate nominee, said the event hurt his numbers: "the numbers dropped" for everyone involved. This admission came two weeks after Trump's event despite his claims of success as “a solidly sold out winner.” Polls since then showed Democrats at 50.5 percent and Republicans trailing at 42.1 percent, a significant shift from the previous month. The leaked audio suggests deeper issues for Texas Republicans and the MAGA movement.

Written for “Trump Midterm Convention Backlash” on 2026-10-05, grounded in this article and the 9 other(s) covering the same event.

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
133
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
7%
9 of 133 hedged
Leaning
Leans strongly left
expected in commentary, which argues a position · beta estimate
Correction & hedging signals
not measured
these signals count newsroom corrections; Commentary has none to count
Outlets on this story
10
Politics
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-09-30 · how these are computed

Story

📰 Trump Midterm Convention Backlash
Politics · 10 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans strongly left and hedges 7% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
CBS News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 2 📰 publisher trust 66
“Both articles report on the same specific incident of Ken Paxton's comments about the Republican midterm convention in Dallas, based on leaked audio published by The New York Times.”
The Bulwark
⚖️ Leans left further right than this 🔴 10% hedged 1 of 10
“Both articles describe Ken Paxton's leaked comments about how Trump's Texas convention negatively impacted his Senate campaign numbers at a private fundraiser.”
ABC News (US)
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 15% hedged 3 of 20 📰 publisher trust 59
“Both articles describe Ken Paxton's remarks at a private fundraiser about how Trump's GOP midterm convention in Dallas hurt him politically.”
CBS News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 33% hedged 1 of 3 📰 publisher trust 66
“Both articles report on Ken Paxton's leaked audio comments about the recent GOP midterm convention negatively impacting Republican numbers.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 8% hedged 3 of 36 📰 publisher trust 65
“The articles describe different aspects of Republican politics surrounding Ken Paxton but do not report on the same specific incident or time.”
Washington Examiner
⚖️ Leans strongly right further right than this 🔴 12% hedged 4 of 32 📰 publisher trust 72
“The articles discuss different aspects of Ken Paxton's Senate campaign in Texas; Article A focuses on financial support for his campaign, while Article B reports on a negative impact from the Dallas midterm convention.”
Washington Examiner
⚖️ Leans left further right than this 🔴 9% hedged 2 of 23 📰 publisher trust 72
“The articles discuss different aspects of Republican concerns and events around Ken Paxton's candidacy, but they do not describe the same specific incident or time.”
The Independent
⚖️ Leans left further right than this 🔴 23% hedged 6 of 26 📰 publisher trust 59
“Both articles discuss the impact of President Trump's midterm convention in Dallas on Republican voter sentiment, specifically mentioning a decline in numbers.”
CBS News
⚖️ Leans left further right than this 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 2 📰 publisher trust 66
“Both articles report on Ken Paxton's leaked audio comment about the negative impact of Trump's midterm convention.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans left further right than this 🔴 5% hedged 2 of 39 📰 publisher trust 65
“While both articles mention Ken Paxton's critical comments about a Republican convention and its impact on numbers, they describe different aspects of the incident (leaked audio vs. Trump's reaction) and refer to different times/places.”

Publisher

The Bulwark · 304 article(s) · 0 correction(s) detected
No corrections detected for this publisher. That may mean careful reporting, or simply that nothing has been checked.

Who wrote this

William Kristol
17 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 A 10-point swing would be a wave that puts lots of districts and states in play.
2026-10-01 · assertive framing · Trump + AI = Blue Tsunami
🔮 Who might “he” be, one wonders.
2026-09-30 · assertive framing · Eric Schmitts the Bed
🔮 AROUND THE BULWARK Could a Wave THIS Big Actually Happen?
2026-09-28 · assertive framing · ‘We Are Losing Our Soul as a Nation’
🔮 A recording from The Bulwark’s live video Trump’s White House is racking up losses, picking fights with the press, and increasingly operating without anyone willing to tell the president no.
🔮 One can imagine Trump and Xi looking at each other and asking, What reason could we possibly have to respect journalists?
2026-09-25 · assertive framing · Why We’re Going to Springfield
🔮 They also discuss Trump’s unfinished ambitions in Greenland, Xi Jinping’s visit to Washington, and Kagan’s warning that the breakdown of the postwar order could move much faster than Washington is prepared for.
🔮 Zelinsky explains why this fight over one building could become a much bigger test of the rule of law.
🔮 On the one hand, Trump has promised to sign a sweeping package which—as Andrew wrote yesterday—would hit Russia’s elite with new sanctions and give Trump the ability to hit Russia’s energy customers with tariffs.
2026-09-18 · assertive framing · Why Do We Even Have a Constitution Day?
🔮 Here we were thinking nothing interesting would happen in Congress for the rest of the year—and suddenly there was Rep. Thomas Massie yesterday, introducing articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth.
2026-09-16 · assertive framing · Bill Smokes the Hopium Pipe in the Land of Corn
🔮 Next, we suspect he will launch into caps-lock tirades against ice cream, puppies, and the Beatles.
2026-09-15 · assertive framing · Trump Learns You Can’t Spell Mail Without an L
Also by William Kristol
Trump + AI = Blue Tsunami
2026-10-01 · The Bulwark
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 17 articles by William Kristol →

Topics

Atlanta Dallas Hawks MAGA Republicans

Subjects

Schmitt PERSON · 9× Smith PERSON · 6× Atlanta ORG · 3× Hawks ORG · 3× Trump PERSON · 3× MAGA ORG · 2× Paxton PERSON · 2× Republicans NORP · 2× Willis PERSON · 2× Dallas ORG · 1×

Narrative

But you don’t have to be very brilliant, you just need to have some common sense, to grasp some elementary facts: Scientific and technological knowledge can be used for good and for ill. A basic task of government is to create guardrails and regulations that seek to ensure, as best we can, that the progress of such knowledge doesn’t endanger but rather benefits us.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-30
🔮 Who might “he” be, one wonders.
2026-09-30 · The Bulwark
Eric Schmitts the Bed · assertive framing

Claims (133 extracted, 9 hedged)

For Republicans trying to outrun a blue wave, the verdict is in: The Dallas midterm convention was a stinker. asserted
convention → try → wave
“To be honest with you, the numbers—when we did that convention—it dropped our numbers,” Paxton said in leaked audio reported today by the New York Times. asserted
Paxton → do → Times
“Everybody’s numbers dropped. asserted
numbers → drop → ?
Paxton, who made the remark at a private fundraiser, was answering the question: “Do you feel like he’s a little bit of a drag?” asserted
he → make → drag
Who might “he” be, one wonders. uncertain
one → wonder → ?
It had all been going so well. asserted
It → go → ?
The junior senator from Missouri had been working hard building a MAGA-pleasing brand as a staunch Trump ally who wasn’t afraid to play footsie with the blood-and-soil right. asserted
who → work → right
Just yesterday, Axios reported that Schmitt was “seen as a top prospect to become a potential 2028 running mate” for JD Vance. asserted
Schmitt → report → Vance
Then, just hours later, his big break seemed to have arrived—the moment that he thought he was about to launch his MAGA brand into the stratosphere. asserted
he → seem → stratosphere
And then it all fell apart. asserted
it → fall → ?
The Senate Judiciary Committee had hauled former Special Counsel Jack Smith in for questioning. asserted
Committee → haul → questioning
Republicans’ goal going in was clear: to harass and belittle a man in the top tier of Donald Trump’s enemies list, and to catch him in a perjury trap if they could. uncertain
they → go → trap
When Schmitt’s time came to question Smith, he embarked on a bizarre line of questioning intended to link Smith with another Trump enemy: Fulton County Prosecutor Fani Willis. asserted
he → come → enemy
Hadn’t he traveled to Atlanta in February 2024, just as a scandal was engulfing Willis’s parallel election-fraud prosecution of Trump? asserted
scandal → travel → Trump
Hadn’t he attended an Atlanta Hawks game that very same week? asserted
he → attend → game
Was it possible he had gone there to meet with Willis, no doubt for some nefarious purpose? asserted
he → go → purpose
But Smith did something Schmitt hadn’t expected. asserted
Schmitt → do → something
He denied having attended the Hawks game in question at all. asserted
He → deny → question
The senator couldn’t believe it. asserted
senator → believe → it
He and his colleagues had hoped to catch Smith in some lie that could be used as a pretext to prosecute him. uncertain
that → hop → him
And now, he thought, he’d been the one to catch him. asserted
he → think → him
Schmitt could barely conceal his smug glee as he proceeded: “What would you say if I had a series of text messages from your team that said you were in Atlanta at a Warriors–Hawks game on February 3, 2024?” he asked, a grin tugging at his mouth. uncertain
grin → conceal → mouth
“I don’t think you know that we have this stuff, so I’ll give you a second to process it so you don’t perjure yourself. asserted
you → think → yourself
I think you’ve already perjured yourself.” asserted
you → think → yourself
A few minutes later, he wrapped up his testimony by calling Smith a “dirtbag.” asserted
he → wrap → Smith
He’d been in Maryland, watching the Terps women’s basketball team take on the visiting Iowa Hawkeyes. asserted
team → watch → Hawkeyes
Minutes later, a visibly furious Schmitt was blustering wildly as Sen. Amy Klobuchar icily rubbed his nose in it: “I think people should get their facts straight before they accuse someone of being a dirtbag, and not get the teams wrong. asserted
teams → bluster → someone
You had the teams wrong, sir.” asserted
teams → have → ?
Amazingly, Schmitt refused to apologize, insisting he’d just been asking questions. asserted
he → refuse → questions
I’ll be honest: It was all highly enjoyable to watch. asserted
It → watch → ?
(If you want to watch us having fun watching it, Sam and I did a video breakdown after the fact yesterday.) asserted
Sam → want → fact
JVL likes to say it’s great to watch bad things happen to bad people. asserted
things → like → people
Sometimes I see what he means. asserted
he → see → what
But to understand just how bad of shape we’re in as a country, consider this: It’s not clear that this humiliation will hurt Schmitt’s aspirations to higher office in the slightest. asserted
humiliation → understand → slightest
On one side of our great informational divide, Schmitt’s blunder is already going down in infamy. asserted
blunder → go → infamy
It was extraordinarily viral all day yesterday, with many Hill reporters at a loss to remember the last time a lawmaker had whiffed so hard during testimony. asserted
lawmaker → remember → testimony
For most of professional Washington and for most people with a mainstream-to-liberal information diet, it will likely be their first association when they think of Schmitt for years to come. asserted
they → think → years
Over the divide, however, things look very different. asserted
things → look → divide
Schmitt’s apparent “gotcha” moment buzzed quickly around right-wing media. asserted
moment → buzz → media
Podcaster Benny Johnson tweeted that Schmitt1 had “pulled out the receipts” and “CAUGHT Jack Smith perjuring himself.” asserted
Schmitt1 → tweet → himself
…and 93 more, not listed.
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