NFL Week 3 player props, picks: Buy low on Quinshon Judkins, De’Von Achane

Read the original at New York Post ↗
New York Post · collected 2026-09-27 · by Erich Richter

Quick Summary

Erich Richter provides NFL Week 3 player props and picks focusing on Quinshon Judkins of the Cleveland Browns and De’Von Achane from the Miami Dolphins. For Judkins, the article suggests betting on him to exceed 58.5 rushing yards given Carolina Panthers' weak rush defense, while for Achane, it recommends betting he will have more than 3.5 receptions due to his role in a pass-heavy scheme and underutilization so far this season. Richter’s record is highlighted with a ROI of 30.15% since 2022.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-02, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

In Week 3 of the NFL season, Erich Richter from the New York Post highlights Quinshon Judkins and De’Von Achane as players to watch for bettors. Judkins, a running back for the Cleveland Browns facing the Carolina Panthers, is expected to have an improved performance this week due to the Panthers' depleted linebacker corps, which ranks 29th in rush defense DVOA. Richter suggests betting on Judkins to exceed 58.5 rushing yards at -120 odds or 79.5 rushing yards at +220 odds with Sleeper and BetRivers respectively.

Meanwhile, Achane, who plays for the Miami Dolphins, is recommended to receive more passes from quarterback Malik Willis despite his limited receptions so far this season. With high usage rate on offense and a history as an effective receiver out of the backfield, Richter predicts Achane will surpass 3.5 receptions at -112 odds with DraftKings or exceed 5.5 receptions at +375 odds with Caesars Sportsbook.

Written for “NFL Player Props Picks” on 2026-10-05, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
17
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
6%
1 of 17 hedged
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Correction & hedging signals
64.3
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
1
Sports
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-09-27 · how these are computed

Story

📰 NFL Player Props Picks
Sports · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 6% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
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⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 7% hedged 1 of 14 📰 publisher trust 64
“The articles discuss different weeks of NFL predictions and outcomes (Week 3 vs Week 4), indicating they are not describing the same specific event.”
New York Post
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 5% hedged 1 of 20 📰 publisher trust 64
“The articles discuss different aspects of NFL Week 3 and do not describe the same specific incident.”

Publisher

New York Post · 6759 article(s) · 23 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 23 correction(s)
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Who wrote this

Erich Richter
40 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Rain is in the forecast for “Sunday Night Football,” and the Panthers better hope it’s a serious amount to keep this game low-scoring.
🔮 In a game that I expect could feature tons of points, back Tuten to be unleashed this weekend by a high-profile offense.
🔮 A whopping 10 of them are projected to end inside the distance with a finish.
🔮 I’m buying low on Henderson, as I believe he will put together a big game on Sunday in a must-win game where they need him involved.
🔮 On Tuesday, Mack said the trade was to cover $4 million in sales, which they had been marketing for the last two months and expected to triple those numbers.
🔮 I could wake up in a week and not even know that they played this series.”
🔮 For whatever reason, I would get fixated on bedrooms.”
🔮 The White Sox took Game 1 in Houston, but all the team could talk about after was their fans – or lack thereof, apparently.
🔮 “We’re projected around $12 million in liability if they keep going and get on a roll; they’ve done it before, we’re happy to jump on the ride and bring our customers with them.”
🔮 The Titans could keep it close; I’m not saying Baltimore covers here, as Saleh’s defense could come out with a spirited performance – but the Ravens are more talented at every position group, especially quarterback.
Also by Erich Richter
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 40 articles by Erich Richter →

Topics

BetRivers Carolina NFL Sleeper the Carolina Panthers

Subjects

Achane PERSON · 2× De’Von Achane PERSON · 2× Judkins PERSON · 2× NFL ORG · 2× Oronde Gadsden II PERSON · 2× Quinshon Judkins PERSON · 2× Bryce Young’s PERSON · 1× Emmanuel Wilson PERSON · 1× George Holani PERSON · 1× Jadarian Price PERSON · 1×

Narrative

De’Von Achane over 3.5 receptions (–112, DraftKings) | Over 5.5 receptions (+375, Caesars Sportsbook) De’Von Achane has been misused through two games by the Dolphins, and quarterback Malik Willis should be looking to get the ball in his hands. Achane is the only running back in the league that is playing 80 percent of snaps on offense and has a long history of being an excellent pass catcher out of the backfield.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-27
🔮 Judkins can get right here, and I project the Browns could win or at least keep this game close at home.
2026-09-27 · New York Post
NFL Week 3 player props, picks: Buy low on Quinshon Judkins, De’Von Achane · assertive framing

Claims (17 extracted, 1 hedged)

We’ll call Week 2 “solid-ish” results as we move into Week 3 of the NFL season for player props. asserted
we → call → props
We nailed Bryce Young’s come-up, hitting him to throw three touchdown passes at +515 but missed on some others in brutal fashion. asserted
We → nail → fashion
That’ll cover all of our losses and then some. asserted
That → cover → losses
But it doesn’t stop the frustration of missing other bets, including Jadarian Price to score a touchdown while Emmanuel Wilson and George Holani were stopped at the goal line four times. asserted
Wilson → stop → line
Regardless, our total record goes as follows as we move into Week 3. asserted
we → go → Week
If there was ever a week to back Quinshon Judkins, it’s this week, when the Carolina Panthers are missing their stud middle linebacker Devin Lloyd and weakside starter Claudin Cherelus. asserted
Panthers → be → linebacker
That’s a bad start for Carolina, which is already ranked No. 29 in rush defense DVOA. asserted
which → ’ → DVOA
Judkins hasn’t hit any of these numbers yet this year, but if we widen our sample size out a bit, he cleared 80 rushing yards in five games, and was over 59 in eight of his 13 games started. asserted
he → hit → games
Judkins can get right here, and I project the Browns could win or at least keep this game close at home. uncertain
Browns → get → home
De’Von Achane over 3.5 receptions (–112, DraftKings) | Over 5.5 receptions (+375, Caesars Sportsbook) De’Von Achane has been misused through two games by the Dolphins, and quarterback Malik Willis should be looking to get the ball in his hands. Achane is the only running back in the league that is playing 80 percent of snaps on offense and has a long history of being an excellent pass catcher out of the backfield. asserted
that → misuse → backfield
Achane was over 3.5 receptions once this year and in nine out of 16 games, though most of those (six) he also had at least six. asserted
he → have → six
both tight ends in Los Angeles are injured, leaving only Oronde Gadsden II as the primary option at the position. asserted
ends → injure → position
Gadsden supposedly had a “great week” at practice, and Jim Harbaugh sounds ready to let him loose. asserted
him → have → practice
The Bills are allowing the ninth-most yards to opposing tight ends so far this year, and they were a funnel last season to the position. asserted
they → allow → position
Why Trust New York Post Betting Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. asserted
he → trust → betting
During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. asserted
he → showcase → market
While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022. asserted
return → bet → 2022
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