Close contest expected between PPP, independent candidate in Saturday's Skardu by-election

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Cite

Nagri, J. (2026, September 4). Close contest expected between PPP, independent candidate in Saturday's Skardu by-election. Dawn. https://www.dawn.com/news/2027466/close-contest-expected-between-ppp-independent-candidate-in-saturdays-skardu-by-election

Dated when The Aporia collected the article, usually within hours of publication. Check the original for its exact date and byline.

Dawn · collected 2026-09-04 · by Jamil Nagri

Quick Summary

A close contest is expected between PPP candidate Akhtar Abbas and independent candidate Mohammad Saleem in the upcoming by-election for the GBA-09 constituency in Skardu, which will be held on Saturday. According to the election schedule, 33,000 voters will cast their ballots, with security personnel from GB Police, GB Scouts, and the armed forces deployed at polling stations. Analysts predict a close contest due to Abbas's potential vote bank and public sympathy after his father was disqualified, while Saleem had previously won in the constituency in 2020. The by-election was called after PPP candidate Fida Muhammad Nashad was disqualified by the GB Supreme Appellate Court.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-09-04, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

In a closely contested by-election held on Saturday, PPP candidate Akhtar Abbas Nashad won the GBA-09 (Skardu-III) seat in the Gilgit-Baltistan Assembly by a margin of 305 votes. Abbas secured 8,399 votes, while his opponent, independent candidate Wazir Saleem, received 8,094 votes. The by-election was held after the GB Supreme Appellate Court disqualified Abbas's father, Fida Muhammad Nashad, who had been declared a returned candidate in the June general elections. A total of 33,985 voters, including 17,658 men and 15,868 women, were registered to cast their ballots. More than 800 police personnel were deployed under special security arrangements for the polling, which remained largely smooth and peaceful. The constituency recorded an overall voter turnout of 51.79% in the election.

Written for “Skardu By-Election Results” on 2026-10-22, grounded in this article and the 2 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Skardu By-Election Results
Politics · 3 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 19% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Dawn · 0.88 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 23% hedged 3 of 13 📰 publisher trust 71
“Both articles report on the by-election in Skardu's GBA-09, specifically mentioning the outcome and voter turnout of this election.”
Dawn · 0.87 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 33% hedged 4 of 12 📰 publisher trust 71
“Both articles report on the same by-election in Skardu-III constituency and both mention Akhtar Abbas Nashad as the PPP candidate who won”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
26
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
19%
5 of 26 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Publisher signals
71/100
Dawn's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
3
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-09-04 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Dawn · 2049 article(s) · 3 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 3 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Jamil Nagri
18 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Under the new act, municipal corporations have been established in the cities of Chilas, Gilgit and Skardu, where elected members will choose mayors and deputy mayors.
🔮 Before the drill commenced, Colonel Chen Xi, the press secretary of China’s defence ministry, said last week that the exercise would help the two sides deepen exchanges and cooperation and enhance their ability to jointly respond to the threat of terrorism.
🔮 Sources could not confirm whether Mr Khurshid would be transferred to GB for court proceedings or taken to another city.
🔮 He warned that negligence in ensuring the safety of foreign nationals, particularly Chinese citizens, would not be tolerated.
2026-10-11 · assertive framing · Gilgit-Baltistan steps up security for foreigners
🔮 Stating that attacks on security personnel challenge state authority and would not be tolerated, he ordered strengthened security, surveillance, and search operations in Bashidas, Sher Nallah, and surrounding areas.
🔮 The Gilgit-Baltistan Rural Development and Climate Resilience (GBRDCR) project, supported through AFD financing, an EU grant, AKF funding and community contributions, will focus on climate-resilient infrastructure, basic services, renewable energy and institutional development.
🔮 The interior ministry, however, noted that visa-on-arrival access had been suspended for all countries after security concerns prompted a policy change at the highest level, and said any exception for Chinese nationals would need approval at the same level.
🔮 • Renowned climber Messner warns ‘white mountains’ may not survive another decade; calls for urgent action
2026-09-20 · assertive framing · ‘GB peaks more valuable than oil reservoirs’
🔮 They said Abbas could retain his father’s vote bank and may benefit from public sympathy following Nashad’s disqualification by the GB Supreme Appellate Court.
🔮 They said Abbas could retain his father’s vote bank and may benefit from public sympathy following Nashad’s disqualification by the GB Supreme Appellate Court.
Also by Jamil Nagri
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 18 articles by Jamil Nagri →

Topics

Dawn PPP Skardu The GB Election Commission the GB Supreme Appellate Court

Subjects

PPP ORG · 8× Nashad PERSON · 5× the GB Supreme Appellate Court ORG · 3× Dawn ORG · 2× Skardu GPE · 2× The GB Election Commission ORG · 2× the GB Chief Court’s ORG · 2× Akhtar Abbas PERSON · 1× Fida Muhammad Nashad PERSON · 1× GILGIT GPE · 1×

Narrative

Nashad’s son, Akhtar Abbas, will now contest the elections on PPP’s ticket, while Mohammad Ajmal will be in the field from PML-N. Former minister Mohammad Saleem, who is contesting as an independent, will also be among 10 candidates who have filed their nomination papers.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-04
🔮 Nashad’s son, Akhtar Abbas, will now contest the elections on PPP’s ticket, while Mohammad Ajmal will be in the field from PML-N. Former minister Mohammad Saleem, who is contesting as an independent, will also be among 10 candidates who have filed their nomination papers.

Claims (26 extracted, 5 hedged)

A close contest between a PPP and an independent candidate is expected as the by-election in the GBA-09 (Skardu-III) constituency is set for Saturday. asserted
election → expect → Saturday
The GB Election Commission had announced the by-election in the constituency after the GB Supreme Appellate Court had disqualified PPP candidate Fida Muhammad Nashad, who had been notified as a returned candidate in the June polls. asserted
who → announce → polls
Nashad’s son, Akhtar Abbas, will now contest the elections on PPP’s ticket, while Mohammad Ajmal will be in the field from PML-N. Former minister Mohammad Saleem, who is contesting as an independent, will also be among 10 candidates who have filed their nomination papers. asserted
who → contest → papers
According to the election schedule, 33,000 voters will cast their ballots as polling will run from 8am to 5pm. uncertain
polling → accord → pm
In a statement issued on Friday, GB Chief Election Commissioner (CEC) Raja Shahbaz Khan said that security, deployment of polling staff and other arrangements had been completed for the by-election GBA-09 (Skardu-III). asserted
security → issue → election
He expressed his determination to conduct “transparent, impartial and peaceful” elections and provide voters with the facilities to cast their vote without fear. asserted
He → express → fear
Khan also directed the institutions and officials concerned to fulfil their duties responsibly and effectively during the electoral process. asserted
Khan → direct → process
“No kind of obstruction in the polling process will be tolerated,” he warned. asserted
he → tolerate → process
Analysts said a close contest between PPP’s Abbas and the independent candidate is expected. asserted
contest → say → Abbas
They said that the PPP candidate retains his father’s vote bank and could have the public’s sympathy after GB’s top court disqualified Nashad. uncertain
court → say → Nashad
On the other hand, Saleem — winner from the same constituency in the 2020 GB general elections — had managed to be the runner-up in the June polls. asserted
Saleem → manage → polls
District Returning Officer (DRO) Hamza Murad also told Dawn that all arrangements and the security plan had been finalised for the by-election, with the polling staff and paraphernalia also dispatched. asserted
staff → tell → election
GBA-09 has a total of 61 polling stations, of which 25 have been declared “sensitive” in Category A, 11 termed “medium” under Category B, and another 25 deemed normal in Category C, the DRO said. asserted
DRO → have → C
“Personnel from GB Police, GB Scouts and the armed forces have been deployed accordingly,” Murad added. asserted
Murad → deploy → Police
Separately, GB Chief Secretary Arshad Majeed and the GB CEC held a meeting on Friday to review the security plan, law and order and arrangements at polling stations, according to a statement. “The chief election commissioner expressed his determination to conduct transparent, impartial and peaceful elections, while the chief secretary assured full cooperation from the provincial government,” it stated. uncertain
it → hold → government
Shakoor Abdullah, a local journalist, told Dawn that voters in the constituency were enthusiastic to use their right to vote. asserted
voters → tell → right
Currently, PPP has 13 seats in the GB Assembly, PML-N has nine, the Istehkam-i-Pakistan Party (IPP) has six, while Majlis Wahdat-i-Muslimeen (MWM) and a PTI-backed independent occupy one seat each. asserted
Muslimeen → have → seat
According to Forms 47 and 48 issued by the GB Election Commission, Nashad, the PPP candidate and veteran politician, had won a GB Assembly seat from GBA-09 (Skardu-III) in the June 7 general elections. uncertain
Nashad → accord → elections
However, his opponent, Zakir Hussain, had challenged his eligibility to become a member of the assembly before the GB Supreme Appellate Court. asserted
opponent → challenge → Court
On June 19, GB Supreme Appellate Court Chief Justice Sardar Muhammad Shamim Khan issued an order suspending the issuance of the result from the constituency until the case was decided. asserted
case → issue → constituency
In its verdict on July 9, the GB Supreme Appellate Court had disqualified PPP candidate Nashad for concealing his assets in his nomination papers, setting aside the GB Chief Court’s decision that had allowed him to contest the elections. asserted
him → disqualify → elections
The court declared the GB Chief Court’s order dated May 25, 2026 “null and void” and upheld the election tribunal’s decision. uncertain
order → declare → decision
Nashad’s nomination papers were initially rejected by the returning officer (RO), prompting him to challenge the decision before the election tribunal. asserted
papers → reject → tribunal
The tribunal, however, upheld the RO’s decision. asserted
tribunal → uphold → decision
Subsequently, Nashad challenged the tribunal’s verdict in the GB Chief Court, which allowed him to contest the elections. asserted
him → challenge → elections
After the verdict was issued by the GB Supreme Appellate Court, the GB Election Commission announced a by-election in GBA-09 on September 5. asserted
Commission → issue → September
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