The Melbourne suburbs where property owners are selling at a loss

Read the original at The Sydney Morning Herald ↗
The Sydney Morning Herald · collected 2026-09-25 · by Wes Mountain

Quick Summary

In Melbourne, 11% of home sales in the June quarter resulted in losses for sellers, with units faring worse than houses. Specifically, nearly half of unit sales and about a third of house sales in inner suburbs like the City of Melbourne and Stonnington incurred financial losses. Cotality economist Annabelle Mezieres attributes these trends to weaker capital growth compared to other cities, higher interest rates, reduced borrowing capacity, and decreased investor demand.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-09-25, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

In Melbourne, 11% of home sales in the June quarter resulted in losses for sellers, higher than any other Australian capital city. Specifically, 47% of unit sales and 33% of house sales in the City of Melbourne and Stonnington respectively saw losses. This trend is particularly pronounced with units, where over one-fifth sold at a loss compared to Sydney's rate of about 10%. Real estate analytics firm Cotality attributes this high rate of loss-making sales to Melbourne’s weaker capital growth, noting that property values rose by only 0.8% in the five years leading up to June, leaving little buffer for sellers against market declines.

Written for “Melbourne Property Market Decline” on 2026-10-05, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
33
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
12%
4 of 33 hedged
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Correction & hedging signals
61.2
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
1
Economy/Business
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-09-25 · how these are computed

Story

📰 Melbourne Property Market Decline
Economy/Business · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 12% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Guardian
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 5% hedged 1 of 20 📰 publisher trust 68
“The articles discuss different cities and broader trends over time rather than a single specific incident.”

Publisher

The Sydney Morning Herald · 2378 article(s) · 4 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 4 correction(s)
2026-10-03
Tennessee’s prisons chief to resign after failed execution of Christa Pike
2026-09-28
Inside the prison left abandoned for years – now set to reopen as DV offenders weigh on system
2026-09-19
What will happen to your most cherished possessions when you die? You don’t want to know
2026-09-18
What will happen to your most cherished possessions when you die? You don’t want to know

Who wrote this

Wes Mountain
4 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Home sellers in pockets of Melbourne are dropping prices and saying they “must sell”, as experts warn the number of distressed listings will increase as the property downturn continues.
🔮 While this means the low preliminary clearance rate is not necessarily indicative, agents warned the threat of another rate hike from the Reserve Bank on Tuesday could lead to more vendors choosing to hold back on selling their properties, further shrinking supply in what is traditionally the busiest period of the year for auctions.
🔮 “Values rose by just 0.8 per cent over the five years to June, so owners who bought during that period have had little or no gain to absorb a fall,” she said, noting even a modest decline could mean a loss for some sellers.
🔮 While last week saw the preliminary clearance rate above 60 per cent for the first time since before the May budget, this week saw it fall below that benchmark – generally considered to indicate a balanced market – and return to the mid-50s, despite peak Spring auction season. 50 and 52 Lang Street had a price guide of $2.1 million to $2.3 million, with a $2.3 million reserve.
Also by Wes Mountain
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

Topics

Australian Cotality Melbourne Stonnington Sydney

Subjects

Melbourne GPE · 8× Cotality ORG · 2× Mezieres PERSON · 2× South Yarra GPE · 2× Stonnington GPE · 2× Australian NORP · 1× Boroondara GPE · 1× Port Phillip GPE · 1× Sydney GPE · 1× the City of Melbourne GPE · 1×

Narrative

Ray White Southbank agent Tommy-Lee Davies thought expensive off-the-plan apartment sales which did not break even at resale helped explain why the Melbourne local government area was over-represented in loss-making sales, with a median loss of $61,250.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-25
🔮 “Values rose by just 0.8 per cent over the five years to June, so owners who bought during that period have had little or no gain to absorb a fall,” she said, noting even a modest decline could mean a loss for some sellers.
2026-09-25 · The Sydney Morning Herald
The Melbourne suburbs where property owners are selling at a loss · assertive framing

Claims (33 extracted, 4 hedged)

Melbourne home sellers are more likely to make a loss than those in any other Australian capital city, with 11 per cent of home sales in the June quarter making a loss. asserted
cent → make → loss
Just over one in five Melbourne units sold at a loss, almost double the rate of those in Sydney, while 4.3 per cent of house sellers lost money, data from real estate analytics firm Cotality shows. asserted
data → sell → Cotality
In both cases, Melbourne sellers were the most likely of any capital city to make a loss. asserted
sellers → make → loss
By region, the City of Melbourne topped the list for losses in local government areas. asserted
City → top → areas
Almost half (47 per cent) of sales in the unit-dense market sold at a loss, despite the area having the longest holding period for owners before selling. asserted
area → sell → owners
A third of home sales in sought-after Stonnington made a loss, while about a quarter of sales in Boroondara and Port Phillip lost money. asserted
quarter → seek → money
Cotality economist Annabelle Mezieres said Melbourne’s relatively high rate of loss-making sales reflected its much weaker capital growth than other capital cities. asserted
rate → say → cities
“Values rose by just 0.8 per cent over the five years to June, so owners who bought during that period have had little or no gain to absorb a fall,” she said, noting even a modest decline could mean a loss for some sellers. uncertain
decline → rise → sellers
“Melbourne was also the first capital to enter the downturn, and higher interest rates, reduced borrowing capacity and softer investor demand have added to those pressures.” asserted
rates → enter → pressures
Ray White Southbank agent Tommy-Lee Davies thought expensive off-the-plan apartment sales which did not break even at resale helped explain why the Melbourne local government area was over-represented in loss-making sales, with a median loss of $61,250. asserted
area → think → 61,250
“Anyone in the world can buy [a unit] off the plan, but as soon as it becomes second-hand, you go from a global market to people that are only here,” he said. asserted
he → buy → people
“That’s where I’ve seen the biggest losses – people losing hundreds of thousands of dollars ... asserted
I → ’ → dollars
[Apartments are] still not even selling for what they did 10 years ago off the plan. asserted
they → sell → plan
Mezieres said the 9.3-year median holding period for loss-making unit sales, compared to 4.2 years for houses, suggested unit losses were not the result of recent price falls but a longer-term issue. uncertain
losses → say → falls
“Melbourne units have had weaker growth and are more exposed to softer investor demand,” she said. asserted
she → have → demand
A property Davies sold in September for $405,000 fetched about $150,000 less than the $556,000 it last sold for in 2015. asserted
it → sell → 2015
Multiple properties in the same 2006-built block have sold for six figures less than they were bought for within the past decade. asserted
they → build → decade
But the agent thought that owner-occupiers weren’t buying in the Melbourne area to double their money over time – it was for the lifestyle. asserted
it → think → lifestyle
“It’s a really, really good place to live – close to the city, you’re surrounded by parks, just five minutes away from work,” he said. asserted
he → ’ → work
Agents in areas like Stonnington – where 33 per cent of sales made a loss in the June quarter – said that while more vendors were making a loss, owner-occupiers also had a rare opportunity to upsize for less. asserted
occupiers → make → less
Biggin Scott Richmond agent Ignacio Rodriguez recently sold a two-bedroom apartment in South Yarra for $555,000 – less than the $580,000 his client bought it for in 2019. asserted
client → sell → 2019
But the client was able to buy a double-storey terrace home nearby thanks to the comparatively larger savings on houses in the suburb – while South Yarra units have gained 0.5 per cent in value in the past year, houses have lost 10.8 per cent, on Cotality data. “There’s big gains to be made for those who are in a position where they can,” Rodriquez said, noting a $25,000 loss on an apartment could pale in comparison to savings on a larger house. uncertain
loss → buy → house
Mezieres agreed top-end values had fallen further than other segments of the market in the June quarter, reducing the gap between mid-priced homes and more expensive options. asserted
values → agree → homes
Kay & Burton Stonnington agent James Paull said he hadn’t “seen such great opportunity for home owners to upsize in property” in the course of his career, particularly in prestigious suburbs like Toorak. asserted
owners → say → Toorak
But he said losing money on any purchase, particularly a home, was an emotional hit. asserted
losing → say → purchase
“It’s a hard thing to stomach,” Paull said. asserted
Paull → ’ → ?
“So if you are looking to sell, it’s important you understand your ‘why’ – is it a lifestyle decision? asserted
it → look → why
Do you need a larger home?” asserted
you → need → home
He also warned against chasing short-term gains, saying property is a “get-rich-slow game”. asserted
property → warn → gains
Mezieres said Melbourne was likely to continue to produce a higher proportion of losses, but noted the vast majority – 89 per cent – of homes sold for a profit in the June quarter. asserted
Melbourne → say → quarter
She thought this presented an opportunity longer-term. asserted
this → think → opportunity
“Weaker growth has left Melbourne comparatively more affordable,” she said. asserted
she → leave → Melbourne
“This improved affordability could support demand once the economy stabilises.” uncertain
economy → improve → demand
💬Give feedback
🕘History 🎫Support