A week in diplomacy: Trump talks tough, and the world calls his bluff
WASHINGTON –
asserted
world → talk → bluff
From his high-profile address to the UN General Assembly to his high-stakes White House summit with Chinese leader Xi Jinping, US President Donald Trump this week was looking to reassert himself on the world stage.
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Trump → look → stage
But Trump’s diplomatic flurry has done little to dispel the view among many analysts of a president beset by problems at home and abroad.
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flurry → do → home
Those include a widening Iran war that has driven up US petrol prices and cratered his approval ratings, while his relations with allies worsen and the AI challenge from China intensifies.
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challenge → include → China
With the limits of his power exposed, Trump has begun facing pushback from world leaders on issues ranging from the crisis in the Middle East to Russia’s war in Ukraine, leaving the impression of a foreign policy agenda that has stalled.
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that → expose → agenda
This comes as Trump’s Republican Party faces midterm elections in November that could further constrain him politically.
uncertain
that → come → him
Even so, Trump’s speech to the United Nations on Sept 22 was a stark reminder of how, since returning to the White House in 2025, he has shaken up the rules-based global order that Washington helped to create from the ashes of World War II.
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Washington → return → II
Standing atop the rostrum of a world body dedicated to peacemaking, he issued a fresh threat to “annihilate” Iran if it does not agree to a deal, defended his coercive approach to OPEC member Venezuela by asserting “to the victor belong the spoils”, and signalled he may not be done deploying the US military to achieve his international aims.
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he → stand → aims
Despite that strident stance, Trump’s talks with Xi on Sept 24 put the US president up against a Chinese counterpart who appeared to be in a stronger position, overseeing a surge in his country’s trade with the world while the US grapples with the economic fallout from the Iran conflict.
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US → put → conflict
The most tangible outcome appeared limited to a two-month extension of a trade truce, originally due to expire in November, between the world’s two biggest economies.
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outcome → appear → economies
While Trump showed little interest in publicly airing any differences between the two powers, Chinese state media reported that, behind closed doors, Xi urged him to oppose independence for Taiwan.
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Xi → show → Taiwan
The democratically governed island claimed by China remains the most contentious topic in relations between Washington and Beijing.
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island → govern → Washington
Trump’s seemingly non-confrontational attitude was a far cry from his previously hawkish, tariffs-driven approach, which has been tempered by Beijing’s control over rare earth minerals, a key input for technology and auto manufacturing that Beijing has shown the ability to withhold in retaliation.
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Beijing → drive → retaliation
“Trump sees himself taking us back to a world where might makes right,” said Brett Bruen, who was a foreign policy adviser in the Obama administration and now heads the Global Situation Room strategic consultancy.
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who → see → consultancy
“But it’s noteworthy that he goes all wobbly when it comes to Xi Jinping and ascendant Chinese power.
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it → ’ → Jinping
A White House official rejected the notion that Trump’s foreign policy has hit a wall and said his UN remarks “highlighted his various wins in advancing US interests around the world”, including preventing Iran from getting a nuclear weapon.
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remarks → reject → weapon
Tehran has always said its nuclear programme is for peaceful purposes.
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programme → say → purposes
Iran war stalemate
Looming over Trump’s packed week of diplomacy was the war with Iran, which he started alongside Israel on Feb 28.
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he → loom → Feb
It has dragged on for nearly seven months, disrupting global energy supplies and spreading to other countries in the region, most recently to Yemen and the Red Sea shipping corridor.
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It → drag → Yemen
Iran’s defiance, despite the economic and military beating it has taken, has become the most intractable foreign policy challenge of Trump’s second term.
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it → take → term
Trump used his address at the UN to defend his attack on Iran and to declare that “America is back”, stronger than ever.
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America → use → Iran
But after a string of early foreign policy achievements, including a Gaza ceasefire and the capture of Venezuela’s leader, Trump’s record in his second term in office is increasingly defined by stalemates.
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record → include → stalemates
With the Iran war deeply unpopular and dividing Trump’s political base, he could pay a price in the midterm congressional elections when his Republican Party’s control of Congress is at risk.
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control → divide → risk
World leaders appear to be preparing for a time when the US president’s influence could begin to wane following the midterms, and with less than two-and-a-half years left in office.
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influence → appear → office
Most European and Asian allies have already spurned Trump’s demands for assistance in an Iran conflict he launched without consulting them.
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he → spurn → them
At this year’s UN gathering, some US partners took aim at Trump, though mostly without mentioning him by name.
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partners → take → name
France’s President Emmanuel Macron warned against a global “return to the law of the jungle”, saying countries faced a choice between a world governed by power and coercion, and a “civilised international society”.
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countries → warn → power
In a rebuke to Trump, Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva decried foreign interference in his country’s October election and insisted that “we do not need aircraft carriers patrolling our waters.
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carriers → decry → waters
We need cooperation to stem the flow of weapons and money that fuel crime”.
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that → need → crime
The White House official, speaking on condition of anonymity, said Trump was “not concerned with posturing but about results”, and that some leaders’ public comments did not match what they told the president in private.
Resisting Trump
In another sign of diminished clout, Trump’s effort to pressure Ukraine and Russia to agree to even a limited energy ceasefire failed to gain much traction.
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effort → speak → traction
And while Trump touted a deal with Denmark and Greenland for an expanded US military presence in the vast Arctic island, it fell short of his initial demand to “own” the territory and his threat, if necessary, to take it by force from a fellow NATO member.
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it → tout → member
“A year ago, few countries dared cross Trump,” Ian Bremmer, president of the Eurasia Group, wrote on X.
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Bremmer → cross → X.
“Now, Canada, Europe, China, Iran, Russia and others are all more willing to say no.”
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Canada → say → ?
At one point, Trump himself seemed to wonder how much international sway he actually possessed.
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he → seem → sway
In his speech, he told world leaders he wanted to rebrand AI as “super intelligence”.
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he → tell → intelligence
“Let’s see if I have any power,” he said.
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he → see → power
“Maybe I do and maybe I don’t.
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I → do → ?
We’re going to find out pretty soon.”
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We → go → ?
The Aporia
