StatCan says fertility rate remains at the all-time low seen the previous year

Read the original at Toronto Star ↗
Toronto Star · collected 2026-09-23 · by Hannah Alberga The Canadian Press

Quick Summary

Statistics Canada reports that Canada's fertility rate remained at an all-time low of 1.26 children per woman in 2025, unchanged from 2024 and ranking among the lowest in high-income countries globally since 2009. Additionally, the average age of mothers giving birth increased to a record-high of 31.9 years, up from 26.7 years in 1976. The number of home births also returned to pre-pandemic levels seen in 2019, with approximately 7,000 non-hospital births recorded in 2025, down from a peak of over 9,000 during the pandemic.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-09-23, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

Statistics Canada reports that Canada's fertility rate remained at an all-time low of 1.26 children per woman in 2025, unchanged from 2024. This declining trend has persisted globally since 2009, with Canada among the bottom seven countries for fertility rates out of twenty high-income nations. The average age of mothers giving birth also hit a new record at 31.9 years, up from 26.7 years in 1976. Additionally, home births peaked during the pandemic year of 2021 with more than 9,000 babies born outside hospitals to avoid COVID-19 risks but returned to pre-pandemic levels around 7,000 last year.

Written for “Canadian Fertility Rate Low” on 2026-10-05, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
11
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
0%
0 of 11 hedged
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Correction & hedging signals
63.3
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
1
Health
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-09-23 · how these are computed

Story

📰 Canadian Fertility Rate Low
Health · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 0% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
National Post
⚖️ Leans right 🔴 3% hedged 1 of 29 📰 publisher trust 60
“The articles discuss different aspects of population trends in Canada and do not describe the same specific incident or occurrence.”
CBC News
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 7% hedged 2 of 27 📰 publisher trust 77
“The articles discuss fertility rates at different levels (national vs provincial) with distinct focuses.”

Publisher

Toronto Star · 5247 article(s) · 17 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 17 correction(s)
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Who wrote this

Hannah Alberga The Canadian Press
1 article(s) here · 0 carrying a prediction
Wire or desk byline, not an individual reporter.
Nothing else under this byline in the corpus.

Topics

Canada StatCan Statistics Canada TORONTO The Canadian Press

Subjects

Canada GPE · 1× Canadian Press ORG · 1× StatCan ORG · 1× Statistics Canada ORG · 1× TORONTO GPE · 1× The Canadian Press ORG · 1× the Canadian Medical Association ORG · 1×

Narrative

Home births peaked in 2021, with more than 9,000 babies born outside of hospitals that year, the agency says, as some families chose home births to reduce the risk of COVID-19 transmission.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-23

Claims (11 extracted, 0 hedged)

TORONTO - Statistics Canada says the country’s fertility rate in 2025 remained at an all-time low recorded the previous year. asserted
rate → say → low
The agency says the rate of 1.26 children per woman was virtually unchanged from 2024. asserted
rate → say → 2024
Fertility rates have been falling around the world since 2009, with Canada ranking in the bottom seven among 20 high-income countries. asserted
Canada → fall → countries
ARTICLE CONTINUES BELOW asserted
ARTICLE → continue → ?
The average age of mothers giving birth has meanwhile increased to a new high of 31.9 years. asserted
age → give → years
StatCan notes it’s been rising for decades – in 1976, the average age was 26.7 asserted
age → note → 1976
The data also shows the number of women giving birth at home is back to pre-pandemic levels seen in 2019. asserted
number → show → 2019
Home births peaked in 2021, with more than 9,000 babies born outside of hospitals that year, the agency says, as some families chose home births to reduce the risk of COVID-19 transmission. asserted
families → peak → transmission
The number of non-hospital births returned to around 7,000 last year. asserted
number → return → 7,000
This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 23, 2026. asserted
report → publish → Press
Canadian Press health coverage receives support through a partnership with the Canadian Medical Association. asserted
coverage → receive → Association
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