Drop in demand for wine has California farmers struggling to sell grapes this harvest season

Read the original at The Independent ↗
The Independent · collected 2026-09-22 · by Terry Chea

Quick Summary

California wine farmers are facing significant challenges during the harvest season as demand for wine declines, leading to a 20% decrease in wine sales over five years. This downturn forces growers like Bill Berryhill to either sell grapes at a loss or leave them unharvested, with some opting to remove vineyards entirely. Approximately one-quarter of California's total vineyard acreage has been taken out of production as farmers struggle to find buyers for their crops; this year, only 50% of the grape crop had contracts secured prior to harvest compared to a typical range of 70-80%.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-09-22, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

California farmers are facing dire challenges as demand for wine has dropped by more than 20% over a five-year period, affecting grape sales and forcing many to remove or stop growing grapes on roughly 25% of their land. This decline is leading some third-generation growers like Bill Berryhill from Berryhill Family Vineyards, located near Lodi in the San Joaquin Valley, to consider alternatives such as harvesting at a loss, leaving grapes unharvested, or switching to more profitable crops like almonds and walnuts. The situation has left Berryhill lamenting the waste of hundreds of tons of high-quality grapes, underscoring the significant financial strain on traditional farming families in the region.

Written for “California Grape Crisis” on 2026-10-05, grounded in this article and the 1 other(s) covering the same event.

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
42
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
7%
3 of 42 hedged
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Correction & hedging signals
58.8
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
2
Economy/Business
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-09-22 · how these are computed

Story

📰 California Grape Crisis
Economy/Business · 2 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 7% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Toronto Star · 0.95 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 4% hedged 2 of 49 📰 publisher trust 63
“Both articles describe the identical situation of California farmers struggling with grape sales due to decreased wine demand during the harvest season.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 5% hedged 2 of 41 📰 publisher trust 65
“While both articles discuss challenges in California's wine industry, they describe different aspects: Article A focuses on the overall decline in grape demand and vineyard production, while Article B specifically reports on an older winery going bankrupt.”
The Independent
⚖️ Leans strongly left 🔴 29% hedged 4 of 14 📰 publisher trust 59
“While both articles discuss struggles faced by California wine producers, they describe different issues: one addresses a general decline in grape demand and pricing across multiple vineyards, while the other specifically mentions a family-owned winery closing due to Canadian tariffs.”

Publisher

The Independent · 1624 article(s) · 4 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 4 correction(s)
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Pennsylvania confirms second death of child with measles after RFK Jr. told CDC director to delete numbers

Who wrote this

Terry Chea
2 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 "I will lose money for sure.
Also by Terry Chea
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

Topics

Allied Grape Growers Berryhill Family Vineyards California Lodi

Subjects

California GPE · 7× Berryhill PERSON · 3× Lodi GPE · 3× Allied Grape Growers ORG · 2× Bitter PERSON · 2× Collins PERSON · 2× Berryhill Family Vineyards ORG · 1× Bill Berryhill PERSON · 1× Jeff Bitter PERSON · 1× Kyle Collins PERSON · 1×

Narrative

The ongoing decline is compelling some farmers to uproot vineyards that their families have cultivated for generations. Wine sales have fallen by more than 20% over a five-year period, forcing down prices paid for grapes and prompting California growers to pull roughly a quarter of the state's total vineyards out of production. Many growers are currently forced to decide whether to harvest at a financial loss, leave fruit on the vine, or replace their vineyards with crops in greater demand, such as almonds, walnuts, pistachios, and olives. For third-generation grower Bill Berryhill, the downturn means another year of suffering financial losses and wasting hundreds of tons of healthy grapes. "It’s just sickening," said Berryhill, who was standing in a vineyard of unsold merlot grapes. "You raise a beautiful crop, and it’s really a nice vintage this year, and you drop it on the ground.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-22
🔮 "I will lose money for sure.

Claims (42 extracted, 3 hedged)

Harvest season has arrived across California wine country, but many growers are struggling to sell their grapes as shifting drinking habits have caused demand to plunge. asserted
demand → arrive → grapes
The ongoing decline is compelling some farmers to uproot vineyards that their families have cultivated for generations. Wine sales have fallen by more than 20% over a five-year period, forcing down prices paid for grapes and prompting California growers to pull roughly a quarter of the state's total vineyards out of production. Many growers are currently forced to decide whether to harvest at a financial loss, leave fruit on the vine, or replace their vineyards with crops in greater demand, such as almonds, walnuts, pistachios, and olives. For third-generation grower Bill Berryhill, the downturn means another year of suffering financial losses and wasting hundreds of tons of healthy grapes. "It’s just sickening," said Berryhill, who was standing in a vineyard of unsold merlot grapes. "You raise a beautiful crop, and it’s really a nice vintage this year, and you drop it on the ground. asserted
you → compel → ground
It’s sad. asserted
It → ’ → ?
Berryhill, who operates Berryhill Family Vineyards near Lodi in the San Joaquin Valley, said he cannot find buyers for grapes cultivated on 200 of his 500 acres (202 hectares). asserted
he → operate → acres
He plans to remove 50 acres (20 hectares) of his vineyards once the harvest season comes to an end. asserted
season → plan → end
"I will lose money for sure. asserted
I → lose → money
It’s just a matter of how much," Berryhill, 68, said. asserted
Berryhill → ’ → ?
At its peak during the pandemic, California contained nearly 600,000 acres (242,811 hectares) of wine vineyards, but farmers have cleared or stopped actively cultivating wine grapes on approximately 25% of that land, according to Jeff Bitter, president of Allied Grape Growers, an organization representing roughly 500 farmers statewide. uncertain
farmers → contain → farmers
This year, around half of California’s wine grape crop entered the harvest season without signed contracts with buyers, compared with typical years when 70 to 80% of the crop is secured under contract, Bitter said. asserted
Bitter → enter → contract
If they are lucky, growers are able to sell their uncontracted grapes at a loss to processors making concentrated syrup. asserted
growers → sell → syrup
Even as farmers have removed or abandoned tens of thousands of vineyard acres throughout California in recent years, excessive quantities of grapes are still being produced, Bitter said. asserted
Bitter → remove → grapes
"The market is just so depressed that it’s difficult to grow them profitably," he said. asserted
he → ’ → them
"Demand is not going up. asserted
Demand → go → ?
It’s still continuing to decline." asserted
It → continue → ?
Kyle Collins, a Lodi-based operations manager with Allied Grape Growers, recently evaluated mature grapes in a petite verdot vineyard in Lodi, which stands as one of California’s most productive wine regions. asserted
which → base → regions
"Unfortunately, we do not have a buyer for these grapes," Collins said. asserted
Collins → have → grapes
"That’s unfortunately a reality for not just this vineyard but a lot of us around here." asserted
That → ’ → us
Beyond causing direct damage to vineyards, the drop in sales has negatively affected local businesses and agricultural workers, he said. asserted
he → cause → businesses
"That’s not getting into the pockets of the people doing the field labor, the farmworkers," Collins said. asserted
Collins → get → labor
"It does have a trickle effect in the economy." asserted
It → have → economy
The crisis marks a dramatic shift for California's wine industry, which accounts for more than 80% of all U.S. wine production due to its unique geographical features and Mediterranean climate. asserted
which → mark → features
For decades, the state's wine sector expanded steadily as American consumers, particularly baby boomers, cultivated a preference for cabernet, zinfandel, chardonnay, and other varieties. asserted
consumers → expand → cabernet
Renowned wine regions such as Napa and Sonoma Valley produced premium vintages, while the Central Valley focused on growing grapes for less expensive commercial labels. asserted
Valley → produce → labels
Wine sales reached their peak during the pandemic in 2021, when social gatherings were restricted and restaurants were closed, prompting people to stock up on wine and drink more at home. asserted
restaurants → reach → home
However, over the past five years, wine sales have experienced a sharp drop, and industry expectations point toward further declines this year. asserted
expectations → experience → declines
In the U.S., sales of wine cases decreased 23% from 427 million in 2020 down to 329 million in 2025, while total wine expenditure fell 22% from $94 billion to $74 billion, according to First Citizens Bank, formerly Silicon Valley Bank, which produces an annual State of the Wine Industry Report. uncertain
which → decrease → Report
California cannot export its excess supply because global wine consumption is falling and domestic production costs are higher than in countries like Argentina and Australia, Bitter said. asserted
Bitter → export → Argentina
In 2025, worldwide wine consumption fell 2.7% compared with 2024 and was down 14% relative to 2018, with steep declines observed across Europe and China, according to the International Organization of Vine and Wine. uncertain
declines → fall → Vine
A range of factors is driving the contraction in wine sales. asserted
range → drive → sales
Baby boomers are aging out of the buying market, while younger consumers are drinking less alcohol due to health and financial considerations. asserted
consumers → age → considerations
At the same time, wine faces competition from craft beer, liquor, canned cocktails, and cannabis. asserted
wine → face → beer
"The kids just aren’t drinking as much," Berryhill said. asserted
Berryhill → drink → much
"And it’s not just wine, it’s whiskey and beer and everything. asserted
it → ’ → ?
And then you’ve also got the competition with all the seltzers." asserted
you → get → seltzers
International tariffs have further reduced export market opportunities, particularly to Canada, which had served as the single largest foreign buyer of American wine. asserted
which → reduce → wine
"The next step in the healing process is not only balancing supply and demand, but now actually figuring out what it is that the other consumers want," said Rob McMillan, chief wine strategist at First Citizens Bank. asserted
McMillan → heal → Bank
Industry representatives hope the market will reach a bottom soon. asserted
market → hope → bottom
In the meantime, growers are forced to absorb heavy losses while trying to hold on. asserted
growers → force → losses
Berryhill, whose grandfather began cultivating grapes nearly 100 years ago, does not intend to abandon wine growing even though it is costing him money. asserted
it → begin → money
"I love growing grapes. asserted
I → grow → grapes
…and 2 more, not listed.
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