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Malik Smith predicts that the New York Liberty will struggle against the Atlanta Dream, despite playing at home, due to fatigue from their recent travel schedule. The Liberty need these games to secure a top-four seed and home-court advantage but face an opponent that excels in points off turnovers and fast breaks. With the Dream ranking third in Net Rating and being well-rested after facing fewer games over consecutive days, Smith advises betting on the Dream with a moneyline of -122 at DraftKings.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-09-21,
using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the
same event (that is the story summary below).
Story summary
The New York Liberty lost 95-84 to the Atlanta Dream in a crucial game on Monday night, ending their chances of securing home-court advantage for the playoffs and leaving them likely to start on the road. The loss came after playing back-to-back games following a match in Toronto, leading to fatigue that affected performance. Breanna Stewart recorded 27 points and 14 rebounds but was visibly frustrated by a no-call from officials late in the game, resulting in her first technical foul since 2017. With just two regular-season games remaining, including another against Atlanta on Wednesday, the Liberty’s playoff scenario remains uncertain as they could finish anywhere between fifth and eighth place depending on other results around the league.
Written for “Liberty Dream Playoff Battle” on 2026-10-05,
grounded in this article and the 6 other(s) covering the same event.
The WNBA schedule makers deserve a round of applause for their work.
asserted
makers → deserve → work
With just two games left in the season, the Liberty face the Dream twice at home in two must-see games that offer them a chance to improve their standing before the playoffs.
asserted
that → leave → playoffs
The catch for the Liberty is they just played a game in Toronto on Sunday afternoon.
asserted
they → play → afternoon
That adds a bit of complexity to their situation; they control their own destiny but will likely have tired legs heading into one of their biggest games of the regular season.
Liberty vs. Dream prediction, best bet
The Liberty could secure a top-four seed in the playoffs and home-court advantage in the first round depending on how they finish the season.
They have a 1-0 lead over the Dream in the season series and would at least jump them if both teams finish with the same record.
uncertain
teams → add → record
The Dream still present a difficult matchup for the Liberty, rested or not.
asserted
Dream → present → Liberty
They have the third-highest Net Rating in the WNBA and are one of two teams that rank top-five in Offensive and Defensive Rating this season.
asserted
that → have → Rating
They do all of the little things well, too, ranking first in points in the paint, and second in fast break points, second chance points, and points off turnovers.
asserted
They → do → turnovers
The Liberty have struggled with turnovers all season, and this should be a physical matchup.
asserted
this → struggle → turnovers
The Liberty have not been good in spots where they have a rest disadvantage — 7-7 straight up and 3-11 against the spread.
asserted
they → have → spread
With their recent schedule — three games in four nights with two on the road — I expect their tired legs to be a big factor.
asserted
legs → expect → road
The Dream know their next two games are playoff previews, and I think they’ll be ready to take advantage.
asserted
they → know → advantage
The Play: Dream Moneyline (-122, DraftKings)
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Malik Smith has been immersed in the sports betting industry since 2017.
asserted
Smith → trust → 2017
He’s a data nerd with a particular focus on the NBA and combat sports.
asserted
He → ’ → NBA
He spends his weeknights in the winter looking for edges on plus-money NBA player props.
asserted
He → spend → props
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