Fact check: Vacancy numbers are at a five-year low

Read the original at Evening Standard ↗
Evening Standard · collected 2026-09-18 · by August Graham

Quick Summary

The article fact-checks claims about job vacancy numbers, reporting that as of recent data, vacancies are at their lowest point since the pandemic but still below levels seen before the early 2000s recession. Specifically, after falling to 635,000 during initial lockdowns in April 2020, the number of vacancies reached a low of 771,000 by May 2021 and have not exceeded 702,000 since then, except for periods affected by the pandemic. This figure is higher than levels from June 2001 to November 2014 when vacancy numbers consistently remained below current levels.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-09-20, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

Job vacancies in the UK have dropped to their lowest point since spring 2021, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS), with a reduction of around 8,000 quarter on quarter to 702,000. This figure is also the lowest in over a decade when excluding pandemic-related data. Regular average weekly earnings growth remained steady at 3.5%, but wage growth overall decreased slightly from 4.2% to 3.9% year-on-year. The UK unemployment rate stayed stable at 4.9% for July, yet more timely payroll data showed a decline of 26,000 workers in August to 30.2 million, following a drop of 19,000 the previous month. Smaller businesses are particularly cautious about hiring due to rising wage costs, while the public sector continues to expand with an increase of 11,000 jobs to employ approximately 6.21 million people by June. This labor market contraction is a concern as energy prices surge and inflation pressures mount.

Written for “UK Job Market Trends” on 2026-10-04, grounded in this article and the 2 other(s) covering the same event.

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
6
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
17%
1 of 6 hedged
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Correction & hedging signals
67.5
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
3
Economy/Business
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-09-20 · how these are computed

Story

📰 UK Job Market Trends
Economy/Business · 3 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 17% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Evening Standard
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 23% hedged 3 of 13 📰 publisher trust 68
“Both articles discuss the same recent drop in job vacancies to a five-year low, citing official figures from the ONS and covering similar time periods.”

Publisher

Evening Standard · 3431 article(s) · 22 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 22 correction(s)
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Who wrote this

August Graham
2 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 The party came to power in May 2010 as part of a coalition with the Liberal Democrats.
🔮 It did not climb back above 700,000 for over a year when it reached 771,000 in the three months to May 2021.
2026-09-18 · assertive framing · Fact check: Vacancy numbers are at a five-year low
Also by August Graham
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

Topics

ONS

Subjects

ONS ORG · 1×

Narrative

If excluding the 13 readings in 2020 and 2021 when vacancies were lower than today you have to go back to 2014 to find a time they were below 702,000.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-20
🔮 It did not climb back above 700,000 for over a year when it reached 771,000 in the three months to May 2021.
2026-09-20 · Evening Standard
Fact check: Vacancy numbers are at a five-year low · assertive framing

Claims (6 extracted, 1 hedged)

Evaluation Excluding the pandemic the number of vacancies was also lower for for more than a decade in the early 2000s than it is today. asserted
it → exclude → 2000s
Vacancies fell from 788,000 in the three months to March 2020 to 635,000 a month later as lockdowns hit. asserted
lockdowns → fall → 635,000
It did not climb back above 700,000 for over a year when it reached 771,000 in the three months to May 2021. uncertain
it → climb → May
If excluding the 13 readings in 2020 and 2021 when vacancies were lower than today you have to go back to 2014 to find a time they were below 702,000. asserted
they → exclude → 702,000
The ONS data only go back to the three months to June 2001. asserted
data → go → June
It remained below the current level for the entire period until the three months to November 2014 when it reached 703,000. asserted
it → remain → 703,000
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