Next warns against growth-‘stifling’ tax rises in Budget

Evening Standard · collected 2026-09-17 · by Holly Williams
Read the original at Evening Standard ↗

Summary

Next, in its first-half results, reduced its outlook for UK sales growth from 2.8% to 2%, citing rising living costs, higher mortgage rates, and a slowing job market. The company's executive chairman, Lord Wolfson, warned that further tax hikes could stifle economic growth and worsen government finances. Next also reported a significant increase in underlying pre-tax profits by 10.5% to £569 million for the six months ending July, driven largely by international online sales growth of 23.9%.
Written by the local model on 2026-09-17, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event.

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
16
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
0%
0 of 16 hedged
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Correction & hedging signals
68.4
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
unclustered
not grouped into a story yet
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-09-17 · how these are computed

AI analysis (generated at analysis time, not now)

Why this leaning score
The model judged this article politically coded and scored it -0.35, but all 1 of its quote(s) are attributed speech - words the article quotes from someone, not the article's own narration, so the score is not published.
Written under an earlier scoring contract, which gave a paragraph rather than checkable quotes. Re-analysing this article replaces it.
Leaning score withheld for article 15436: attributed speech only · logged 2026-09-17

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

Nothing to compare against. No article is close enough to this one for the pipeline to have linked or judged the pair.

Publisher

Evening Standard · 710 article(s) · 7 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 7 correction(s)
2026-09-17
Liverpool injury update: Hugo Ekitike, Federico Chiesa and Giovanni Leoni latest news and return dates
2026-09-17
Man Utd injury update: Luke Shaw, Amad Diallo, Carlos Baleba latest news and return dates
2026-09-17
Arsenal injury update: Jurrien Timber, Ben White, Cristhian Mosquera latest news and potential return dates
2026-09-17
Chelsea injury update: Joao Pedro, Moises Caicedo and Marco Palestra latest news and return dates
2026-09-16
Chelsea injury update: Joao Pedro, Reece James, Moises Caicedo latest news and return dates
2026-09-11
Liverpool injury update: Bradley Barcola, Cody Gakpo, Milos Kerkez latest news and return dates
2026-09-10
Chelsea injury update: Levi Colwill, Moises Caicedo and Marco Palestra latest updates and return dates

Who wrote this

Holly Williams
13 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 “In our view, the best outcome for UK growth would be a credible plan to get Government spending under control – eliminating the fear of higher taxes – alongside supply side measures to boost growth.”
🔮 “In our view, the best outcome for UK growth would be a credible plan to get Government spending under control – eliminating the fear of higher taxes – alongside supply side measures to boost growth.”
🔮 Under the triple lock guarantee, the state pension increases every April in line with whichever is the highest of total earnings growth in the year from May to July of the previous year, CPI (Consumer Prices Index) inflation in September of the previous year, or 2.5%.
🔮 Thomas Pugh, chief economist at RSM UK, said that despite ongoing weakness, the statistics show signs of stabilisation in the jobs market, which may give the Bank room to increase rates to combat inflation in the coming months.
🔮 Under the triple lock guarantee, the state pension increases every April in line with whichever is the highest of total earnings growth in the year from May to July of the previous year, CPI (Consumer Prices Index) inflation in September of the previous year, or 2.5%.
🔮 IEA slashes global oil demand and supply forecast again as Iran war intensifies The Paris-based agency said in its monthly report that the “impasse in negotiations between the United States and Iran” and renewed attacks in the region would “hamper the normalisation of oil flows”.
🔮 Co-op could face investigation into Southern Co-op deal over competition fears
🔮 The group said Lisa Jacobs is set to leave “no later” than September 2027 and will now kick off the search for her replacement.
🔮 The cuts are largely expected to impact office roles, with the majority of job losses affecting its UK operations, where around 34,000 staff in total are based.
🔮 Applied Nutrition hikes outlook after revenues jump 50% Applied Nutrition has hiked its earnings outlook thanks to a 50% surge in sales and forecast more growth over the year ahead despite pressure from rising whey prices. The health and wellness brand – which is backed by TV personality Coleen Rooney – said it now expects annual underlying earnings to jump by 40% to around £43.3 million after sales soared to £160 million in the year to July 31, up from £107 million the previous year.
2026-08-26 · assertive framing · Applied Nutrition hikes outlook after revenues jump 50%
More on this subject from Holly Williams
Next warns against growth-‘stifling’ tax rises in Budget
2026-09-17 · Evening Standard · 96% similar
All 13 articles by Holly Williams →

Topics

British Government India Next the Press Association

Subjects

Next ORG · 6× Government ORG · 3× Aarin Chiekrie PERSON · 1× British NORP · 1× Hargreaves Lansdown ORG · 1× India GPE · 1× Wolfson PERSON · 1× the Press Association ORG · 1×

Narrative

Next now expects full-year profits to rise by 8% to £1.23 billion and sales to increase 6.7%, up from growth of 7.3% and 6.3% previously expected respectively. Aarin Chiekrie, an equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown, said: “In the UK, hotter-than-expected weather and more effective marketing saw customers logging in to refresh their summer wardrobes online, helping offset a small decline in-store.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-17
🔮 “In our view, the best outcome for UK growth would be a credible plan to get Government spending under control – eliminating the fear of higher taxes – alongside supply side measures to boost growth.”
2026-09-17 · Evening Standard
Next warns against growth-‘stifling’ tax rises in Budget · assertive framing

Claims (16 extracted, 0 hedged)

In its first-half results, Next cut its outlook for UK sales growth in the final six months from 2.8% to 2% as it flagged concerns over the impacts on consumer spending from the rising cost of living, higher mortgage costs and a cooling labour market. asserted
it → cut → living
He added: “The tax burden is at its highest level for over 60 years and seems to us to be at the point where further increases only risk stifling growth – and lower growth is likely to only worsen Government finances – a vicious circle. asserted
growth → add → finances
“In our view, the best outcome for UK growth would be a credible plan to get Government spending under control – eliminating the fear of higher taxes – alongside supply side measures to boost growth.” asserted
outcome → get → growth
He told the Press Association the Government had “very little room for manoeuvre” and was unlikely to be able to afford further measures to ease cost-of-living pressures, given already creaking public finances. asserted
Government → tell → finances
“We’re not talking about a collapse in consumer spending, but the cost of living pressures from energy that are coming through will inevitably put downward pressure on that,” he told PA. asserted
he → talk → PA
Next raised prices in the UK by between 1% and 2% over the first half and is expected to maintain increases at the same level for the year as a whole and into early 2027. asserted
Next → raise → 2027
Lord Wolfson said the reduction in tariffs on goods from India had helped by boosting competition among clothing suppliers and offset rising costs for fuel, energy and labour. asserted
reduction → say → fuel
“We’re not seeing significant price inflation on the goods we’re buying for spring and summer next year,” he said. asserted
he → see → spring
The comments came as Next delivered yet another profit upgrade after half-year trading was “much better” than expected in the UK and its overseas, with British sales boosted by the record hot summer. asserted
sales → come → summer
It saw half-year UK full price sales rise 3.6%, with 7.4% growth online offsetting a 1.7% drop in stores, while international online sales jumped 23.9% despite price rises in some markets amid the Middle East conflict. asserted
sales → see → conflict
This helped underlying pre-tax profits rise 10.5% to £569 million in the six months to July. asserted
profits → help → July
Statutory pre-tax profits lifted 11.2% to £566 million. asserted
profits → lift → million
Next now expects full-year profits to rise by 8% to £1.23 billion and sales to increase 6.7%, up from growth of 7.3% and 6.3% previously expected respectively. Aarin Chiekrie, an equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown, said: “In the UK, hotter-than-expected weather and more effective marketing saw customers logging in to refresh their summer wardrobes online, helping offset a small decline in-store. asserted
customers → expect → store
“But international markets were the biggest contributor to top-line growth, fuelled by pent-up demand in the Middle East and Northern Europe.” asserted
markets → fuel → East
He added: “Next is set to lap a tough comparable period in the second half, and concerns about rising inflation and weaker employment in the UK have seen sales guidance here wound back a touch. asserted
guidance → add → UK
“We view this outlook as overly cautious given that Next’s sales are skewed towards middle-class and middle-aged consumers, who are likely to remain relatively resilient even if conditions deteriorate over the rest of the year.” asserted
conditions → view → year
💬 Give feedback
🕘 History 🎫 Support