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Democrat Mary Peltola expands narrow lead in Alaska Senate battle but race remains too close to call nine days after election

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Heller, V. (2026, November 12). Democrat Mary Peltola expands narrow lead in Alaska Senate battle but race remains too close to call nine days after election. Daily Mail. https://www.dailymail.com/news/us-politics/article-16287603/mary-peltola-alaska-senate-election.html?ns_mchannel=rss&ns_campaign=1490&ito=1490

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Daily Mail · collected 2026-11-12 · by Victor Heller

Quick Summary

Democratic hopeful Mary Peltola expanded her lead over Republican incumbent Dan Sullivan after the Associated Press processed 86 percent of ballots in Alaska's Senate race. While Donald Trump claimed on social media that Sullivan had won by a large margin, the updated count showed Peltola’s lead increasing from just over 600 votes to nearly 4,000. The report highlights the controversy surrounding the race, including allegations of voter confusion and a judge's recent denial of a Democratic request to access records for rejected absentee ballots.
Written by AI on 2026-11-14, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).
See how they differ ↓

AI analysis

Story summary

Nine days after the election, the Alaska Senate race remains too close to call, with Democrat Mary Peltola leading Republican incumbent Dan Sullivan by 5,800 votes as of November 13, according to the Associated Press, which had processed 88% of the ballots. The vote count shows Peltola with 125,157 votes (49.2%) and Sullivan with 119,357 votes (47%). Two additional candidates, Republican Gerald Heikes and independent Daniel J. Sullivan Jr., have received 5,490 and 4,199 votes respectively. Under Alaska's ranked-choice voting system, if no candidate wins more than 50% of the first-choice votes, the race could still shift. President Trump, who backed Sullivan, has accused Peltola of using a similar-sounding candidate to confuse voters, a charge known as the "Decoy Dan" drama. Despite this, Sullivan has remained confident in his chances of winning.

Written for “Mary Peltola Expands Lead Alaska Senate Race” on 2026-11-14, grounded in this article and the 2 other(s) covering the same event.

How they differ

2 outlets covered “Mary Peltola Expands Lead Alaska Senate Race”.

What each outlet says

One AI summary per outlet of its latest article on this story, written from that article alone and checked against it. Open the article for the outlet's own words.

Daily MailThis outlet12 Nov

Democratic hopeful Mary Peltola expanded her lead over Republican incumbent Dan Sullivan after the Associated Press processed 86 percent of ballots in Alaska's Senate race. While Donald Trump claimed on social media that Sullivan had won by a large margin, the updated count showed Peltola’s lead increasing from just over 600 votes to nearly 4,000. The report highlights the controversy surrounding the race, including…

Democrat Mary Peltola expands narrow lead in Alaska Senate battle but race remains too close to call nine days after election (this article)
The Daily Wire13 Nov

Democratic Alaska Senate candidate Mary Peltola has extended her lead over incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan to 5,800 votes with 88% of the ballot currently reported. The race is characterized by the presence of two "decoy" candidates, including an independent candidate and a self-identified Republican who were reportedly recruited by political operatives to confuse voters and split the GOP vote. This report…

Peltola Inches Toward Victory As ‘Decoy Dan’ Drama Deepens →

Compared with similar articles

This article reads centre and hedges 19% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Daily Wire
Centre Hedges 3 of 23 claims Outlet record 59/100
Just The News
Hedges 1 of 8 claims Outlet record 94/100
“The articles describe different aspects of the election process: one focuses on a specific legal suit regarding absentee ballot records, while the other discusses the overall status and lead of the race.”
BBC News
Hedges 2 of 27 claims Outlet record 66/100
“Article A discusses the specific election results and lead of Mary Peltola in the Alaska Senate race, while Article B explains the logistical challenges of vote-counting in Alaska, which is a different but related topic.”
Washington Examiner
Hedges 1 of 4 claims Outlet record 67/100
NBC News
Hedges 1 of 10 claims Outlet record 77/100
“The articles describe different stages of the same election, but they are not reporting on the exact same moment or outcome.”
Daily Mail
Leans left further left than this Hedges 5 of 23 claims Outlet record 70/100
“While both articles discuss the same ongoing Senate race in Alaska, they describe different stages of the race - one declares a victory while the other reports on an expanding lead but race remains too close to call.”
Fox News
Hedges 3 of 18 claims Outlet record 67/100
“Article A describes a specific court ruling against Mary Peltola's campaign, while Article B reports on the overall progress and expansion of Peltola's lead in the Alaska Senate race nine days after the election.”
Fox News
Leans left further left than this Hedges 3 of 21 claims Outlet record 67/100
“The articles describe different points in the counting process of the same election, but they do not report on the exact same moment in time.”
The Independent
Hedges 4 of 29 claims Outlet record 59/100
“The articles cover different aspects of the ongoing election in Alaska, with Article A focusing on a specific court ruling regarding rejected ballots and Article B discussing the overall status and results of the election.”
New York Post
Leans left further left than this Hedges 4 of 18 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles describe different stages of the same election race but refer to distinct moments in time with different vote counts, indicating they are reporting on separate events.”

Story

Mary Peltola Expands Lead Alaska Senate Race
Politics · 3 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↑
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
27
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
19%
5 of 27 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Centre
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
70/100
Daily Mail's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
3
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-11-14 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Daily Mail · 11076 article(s) · 24 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 24 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Victor Heller
98 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
'I could tell you if it was his daughter, he would change his tune,' Cynthia added.
'When the remaining votes are counted, Mary will decisively be elected as Alaska's next United States Senator,' she added.
Hakeem Jeffries is set to become Democratic House speaker in January A heckler yelled at Jeffries while he was talking on stage, calling him a 'f***ing liar'
The day after, Huang resigned, and the board announced that chief financial officer Colette Kress would take over as interim CEO.
Peltola added: 'It is clear that Sullivan's remaining pockets of support are getting smaller by the day.' Sullivan, on the other hand, has not yet reacted to the updated vote count but remained confident after election day that he will win, if the state's unique ranked-choice voting tabulation comes to play. Under Alaska's election system, if a candidate has more than 50 percent of the first-choice votes, they win outright, without a need to use ranked choice voting.
Jessup was studying at the Ivy League school's Journalism school and was pictured in the school's Class of 2027 in September, she was set to graduate next May.
After Hyde-Smith, 67, seemed to brush off high beef prices by saying consumers could choose other proteins, Colom cut a 30-second spot depicting incredulous voters saying they'd 'pick another senator instead.' On election night, Hyde-Smith nearly declared victory to a crowd of supporters at a watch party but stopped just short, saying she would emerge as the winner later by Wednesday morning. 'This is a much longer night than we thought it would be,' the Republican said, adding: 'I assure you I will continue to be your US Senator.
Willie Crain Jr, 80, was sentenced to death in the murder of seven-year-old Amanda Brown, whose body was never found after she disappeared in September 28 years ago.
Trey Davis, the businessman's adoptive son, described his father as someone who 'stood with his arms wide open, willing to lovingly accept you regardless of where you stood in life.
The Daily Mail already reported in June that Wiles might leave the White House after the midterms.
Also by Victor Heller
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 98 articles by Victor Heller →

Topics

Alaska Democratic GOP Senate Washington

Subjects

Sullivan PERSON · 7× Peltola PERSON · 6× Alaska GPE · 4× Dan Sullivan PERSON · 4× Senate ORG · 4× Democratic NORP · 3× GOP ORG · 3× Trump PERSON · 3× Mary Peltola PERSON · 2× Washington GPE · 2×

Narrative

Democratic hopeful Mary Peltola managed to expand her lead over Republican incumbent Senator Dan Sullivan after the AP processed 86 percent of votes Trump-backed GOP nominee Sullivan has not commented on the updated batch of balltos but shown himself confident after November 3 that he can still win the Last Frontier's Senate race Despite that, the Democrat celebrated her recent gain on social media, saying that 'she continues to overperform in traditionally conservative areas around the state which she views as 'yet another proof point that Sullivan's path to victory is non-existent.'
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-14
Peltola added: 'It is clear that Sullivan's remaining pockets of support are getting smaller by the day.' Sullivan, on the other hand, has not yet reacted to the updated vote count but remained confident after election day that he will win, if the state's unique ranked-choice voting tabulation comes to play. Under Alaska's election system, if a candidate has more than 50 percent of the first-choice votes, they win outright, without a need to use ranked choice voting.

Claims (27 extracted, 5 hedged)

We’re faster. asserted
We → ’re → ?
Sign up to the free weekly DC Insider newsletter for a front-row seat to Washington Nine days after the Democratic 'bluenami' turned Washington upside down, the country's most controversial Senate race in Alaska remains too close to call, but is on track to cause yet another major upset for Republicans. asserted
race → sign → Republicans
On Wednesday night, the AP announced it has processed 86 percent of the ballots from the Last Frontier – and the new batch expanded Democratic hopeful Mary Peltola's lead over Trump-backed GOP incumbent Dan Sullivan. asserted
batch → announce → Sullivan
The fight for the Last Frontier's Senate seat has attracted international attention as Democrats in the state have been accused of recruiting a similarly named candidate to run against GOP Senator Sullivan, allegedly intending to confuse voters and help Peltola. uncertain
Democrats → attract → Peltola
The updated vote count comes just a few days after the president himself weighed in on the midterm battle on Saturday, claiming on Truth Social that 'the Alaska Race is OVER' and 'Dan Sullivan WON, BY A LOT!' asserted
Sullivan → update → LOT
On Tuesday, Trump lashed out against Peltola again, saying that 'all votes going to the Fake Dan Sullivan' should be given to the Republican nominee and labeled the Senate race a 'rigged election.' asserted
votes → lash → race
No one else declared a winner yet and since the president's post, Peltola has actually gotten further ahead of Sullivan from a little over 600 to almost 4,000 votes. asserted
Peltola → declare → votes
This follows news that an Alaska judge denied a request from the Democrat's campaign to access records identifying rejected absentee votes during the ongoing count. asserted
judge → follow → count
Peltola's campaign sued last week seeking information about absentee ballots that were flagged for potential rejection and the reason they were flagged. asserted
they → sue → rejection
But Alaska Superior Court Judge Thomas Matthews ruled that the request for the records was 'simply not reasonable nor required right now,' while state attorneys cited voter privacy interests as another concern about the request. asserted
attorneys → rule → request
Democratic hopeful Mary Peltola managed to expand her lead over Republican incumbent Senator Dan Sullivan after the AP processed 86 percent of votes Trump-backed GOP nominee Sullivan has not commented on the updated batch of balltos but shown himself confident after November 3 that he can still win the Last Frontier's Senate race Despite that, the Democrat celebrated her recent gain on social media, saying that 'she continues to overperform in traditionally conservative areas around the state which she views as 'yet another proof point that Sullivan's path to victory is non-existent.' asserted
path → manage → victory
Peltola added: 'It is clear that Sullivan's remaining pockets of support are getting smaller by the day.' Sullivan, on the other hand, has not yet reacted to the updated vote count but remained confident after election day that he will win, if the state's unique ranked-choice voting tabulation comes to play. Under Alaska's election system, if a candidate has more than 50 percent of the first-choice votes, they win outright, without a need to use ranked choice voting. asserted
they → add → voting
But if no candidate wins a majority of first-preference votes, the candidate with the fewest first-preference votes is eliminated. asserted
candidate → win → votes
Ballots that ranked a failed candidate as their first choice are then re-counted as first-preference ballots for the next-highest-ranked candidate in that round. asserted
that → rank → round
For now, both candidates remain below the decisive 50 percent mark, with Peltola at 48.9 percent against Sullivan, who holds around 47.3 percent of the votes. But it might take until the end of the month before Alaskans will find out who their next senator will be. uncertain
senator → remain → month
The state's deadline to finish counting all remaining absentee, mail-in and provisional ballots is on November 18. asserted
deadline → finish → November
And even then, the target date set by the Alaska Division of Elections to officially certify the election results is not before November 25. asserted
date → set → November
An accelerated FBI criminal probe into the 'decoy' candidate scandal happening at the same time could further turn this election thriller into a dramatic saga and cast more shadow over the Last Frontier. uncertain
probe → happen → Frontier
Trump declared Dan Sullivan as the winner in Alaska's tight Senate race last Saturday. asserted
Trump → declare → race
The updated ballot count shows from the AP shows a different direction Two Dan Sullivans appear on Alaska's midterm ballot Two sources familiar with the investigation told the Daily Mail that agents questioned Peltola's former campaign manager on November 3. asserted
agents → update → November
The FBI approached Elisa Rios in Chicago last week, two sources revealed. asserted
sources → approach → Chicago
'Full speed ahead,' is how one source described the inquiry. asserted
source → describe → inquiry
Rios was allegedly involved in recruiting the second Dan Sullivan in an apparent effort to confuse voters and peel away votes from the incumbent. uncertain
Rios → involve → incumbent
Peltola has denied any involvement in the alleged scheme. asserted
Peltola → deny → scheme
But the other 'decoy' Dan Sullivan has attracted 4,100 votes, making his candidacy potentially determinative. asserted
candidacy → attract → votes
There's fear among conservatives that the 'decoy' candidate could take decisive votes from the incumbent and hand Peltola a win. uncertain
candidate → be → win
The Daily Mail contacted Sullivan's campaign for comment. asserted
Mail → contact → comment
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