The Aporia · Jim Jordan’s ascent to minority leader represents new chapter for Republicans

Lauren Green

54 article(s) here · 0 carrying a prediction

Emmer, who has served as GOP whip since January 2023, will be the No. 2 Republican in Congress next year as the party takes the minority.

2026-11-10 · assertive framing · Tom Emmer defeats August Pfluger for No. 2 spot in House GOP minority

Emmer, who has served as whip since January 2023, will be the number two Republican in Congress next year as the party takes the minority.

2026-11-10 · assertive framing · Tom Emmer defeats August Pfluger for number two spot in the House GOP minority

Republicans experienced an extinction-level event last week, as House Democrats will have a caucus north of 250 seats en route to eliminating nearly every battleground Republican.

2026-11-10 · assertive framing · Republicans reel from staggering losses in return to Capitol Hill: ‘I’m thankful to have survived’

Democrats notched several shocking flips in seats President Donald won by double digits in 2024, meaning those districts will be some of the toughest to defend in a more even election cycle.

2026-11-06 · assertive framing · Democrats’ most vulnerable rental seats in 2028

William Lawrence, a progressive insurgent, declared victory over freshman Rep. Tom Barrett (R-MI) Wednesday in one of Democrats’ top pickup opportunities in the country.

2026-11-04 · mixed framing · Progressive William Lawrence unseats Tom Barrett in Michigan

A battle for who will lead House Republicans for the last two years of Donald Trump’s presidency broke out mere hours after the party lost its majority, setting the stage for a major shake-up of the party’s top brass.

2026-11-04 · assertive framing · House GOP faces leadership scramble after midterm romp

Democrats entered Tuesday night with the expectation of a House majority, but with questions lingering about how much buffer Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-NY) might have with an incoming group of socialist-aligned candidates.

2026-11-04 · assertive framing · House Democrats declare victory and introduce ‘Speaker Jeffries’

Cuellar filed for reelection as a Democrat immediately after, enraging the president, who believed he would switch parties.

2026-11-04 · assertive framing · Henry Cuellar beats top Republican recruit to secure 12th term

Iowa state Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott defeated Rep. Zach Nunn (R-IA), marking the first time a Democrat will represent the Hawkeye State in Congress since Nunn flipped the seat in 2022.

2026-11-04 · assertive framing · Sarah Trone Garriott ousts Rep. Zach Nunn in Iowa House race

Also by Lauren Green

Tom Emmer defeats August Pfluger for No. 2 spot in House GOP minority

2026-11-10 · Washington Examiner

Tom Emmer defeats August Pfluger for number two spot in the House GOP minority

2026-11-10 · Washington Examiner

Republicans reel from staggering losses in return to Capitol Hill: ‘I’m thankful to have survived’

2026-11-10 · Washington Examiner

Jeffries won’t say whether he has votes locked up for speaker: ‘I guess we’ll find out’

2026-11-09 · Washington Examiner

Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

All 54 articles by Lauren Green →

Hailey Bullis

47 article(s) here · 0 carrying a prediction

Rep. Jim Jordan (R-OH) will lead House Republicans for the final two years of the Trump administration.

2026-11-10 · assertive framing · Jim Jordan beats Steve Scalise to become House minority leader

House Republicans will decide who will lead them in the 120th Congress on Tuesday, picking between Majority Leader Steve Scalise (R-LA) and Judiciary Committee Chairman Jim Jordan (R-OH) for minority leader.

2026-11-10 · assertive framing · Republicans to choose between Scalise and Jordan as minority leader

Republicans experienced an extinction-level event last week, as House Democrats will have a caucus north of 250 seats en route to eliminating nearly every battleground Republican.

2026-11-10 · assertive framing · Republicans reel from staggering losses in return to Capitol Hill: ‘I’m thankful to have survived’

The House Republican conference is set to see a major brain drain of intelligence and defense hawks following the staggering defeat in the 2026 midterm elections.

2026-11-05 · assertive framing · House intelligence and national security hawks suffer major losses in midterm elections

Republicans entered the election with a slight redistricting advantage, with new congressional maps projected to net the party roughly three seats.

2026-11-04 · assertive framing · GOP redistricting strategy crumbles as blue wave sweeps across the map

2026-11-04 · assertive framing · House GOP faces leadership scramble after midterm romp

House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) told staff Wednesday morning that he will not seek to become House minority leader in the next Congress, sources familiar with the matter told the Washington Examiner.

2026-11-04 · assertive framing · Mike Johnson won’t run for minority leader after steep GOP midterm losses

Democrats are projected to retake the House majority in the 120th Congress, ending Republicans‘ trifecta in Washington to cap a night in which they sailed to victory in both chambers of Congress.

2026-11-04 · mixed framing · Democrats cap off midterm night to remember as they clinch 218 seats to win House to go with Senate sweep

“From the first day of this election, we knew that to keep the House and sustain our majority, we would have to defy more than a century of midterm history,” Johnson said.

2026-11-04 · assertive framing · Mike Johnson says it ‘looks like history will be kept’ for Republicans losing House majority

Bennett and Democrats sought to use his absence against him on the campaign trail, with Bennett telling reporters following the pair’s only debate that she would have been more transparent if she were in Kean’s position.

2026-11-04 · assertive framing · New Jersey’s Tom Kean Jr. loses House race to Rebecca Bennett after prolonged medical absence

Also by Hailey Bullis

Jim Jordan beats Steve Scalise to become House minority leader

2026-11-10 · Washington Examiner

Republicans to choose between Scalise and Jordan as minority leader

2026-11-10 · Washington Examiner

Republicans reel from staggering losses in return to Capitol Hill: ‘I’m thankful to have survived’

2026-11-10 · Washington Examiner

House Republicans return to Capitol Hill with limited time left in power

2026-11-09 · Washington Examiner

Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

All 47 articles by Hailey Bullis →

Molly Parks

136 article(s) here · 0 carrying a prediction

As incoming NRCC chairman, Jack will be tasked with leading congressional Republicans’ campaign wing heading into the 2028 elections as the conference hopes to rebound following the loss of more than 30 incumbent members in 2026.

2026-11-10 · assertive framing · Republicans select Brian Jack as new campaign chief to retake majority in 2028

The White House is pointing to President Donald Trump’s past comments about how gas prices would fall after the midterm elections in an “I told you so” moment as prices hit $4 per gallon.

2026-11-09 · mixed framing · White House brags as gas prices drop to $4 just days after midterm elections

Democratic Sen.-elect Abdul el Sayed of Michigan decried Miller’s promotion as part of “incoherent messaging” from the Trump administration, arguing the choice runs contrary to Trump’s statements that he’s willing to work with incoming Democrats elected in 2026 midterms.

2026-11-08 · assertive framing · ‘Fear and vitriol’: Democrats trash Stephen Miller as new Trump chief of staff

Gov. Kathy Hochul (D-NY) tapped James to serve as special prosecutor in the Cornell gang rape case in early October, saying James would “investigate this incident and, if warranted, prosecute any offenses arising from that investigation and present evidence to a grand jury.”

2026-11-06 · assertive framing · Four Cornell defendants join push to remove Letitia James from investigation

The deployment will also include patrol lights and portable light towers, according to multiple outlets.

2026-11-06 · mixed framing · Hegseth expands National Guard patrols in DC with military vehicles and boats

Blackburn announced that she would hold off on retiring from the Senate until she is sworn in to her gubernatorial seat in January, meaning she will be in charge of appointing her successor for the remainder of her unexpired term.

2026-11-06 · speculative framing · Hegseth not being considered for Blackburn’s Tennessee Senate seat: Report

Hines slammed President Donald Trump’s tariff policies throughout the campaign, saying she would fight to put Congress in charge of U.S. trade policy and also take aim at corporate price gouging to bring down prices for consumers.

2026-11-04 · assertive framing · Christina Hines flips Michigan’s toss-up 10th District blue

Democratic Senators who have acted as party mavericks, willing to defect or speak out against their party, are likely to wield less power heading into the next Congress as their party expands its control of the upper chamber.

2026-11-04 · mixed framing · Fetterman’s power dissipates, along with other margin-riders

Powell emerged from a competitive, expensive Democratic primary in May to take on Harding in the general election.

2026-11-04 · assertive framing · Denise Powell flips Don Bacon’s Nebraska district blue

Socialist Janeese Lewis George clinched the race to be Washington, D.C.’s next mayor, setting up the Democratic Socialists of America member to lead the district through the remainder of President Donald Trump’s second term.

2026-11-04 · mixed framing · Socialist Janeese Lewis George wins DC mayoral race as Trump White House looms large

Also by Molly Parks