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The Devils are using analytics to hide from the truth about sitting Connor Hellebuyck

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Cite

Sigel, J. (2026, November 10). The Devils are using analytics to hide from the truth about sitting Connor Hellebuyck. Toronto Star. https://www.thestar.com/sports/nhl/the-devils-are-using-analytics-to-hide-from-the-truth-about-sitting-connor-hellebuyck/article_f97fc948-ce6f-4f13-8e85-5bba6b28e6d7.html

Dated from the outlet's own feed. Check the original for its byline.

Toronto Star · collected 2026-11-11 · by Jonah Sigel

Quick Summary

New Jersey Devils general manager Sunny Mehta cited expected win probability analytics as the reason for sitting star goalie Connor Hellebuyck against his former team, the Winnipeg Jets. However, coach Sheldon Keefe later provided a more conventional explanation related to Hellebuyck's recent workload and acclimation period with New Jersey. The article critiques Mehta’s use of analytics as an excuse rather than addressing potential underlying issues, such as tensions between Hellebuyck and Winnipeg fans due to his contentious departure earlier this year.
Written by AI on 2026-11-11, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

Connor Hellebuyck, traded from the Winnipeg Jets to the New Jersey Devils in October 2026, will not play against his former team on Tuesday night as initially planned. The Devils announced after a Sunday shutout win over the Toronto Maple Leafs that they would sit their star goalie due to an analysis suggesting it would reduce their expected win probability if he played. Despite Hellebuyck’s disappointment, the Devils decided it was better for him not to face the Jets in Winnipeg, leaving fans of both teams disappointed. On Wednesday morning, Hellebuyck addressed reporters via a livestreamed CBC event from his team's morning skate before meeting with the media again later that day.

Written for “Connor Hellebuyck Trade Drama In Winnipeg” on 2026-11-11, grounded in this article and the 9 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
This article does not take a side on a contested political question, so it has no leaning score. That is an answer rather than a gap: a match report or a rescue can be warmly or critically written without being left or right, and scoring it anyway is how approval of a subject gets recorded as a political position.
No political leaning scored for article 143424 · logged 2026-11-11

Story

Connor Hellebuyck Trade Drama In Winnipeg
Sports · 10 article(s) covering the same event. Compare every outlet's account →

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 11% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Fox News
Hedges 0 of 21 claims Outlet record 67/100
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
57
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
11%
6 of 57 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
64/100
Toronto Star's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
10
Sports
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-11-11 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Toronto Star · 13021 article(s) · 28 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 28 correction(s)
2026-10-26
Correction
2026-10-24
Correction
2026-10-07
Correction
2026-09-24
Correction

Who wrote this

Jonah Sigel
4 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
Fatigue, injuries, scheduling or a hot backup would top the list.
A game featuring McKenna, Stenberg and Celebrini is precisely the sort of attraction a company would use to sell subscriptions.
Instead, as the Leafs season got underway against the Montreal Canadiens on Tuesday, Bunkis responded to a fan on X asking if there would be a show after the season opener.
Now that the telecom giant has added full control of the Maple Leafs, Raptors, Toronto FC and Argonauts to a sports portfolio that already included the Blue Jays, some had wondered if Jays president and CEO Mark Shapiro would be the one tasked with running it all.
Also by Jonah Sigel
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

Topics

Devils NHL New Jersey Winnipeg the Maple Leafs

Subjects

Hellebuyck PERSON · 5× New Jersey GPE · 4× Winnipeg GPE · 3× Connor Hellebuyck PERSON · 2× Devils ORG · 2× NHL ORG · 1× Sunny Mehta PERSON · 1× Toronto GPE · 1× the Maple Leafs ORG · 1× the Winnipeg Jets ORG · 1×

Narrative

On Sunday night, following the Devils’ 4-0 victory over the Maple Leafs, general manager Sunny Mehta issued a statement explaining why Connor Hellebuyck would not face the Winnipeg Jets, his former team, on Tuesday.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-11
Fatigue, injuries, scheduling or a hot backup would top the list.

Claims (57 extracted, 6 hedged)

There are plenty of legitimate reasons for an NHL team to sit its starting goaltender. asserted
team → be → goaltender
Fatigue, injuries, scheduling or a hot backup would top the list. asserted
Fatigue → top → list
On Sunday night, following the Devils’ 4-0 victory over the Maple Leafs, general manager Sunny Mehta issued a statement explaining why Connor Hellebuyck would not face the Winnipeg Jets, his former team, on Tuesday. asserted
Hellebuyck → follow → Tuesday
“This has been an organizational decision for us that we’ve debated at length. asserted
we → debate → length
Connor Hellebuyck was adamant that he felt a duty to play on Tuesday in Winnipeg. asserted
he → feel → Winnipeg
However, in our estimation, playing in this game would potentially give us a reduction in our expected win probability.” asserted
playing → play → probability
We’re talking about a three-time Vezina Trophy winner, a Hart Trophy recipient and one of the best goaltenders of his generation. asserted
We → talk → generation
A player who was 5-0 since joining New Jersey and is coming off a shutout in Toronto. asserted
who → join → Toronto
And his GM was publicly suggesting that playing him could hurt the team’s chances of winning. uncertain
playing → suggest → chances
I have no problem with analytics. asserted
I → have → analytics
They’ve become essential to professional sports. asserted
They → become → sports
But analytics should inform decisions, not become a convenient explanation for decisions nobody wants to explain. asserted
nobody → inform → decisions
Devils coach Sheldon Keefe subsequently offered a more conventional rationale, that Hellebuyck had played three games in six nights, missed training camp and was still settling into his new team. asserted
Hellebuyck → offer → team
New Jersey also has two important divisional games against the Washington Capitals coming up. asserted
Jersey → have → Capitals
That’s all perfectly reasonable. asserted
That → ’ → ?
And did anyone consider what Mehta’s words might do to the player? uncertain
words → consider → player
In the third year of a seven-year contract, he requested a trade, refused to report to training camp and was eventually dealt to New Jersey. asserted
he → request → Jersey
On Tuesday morning in Winnipeg, Hellebuyck provided some insight into what happened. asserted
what → provide → insight
He spoke about circumstances involving his family that contributed to his decision to leave, saying certain incidents crossed a line and went beyond online death threats. asserted
incidents → speak → threats
He also made clear there were details he wasn’t prepared to share publicly. asserted
he → make → ?
And frankly, he shouldn’t have to. asserted
he → have → ?
But Hellebuyck also made something else clear: He wanted to play, face the fans and accept whatever reception awaited him. asserted
reception → make → him
He wouldn’t have been the first player to face an angry former fan base. asserted
He → face → base
Just a few weeks ago, Brady Tkachuk returned to Ottawa for the first time since leaving the Senators for Florida. asserted
Tkachuk → return → Florida
Fans booed throughout his tribute video and peppered him with chants ranging from the predictable “Brady sucks!” to the ridiculous “You eat crayons!” asserted
You → boo → crayons
Tkachuk smiled, acknowledged the crowd and afterward described the reception as a reflection of a passionate fan base. asserted
Tkachuk → smile → base
He took it. asserted
He → take → it
And everyone moved on. asserted
everyone → move → ?
Islanders fans booed their former captain relentlessly when he returned as a member of the Leafs in 2019. asserted
he → boo → 2019
Fans altered jerseys to call him a traitor and threw plastic snakes onto the ice. asserted
Fans → alter → ice
Tavares took the abuse and acknowledged that fans were entitled to their feelings about his departure. asserted
fans → take → departure
When a player demands a trade or chooses to leave a franchise, particularly after years of being its public face, there are consequences. asserted
player → demand → years
Fans invest emotionally. asserted
Fans → invest → ?
They buy jerseys and tickets. asserted
They → buy → jerseys
They pay to watch broadcasts. asserted
They → pay → broadcasts
They defend players, celebrate accomplishments and sometimes feel personally betrayed when they leave. asserted
they → defend → accomplishments
Sometimes the best thing a departing player can do, for himself, his former team and the fans, is show up and face the music. asserted
player → depart → music
Hellebuyck understood that. asserted
Hellebuyck → understand → that
Apparently, his new team had other ideas. asserted
team → have → ideas
The reasons for leaving Canada are plenty but the main one? asserted
reasons → leave → Canada
…and 17 more, not listed.
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