France supermarket hack marks new phase in Iran’s shadow war, say analysts
PARIS
asserted
PARIS → mark → war
- The cyber attack on supermarket refrigerators that France has blamed on Iran marks a new phase in the asymmetric campaign Tehran is waging against the United States, extending it onto European soil, analysts say.
asserted
analysts → blame → soil
Scores of French supermarkets were hit in the Oct 11 and 12 cyber attacks, which raised the temperatures in their refrigerators, in some cases forcing them to throw away entire inventories of perishable food.
asserted
which → hit → food
France said Iran’s Revolutionary Guards were behind the “unprecedented” cyber attacks, a charge Iran rejected.
asserted
Iran → say → attacks
While Paris referred only to attacks against French supermarkets, similar incidents were reported in at least 11 other European countries.
asserted
incidents → refer → countries
Iran has ramped up operations on European soil since the outbreak of the war launched by Israel and the United States in February, security sources and experts said.
asserted
sources → ramp → February
Iran has also warned that any renewed strikes would trigger retaliation.
asserted
strikes → warn → retaliation
In recent days, “Iran has sent very clear signals to a number of countries, warning that if there is another major US-Israeli bombing campaign, there will be consequences in Europe”, a European security source told AFP.
asserted
source → send → AFP
Tehran has already been accused of plotting various attacks on US interests in Europe, including against two air bases used by the United States in Britain – the US military on Nov 10 withdrew aircraft from Mildenhall Royal Air Force (RAF) base.
asserted
military → accuse → base
It has also been accused of recruiting proxies to carry out attacks, including on a Bank of America branch in Paris this spring, and on Jewish targets, with synagogues attacked in Belgium and the Netherlands.
asserted
synagogues → accuse → Belgium
Paris has also accused Iran of spreading misinformation related to the protests that have rocked France and of mistreating the French embassy’s No. 2 diplomat in Tehran in October.
asserted
that → accuse → October
The war has been at a stalemate for months, with efforts under way to avert a resumption of hostilities.
asserted
war → avert → hostilities
Threats that Europe could be targeted have been echoed in propaganda circulated by outlets close to Tehran.
uncertain
Europe → target → Tehran
In a recent AI-generated propaganda video entitled “Europe On Fire”, circulated by networks close to Iran, several European bases, including RAF Fairford in Britain and Istres air base in France, are shown under attack.
Missile warnings blare in Paris and London as civilians run through the streets.
asserted
civilians → generate → streets
An English-language voiceover says: “You are not our enemies, but anyone anywhere in Europe who helps America harm our women and children, they’re our enemies.”
asserted
they → say → women
Intelligence monitoring group SITE reported that on Nov 8, the Persian-language outlet Teyban published a video targeting what it called “Satan’s Nests” – a reference to US military bases, including some in Europe such as Ramstein in Germany and Bezmer in Bulgaria.
asserted
it → report → Bulgaria
From terrorist threats to cyber attacks, “it is a continuation of Iran’s asymmetric threat strategy and its determination to bring the battlefield onto European soil”, Clement Therme, Iran specialist at the University of Montpellier Paul-Valery, told AFP.
asserted
Therme → bring → AFP
“It is similar to the way Russia conducts operations in Europe to strike at Ukraine’s strategic depth.
asserted
Russia → conduct → depth
What lies between Iran and the United States?
asserted
What → lie → Iran
Europe,” he said.
asserted
he → say → ?
Whereas American or Jewish interests were once the primary focus, the scope of potential targets has expanded, said Therme.
asserted
Therme → expand → targets
“We are now seeing a horizontal escalation, a geographical widening of the conflict and a shift in the nature of the targets towards civilian infrastructure such as refrigeration systems,” he added.
asserted
he → see → systems
One advantage of cyber operations is that they allow for plausible deniability.
asserted
they → allow → deniability
Iran is among the leading actors in this field.
asserted
Iran → lead → field
“Iran has highly developed offensive cyber capabilities” and is “more specialised in sabotage than in data theft”, Anthony Chaix, a cyber security analyst at SQUAD, told AFP.
asserted
Chaix → have → AFP
Unlike some other state actors that may hire cybercriminals to carry out operations, “Iran is generally known for conducting such operations itself”.
uncertain
Iran → hire → operations
Most of the time, “sabotage operations are carried out very quickly, the aim is not to stick around under the radar”, Chaix said, although “they clearly also have the capability to conduct more discreet and longer-term operations”.
asserted
they → carry → operations
SQUAD cyber security expert Kris Vanhulst said the hack targeting supermarket refrigeration systems differed from previous cyber attacks.
asserted
hack → say → attacks
He pointed to “the nature of the target and the message it sends: ‘We can reach anyone in the physical world’.”
asserted
We → point → world
“This was not a single company,” he added.
asserted
he → add → ?
“There were hundreds of impacts, it was extremely wide-ranging.
asserted
it → be → impacts
The goal was to destabilise.”
asserted
goal → destabilise → ?