Photo via Toronto Star

Here are some of the House seats that Democrats didn't expect to win this year

Read the original at Toronto Star ↗
Cite

Riccardi, N. (2026, November 10). Here are some of the House seats that Democrats didn't expect to win this year. Toronto Star. https://www.thestar.com/news/world/united-states/here-are-some-of-the-house-seats-that-democrats-didn-t-expect-to-win-this-year/article_a7385c92-556d-5d2b-8e64-0607db9bcaaf.html

Dated from the outlet's own feed. Check the original for its byline.

Toronto Star · collected 2026-11-10 · by Nicholas Riccardi

Quick Summary

The article reports on unexpected wins by Democrats in several traditionally Republican-held House seats during recent elections. Key upsets include Richard Ojeda defeating incumbent Rep. Richard Hudson in North Carolina's 9th district and Jessica Killins winning the Colorado 5th district despite its conservative reputation. Other notable victories highlighted are Teresa Benitez-Thompson's historic win in Nevada’s 2nd district, and Mitchell Berman's unlikely victory in Wisconsin's 1st district. The article emphasizes how these wins reflect a shift towards more moderate voters and growing dissatisfaction with President Trump among certain demographics.
Written by AI on 2026-11-10, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

In the U.S. midterms held on October 25, 2026, Democrats won control of Congress, marking a significant shift in power dynamics for President Donald Trump's final two years in office. The results saw Democrats taking over multiple Republican strongholds such as Texas and South Carolina. In South Carolina’s Senate race, Democrat nominee Annie Andrews was running neck-and-neck with incumbent Senator Darline Graham (R-SC). Nationally, the shift indicates widespread voter dissatisfaction with Trump's policies, including his handling of economic issues and the war against Iran. The election results also highlighted vulnerabilities for Republicans in key states like North Carolina, where Richard Hudson lost his seat despite heading the National Republican Congressional Committee. This outcome underscores growing challenges for the Republican Party under Trump’s leadership.

Written for “Trump Reckons With Midterm Results” on 2026-11-10, grounded in this article and the 1132 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Leans left (beta estimate) Confidence high 1 quote(s) discarded as not found in the article
Leaning: leans left for article 140809 (high confidence, 2 verified quotes) · logged 2026-11-10

Story

Trump Reckons With Midterm Results
Politics · 1133 article(s) covering the same event. Compare every outlet's account →

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans left and hedges 2% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
New York Post
Leans left Hedges 0 of 7 claims Outlet record 66/100
NPR
Leans left Hedges 2 of 20 claims Outlet record 60/100
“Article A focuses on Rep. Richard Hudson's loss in North Carolina’s 9th district, while Article B discusses multiple House races flipped from Republican to Democratic control across North Carolina.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
47
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
2%
1 of 47 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
64/100
Toronto Star's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1133
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-11-10 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Toronto Star · 12705 article(s) · 28 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 28 correction(s)
2026-10-26
Correction
2026-10-24
Correction
2026-10-07
Correction
2026-09-24
Correction

Who wrote this

Nicholas Riccardi
22 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
For the first time ever, all of Nevada’s congressional seats will be held by Democrats.
Due to the number of state governments that have flipped to Democratic control, they also could change the way the U.S. elects a president.
Sullivan, a key ally of President Donald Trump, is competing against Democratic former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola in a pivotal contest that could determine Senate control.
"More fundamentally, the United States provides no workable plan as to how it proposes to segregate ballots cast for Daniel J. Sullivan on Election Day and then conduct a court-ordered unspecified "investigation" of those ballots in a manner that would preserve voter secrecy," she wrote.
WASHINGTON (AP) — Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan said Sunday that he doubted claims by his Democratic opponent that she had no idea her top political aides were involved in recruiting a retired schoolteacher also named Dan Sullivan onto the ballot to confuse voters in a race that could determine which party controls the Senate.
It added there would be no way to do that without violating voter privacy.
It also found at least 22 are U.S. citizens, and many more may correspond to those of confirmed citizens.
It also found at least 22 are U.S. citizens and many more may correspond to those of confirmed citizens.
In Alaska, Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan is facing three other challengers on the state’s final ballot in a race that could determine control of the Senate — Democrat Mary Peltola, who was previously the state’s lone House member, and two candidates who have barely campaigned, including a retired school teacher named Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. Alaska Republicans have long suspected the second Sullivan of being a Democratic plant, and the Trump administration took the unusual step last week of suing to prevent certification of a possible Peltola victory until it could be determined if voters were confused. The New York Times this week reported that internal campaign texts and communications showed the Peltola campaign recruited the second Sullivan, leading the president to call for the Democrat’s prosecution and his Justice Department to issue a flurry of subpoenas in a criminal investigation.
While Trump maintains some support for his handling of the border, polling shows voters disapprove of his approach to immigration, a striking turnaround that could undermine Republican attempts to maintain control of Congress in the midterms.
Also by Nicholas Riccardi
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 22 articles by Nicholas Riccardi →

Topics

Democrat House Nevada North Carolina Republican

Subjects

Nevada GPE · 5× Democrat NORP · 4× Republican NORP · 4× House ORG · 3× Trump PERSON · 3× Wisconsin GPE · 3× Democratic NORP · 2× North Carolina GPE · 2× Republicans NORP · 2× U.S. Senate ORG · 2×

Narrative

Rep. Victoria Spartz has been a wildcard in the Republican caucus, often withholding her support for legislation until the last minutes as she seeks concessions from party leadership. But the Ukrainian-born lawmaker seemed to be a safe reelection prospect in conservative Indiana, particularly in her affluent suburban and rural district north of Indianapolis.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-10
For the first time ever, all of Nevada’s congressional seats will be held by Democrats.

Claims (47 extracted, 1 hedged)

Rep. Richard Hudson of North Carolina was in charge of the National Republican Congressional Committee, the organization dedicated to supporting his party’s House campaigns. asserted
Hudson → dedicate → campaigns
But the seven-term congressman wasn’t able to save his own seat this year. asserted
congressman → save → seat
Republicans floundered in the state after party organizations pulled support from Michael Whatley, their U.S. Senate candidate, as he failed to gain traction against Democratic nominee Roy Cooper. asserted
he → flounder → Cooper
Hudson lost North Carolina’s 9th district to Richard Ojeda, a former Army major who became a liberal social media phenomenon during President Donald Trump’s first term. asserted
who → lose → term
He ran multiple races in West Virginia then moved back to North Carolina, where he had served at Fort Bragg, and successfully ran against Hudson. asserted
he → run → Hudson
“Our victory is not just impressive because of how many seats we gained — although we did gain a lot — what was incredible last night was how far we reached into deep red territory,” said Rep. Suzan DelBene, chair of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. asserted
DelBene → gain → Committee
Ojeda arrived on Capitol Hill this week, one of several new members who pulled off upset victories this year. asserted
who → arrive → victories
Here’s a look at some of them. asserted
look → ’ → them
Although Colorado Springs has been a conservative stronghold for years, the city has been slowly turning more moderate as young families move in. asserted
families → turn → years
Its veteran population has also been unsettled by Trump’s approach to the military and the Iran war. asserted
population → unsettle → military
Jessica Killin, a Democrat and former Army captain, capitalized on this to run as a moderate against Rep. Jeff Crank, who had previously run the Colorado chapter of the conservative group Americans For Prosperity. asserted
who → capitalize → Prosperity
She hammered him for falling in line behind Trump once he got into the House. asserted
he → hammer → House
Former state lawmaker Teresa Benitez-Thompson made history as the first Democrat to win Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District after her Republican opponent David Flippo’s campaign was muddied by accusations of exaggerating his military record and failing to release his required financial disclosures on time. asserted
campaign → make → time
Benitez-Thompson campaigned as a moderate with longtime northern Nevada roots, contrasting herself with Flippo, who aligned himself closely to Trump and moved from southern Nevada to join the race after longtime Republican Rep. Mark Amodei announced his retirement. asserted
Amodei → campaign → retirement
Amodei refused to endorse Flippo, calling him a fraud. asserted
Amodei → refuse → him
For the first time ever, all of Nevada’s congressional seats will be held by Democrats. asserted
all → hold → Democrats
Republican Rep. Bryan Steil won all four of his previous elections in this southeast Wisconsin district by at least 9 points. asserted
Steil → win → points
Before him, former House Speaker Paul Ryan held the seat for two decades, and no Democrat had won since 1993. asserted
Democrat → hold → 1993
All of those factors made it improbable that Democratic newcomer Mitchell Berman, running his first campaign for any office, would come out on top this year. asserted
Berman → make → top
But Berman, an emergency room nurse, tapped into voter anger and leveraged his middle-class background to beat Steil by nearly 4 points. asserted
Berman → tap → points
The outcome will ripple through Wisconsin politics because Steil was widely considered as a likely candidate for U.S. Senate down the road. asserted
Steil → ripple → road
The race opened up when Republican Rep. Tony Gonzales announced he wouldn’t run for reelection after admitting to an affair with a former staff member who later died by suicide. asserted
who → open → suicide
Primary voters chose Brandon Herrera, a gun enthusiast YouTuber with some 4 million subscribers and a history of caustic commentary, to run in his place. asserted
voters → choose → place
Democrats put up Katy Padilla Stout, a lawyer and former teacher, but she was believed to have little chance. asserted
she → put → chance
The district hadn’t elected a Democrat since 2012. asserted
district → elect → 2012
She ended up winning by 8 points. asserted
She → end → points
This district used to be considered so blue that Republicans didn’t even put up a candidate to run there in 2024. asserted
Republicans → use → 2024
But a year later at Trump’s urging, the state legislature redrew the congressional map, making it far more conservative. asserted
it → redrew → map
Democrats and their donors figured the seat was a lost cause as Democrat Leticia Gutierrez, who had previously worked in Houston city government, went up against Republican Alex Mealer, a well-financed military veteran who was active in conservative politics. asserted
who → figure → politics
“Everyone felt it was a done deal that this was written for Republicans,” said Gutierrez in an interview with The Associated Press. asserted
Gutierrez → feel → Press
“They just weren’t going to invest their time, money, and resources into someone that had never run a congressional campaign.” asserted
that → go → campaign
Then Gutierrez beat Mealer by a little over 15 points. asserted
Gutierrez → beat → points
Rep. Victoria Spartz has been a wildcard in the Republican caucus, often withholding her support for legislation until the last minutes as she seeks concessions from party leadership. But the Ukrainian-born lawmaker seemed to be a safe reelection prospect in conservative Indiana, particularly in her affluent suburban and rural district north of Indianapolis. asserted
lawmaker → withhold → Indianapolis
The seat only became more red in 2021, when the state legislature removed portions of more Democratic-leaning areas of Marion County and added conservative rural tracts. asserted
legislature → become → tracts
Two years ago, Trump won by 17 percentage points, and Spartz won by even more. asserted
Spartz → win → more
But this year J.D. Ford, a Democratic state senator, beat Spartz by 3.4 percentage points. asserted
Ford → beat → points
There’s not many red seats left in the Northeast, but one of them has been in the southeastern corner of New Jersey. asserted
one → ’ → Jersey
The district stretches from shore resorts to the pine barrens, and it’s been represented by Rep. Jeff Van Drew. asserted
it → stretch → Drew
He was first elected to Congress as a conservative Democrat in 2018 only to switch parties in 2020 after Trump’s first impeachment. asserted
He → elect → impeachment
Van Drew kept winning reelection until this week, when he lost to Zack Mullock, the Democratic mayor of Cape May. uncertain
he → keep → May
…and 7 more, not listed.
Give feedback · no sign-in needed

No sign-in needed for now. Your note is sent without a name, so it cannot be answered.

History Support