For the first time since February, Russian, Ukrainian and U.S. negotiators are scheduled to hold talks on ending the full-scale war that is nearing the five-year mark, with security guarantees topping the agenda.
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guarantees → schedule → agenda
The two-day session starting Tuesday in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, follows previous rounds of negotiations early this year that failed to produce any visible progress toward ending Europe’s most devastating conflict since World War II.
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that → start → II
The negotiations follow last month's localized truce around the Russian-occupied city of Oleshky in southern Ukraine that was brokered with the help of U.S. first lady Melania Trump and allowed the evacuation of some of its residents and the delivery of desperately needed humanitarian supplies.
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that → follow → supplies
But even as Moscow and Kyiv touted the weeklong ceasefire as a positive model, fierce fighting has continued along the 1,200-kilometer (about 750-mile) front line.
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fighting → tout → line
Both sides also have escalated their long-range attacks on each other with drones and missiles.
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sides → escalate → drones
A look at the talks and what's on the agenda:
Russia and Ukraine have sharply divergent demands
Russia and Ukraine remain far apart on key elements of any prospective peace deal.
Russian President Vladimir Putin wants Ukraine to pull its troops back from the four regions that Moscow illegally annexed early in the war but never fully captured.
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Moscow → have → war
He also demands that Ukraine abandon its bid to join NATO, accept strict limits on its military and drop restrictions on the Russian language and the Moscow-affiliated Orthodox Church in Ukraine.
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Ukraine → demand → Ukraine
Putin wants a comprehensive peace deal on those conditions and won't agree to a general halt in hostilities, arguing that such a pause would only allow Ukrainian troops to rest and replenish their weapons stockpiles.
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troops → want → stockpiles
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy rejects Putin’s demands to voluntarily cede Ukrainian territory Russia has not been able to take on the battlefield and agree to limits on the military and arrangements with Western partners, which it sees as essential security guarantees to stop Russia invading again in the future.
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Russia → reject → future
Ukraine argues that an immediate ceasefire is the first step toward negotiating a wider settlement and says a direct meeting between Putin and Zelenskyy is the only way territorial issues can be settled.
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issues → argue → Putin
Security guarantees top the agenda
Russia and Ukraine said the Abu Dhabi talks will focus on security guarantees.
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talks → top → guarantees
Zelenskyy noted that Ukraine and its allies have discussed security guarantees similar to NATO’s Article 5, which states the alliance sees an attack on one of its members as an attack against all.
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alliance → note → all
In an interview broadcast Nov. 5, he said Ukraine's security guarantees boil down to what Western allies would do if Russia launches a new invasion of his country.
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Russia → broadcast → country
“If Russia starts again, what will happen,” Zelenskyy asked.
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Zelenskyy → start → ?
“Who will do what, with what means, and when?”
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Who → do → what
Some European nations have mulled a possible deployment of their troops to Ukraine after a prospective peace deal.
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nations → mull → deal
Russia rejects that as a nonstarter, warning it would view any European troops on Ukrainian soil as legitimate targets.
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it → reject → targets
The Kremlin insists that any prospective deal should offer security guarantees for Russia as well.
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deal → insist → Russia
Just before Moscow launched the all-out invasion in 2022, it demanded that NATO roll back its deployments of troops and weapons from the alliance's members in Central and Eastern Europe, seeing their presence as a security threat.
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NATO → launch → threat
Similar demands will likely be part of any comprehensive peace deal put forth by Russia.
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demands → put → Russia
U.S. President Donald Trump said after meeting Putin’s envoy Kirill Dmitriev at the White House on Nov. 4 that some kind of grand deal about European security was in the works, although he did not elaborate.
“It’s going to be a big agreement and it’s going to involve more than Ukraine,” Trump said, adding that it might include all of Europe.
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it → say → Europe
Ukraine wants Europe at the table but Russia says no
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Russia → want → table
Ukraine insists its European allies must have a seat at the negotiating table, while Russia opposes any such involvement at this stage.
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Russia → insist → stage
“No one is going to invite them to the negotiating table,” Kremlin foreign affairs adviser Yuri Ushakov snapped when asked if European envoys could join the Abu Dhabi talks.
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envoys → go → talks
He added that if they fly there, they won't be allowed into the room.
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they → add → room
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said the Europeans would need to be involved in broader negotiations, but only later.
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Europeans → say → negotiations
“Since the discussion will touch upon the future security architecture in Europe while addressing the mutual security of Russia and Ukraine, at some stage it would be impossible to do it without the Europeans,” he said.
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he → touch → Europeans
On Oct. 27, Finland’s President Alexander Stubb and Norway’s Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre spoke by phone with Putin in their first known direct conversation since shortly after the 2022 invasion.
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Stubb → speak → invasion
They said they spoke in their capacity as the heads of Russia's Nordic neighbors and not on behalf of the European Union, which has struggled to pick a negotiator with Moscow.
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which → say → Moscow
Peskov sarcastically noted that EU members “can’t even decide yet who is authorized to speak on their behalf,” calling it “a protracted indecisiveness and a lack of readiness on its part.”
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who → note → part
On Nov. 4, Zelenskyy said in a post on X that he had held a 90-minute conversation with U.S. negotiators Steve Witkoff and Trump's son-in-law Jared Kushner, saying the talks “must move forward at full throttle to bring this war to an end as quickly as possible.”
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talks → say → end
Kushner said on X that “our objective is to develop practical arrangements that address the security concerns of all sides, reduce the risk of future conflict, and create a more stable and predictable security environment.”
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that → say → environment
For over 30 years, “Europe and Russia have struggled to establish a sustainable security framework,” Kushner wrote.
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Kushner → struggle → framework
“Decades of mistrust, competing security concerns, and the devastating consequences of this war make this an extraordinarily difficult challenge, but one that is essential to lasting peace.”
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that → compete → peace
He noted the main goals of the talks were “permanent security consultations, reliable crisis communications, greater military transparency, reciprocal measures to reduce escalation risks, and an enduring framework for long-term European security and stability.”
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goals → note → security
Russia’s envoy took a hard line at earlier talks
Putin aide Vladimir Medinsky, who led Russia’s delegation in the first direct peace talks with Ukraine in Istanbul in March 2022 and in subsequent sessions, remains Moscow’s chief negotiator.
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who → take → sessions
A former culture minister who wrote books about purported Western plots against Russia over the centuries, Medinsky is known for his hard-line views and blustery statements.
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Medinsky → write → views
At the 2025 talks, also in Istanbul, he reportedly said it took Peter the Great 21 years to defeat Sweden in the 18th century and Moscow also is ready now to fight as long as it takes.
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it → say → century
Russia ramps up strikes on Ukraine’s power grid
Putin has said repeatedly that Russia will achieve its goals by force if Ukraine fails to accept its conditions for peace.
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Ukraine → ramp → peace
Russia has intensified its strikes on Ukraine’s power system, seeking to undermine the country's resolve as winter sets in.
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winter → intensify → resolve
…and 3 more, not listed.
The Aporia
