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The Right’s Election Meltdown Is Just Getting Started

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Cite

Sommer, W. (2026, November 5). The Right’s Election Meltdown Is Just Getting Started. The Bulwark. https://www.thebulwark.com/p/right-wing-media-2026-midterm-election-meltdown-is-just-getting-started

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The Bulwark · collected 2026-11-05 · by Will Sommer commentary

Quick Summary

This article reports on the internal conflict within right-wing media personalities following the Democratic Party's strong performance in the midterms. Pro-Trump commentator Benny Johnson exemplifies this turmoil, shifting from initial optimism over a Republican win in Guam to eventual despair as Democrats gained control of more elections. The piece highlights escalating tensions among conservative figures like Dave Smith and Jack Posobiec on Piers Morgan’s show, and Matt Walsh's divergent views with Ben Shapiro regarding Iran policy. These conflicts underscore the instability within right-wing media after their predicted electoral outcomes did not materialize.
Written by AI on 2026-11-05, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

On November 8, 2026, as initial election results began rolling in, pro-Trump pundit Benny Johnson expressed optimism after Republicans won Guam's governorship by 1,020 votes. However, this early victory was short-lived; by Wednesday morning, Democrats were securing major gains across the country, with at least 54 Senate seats and a likely House sweep. By evening, Johnson acknowledged that the election outcome was "an unmitigated disaster" for Republicans. Initially heralded as a positive omen due to Guam's history of blue-wave elections, the win lost its significance amidst broader Republican losses nationwide.

Written for “Right's Election Meltdown” on 2026-11-05, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Leans left (beta estimate) Confidence high
Leaning: leans left for article 131969 (high confidence, 2 verified quotes) · logged 2026-11-05

Story

📰 Right's Election Meltdown
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans left and hedges 14% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Daily Mail
Hedges 1 of 27 claims Outlet record 69/100
“Article A reports on Democrats winning Guam's non-voting House seat, while Article B mentions Republicans narrowly winning Guam's governorship.”
The Independent
⚖️ Leans strongly left further left than this Hedges 2 of 24 claims Outlet record 59/100
“The articles describe different aspects of election results and reactions, not the same specific incident.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
50
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
14%
7 of 50 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans left
expected in commentary, which argues a position · beta estimate
Publisher signals
not measured
these signals count newsroom corrections; Commentary has none to count
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-11-05 · how these are computed

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Publisher

The Bulwark · 608 article(s) · 0 correction(s) detected
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Who wrote this

Will Sommer
17 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 But as the first election results began rolling in on Tuesday afternoon, pro-Trump pundit Benny Johnson couldn’t help feeling good.
2026-11-05 · assertive framing · The Right’s Election Meltdown Is Just Getting Started
🔮 ROUGHLY TWENTY-FOUR HOURS FROM NOW, the Republican party could be looking at a set of catastrophic results in the midterm elections.
2026-11-03 · mixed framing · MAGA Preps for the World to End—Literally
🔮 A Mississippi Shrimper Has a Message for Trump About Gas Prices (w/ Maynard Dubuisson) Will Sommer speaks with Mississippi shrimper Maynard Dubuisson, a longtime Donald Trump supporter who says soaring diesel prices are pushing fishermen and small businesses to the brink.
🔮 A recording from The Bulwark’s live video Sam Stein and Will Sommer break down Donald Trump’s 1,300-word meltdown over Bill Maher.
🔮 “And I wouldn’t be surprised if the videos they put out of them talking actually are AI at this point.
🔮 “I am absolutely infuriated with the either malfeasance or lack of competence by the people that are operating a movie production event in our town,” commissioner and vice chair James Willich said in the Saturday meeting.
2026-10-05 · assertive framing · A Small Montana Town Tells Ben Shapiro to F*ck Off
🔮 With a barrel of oil topping $100 and mortgage rates shooting up, the timing of Scavino’s AI-generated clip of him and Eric Trump drunkenly carousing on a luggage cart with two glamorous women could not have been worse.
2026-09-29 · assertive framing · Bizarro White House Vid Has QAnon Buzzing
🔮 JVL and Will Sommer discuss Trump’s crackdown on the press, including a Newsmax broadcast where viewers couldn’t hear the president because the press pool wasn’t there to provide audio.
🔮 Will Saletan and Will Sommer discuss Trump’s escalating attack on the press, his claim that the outlets can return if they start covering him more favorably, and what the crackdown could mean for journalists across Washington.
🔮 But Johnson’s antics may have given him a false sense of security.
Also by Will Sommer
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 17 articles by Will Sommer →

Topics

Democrats Guam Iran Papua New Guinea Republicans

Subjects

Iran GPE · 5× Republicans NORP · 5× Guam GPE · 3× Johnson PERSON · 3× Republican NORP · 3× Trump PERSON · 3× Democrats NORP · 2× Benny Johnson PERSON · 1× Papua New Guinea GPE · 1× United States GPE · 1×

Narrative

On Piers Morgan’s election stream, anti-Israel libertarian comedian Dave Smith accused right-wing personality Jack Posobiec of misleading Republicans about the chances of a peace deal with Iran, prompting a tense on-air clash between the two.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-05
🔮 But as the first election results began rolling in on Tuesday afternoon, pro-Trump pundit Benny Johnson couldn’t help feeling good.
2026-11-05 · The Bulwark
The Right’s Election Meltdown Is Just Getting Started · assertive framing

Claims (50 extracted, 7 hedged)

THE POLLS HAD BEEN PREDICTING DOOM for his party for weeks, if not months. asserted
POLLS → predict → weeks
But as the first election results began rolling in on Tuesday afternoon, pro-Trump pundit Benny Johnson couldn’t help feeling good. asserted
Johnson → roll → afternoon
Republicans had captured the governorship of Guam by 1,020 votes. asserted
Republicans → capture → votes
Johnson, the right’s most prominent memester, told his fellow kids that control of the island—far closer to Papua New Guinea than to the continental United States—was a massively good omen for Republicans’ midterm hopes. asserted
control → tell → hopes
“An island that knows a lot about blue waves just went Republican!” he said. asserted
he → know → waves
The optimism didn’t last. asserted
optimism → last → ?
Six hours after the big Guam win, as Democrats piled up electoral victories, Johnson was grimly intoning about the changing racial makeup of Texas. asserted
Johnson → pile → Texas
By Wednesday morning, with Democrats looking at a massive House sweep and a minimum of 54 Senate seats, he could no longer pretend Guam was significant at all. uncertain
Guam → look → seats
“What happened last night was a meteor strike and an unmitigated disaster,” he said. asserted
he → happen → ?
By Wednesday evening, having obsessively posted and livestreamed about the election for twenty-four hours, he professed emotional indifference to it all. asserted
he → post → it
“Notice how you don’t see any videos of Republicans bursting into tears, weeping and hysterical on social media after the loss?” he declared. asserted
he → notice → loss
“That’s because we have more to live for than party politics.” asserted
we → ’ → politics
After seeing their party badly blow the midterms, conservative personalities are currently struggling to process the defeat. asserted
personalities → see → defeat
Delusion has become disbelief. asserted
Delusion → become → ?
Disbelief has become despair. asserted
Disbelief → become → ?
And despair has become disgruntlement. asserted
despair → become → ?
Along the way, they are turning on one another. asserted
they → turn → one
On Piers Morgan’s election stream, anti-Israel libertarian comedian Dave Smith accused right-wing personality Jack Posobiec of misleading Republicans about the chances of a peace deal with Iran, prompting a tense on-air clash between the two. asserted
Smith → accuse → two
On the Daily Wire’s livestream, podcaster Matt Walsh said of the war in Iran that he would have preferred that Iran develop a nuclear bomb if that meant preventing a “Communist” victory in the midterms. asserted
that → say → midterms
The claim amounts to a serious difference of opinion with hawkish Daily Wire boss Ben Shapiro.1 Meanwhile, anti-DEI activist James Lindsay, who has become an opponent of the Israel foes, groypers, and antisemites—whom he has collectively dubbed the “Woke Right”—called for his enemies to be purged from conservative institutions. uncertain
enemies → amount → institutions
RIGHT-WING MEDIA has always been a fractious place even under the best of circumstances, featuring combustible personalities with flexible ethical standards clashing with one another in the pursuit of influence, followers, and money. asserted
MEDIA → feature → influence
A civil war has roiled the podcast right for over a year, turning intertwined issues like the Epstein files, Charlie Kirk’s murder, and the Iran war into the stuff of both conspiracies and blood feuds. asserted
war → roil → conspiracies
But the midterm rout, which none of these folks seemed to see coming, has cranked the stakes up to eleven. asserted
none → seem → eleven
That’s partially because right-wing media figures are worried about their future. asserted
figures → ’ → future
If no one wants to be a Republican anymore, who’s going to watch their podcasts and buy their brain pills? asserted
who → want → pills
But it’s also because there’s a genuine belief that the fate of their ideological projects is at stake. asserted
fate → ’ → stake
On Wednesday, Vice President JD Vance and Donald Trump Jr., two figures tied to the Iran war by their proximity to Trump, also took the dramatic step of blaming the midterm losses on the war. asserted
Vance → tie → war
And they weren’t the only prominent Republicans trying to create distance between themselves and the electoral catastrophe. asserted
they → try → themselves
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, now positioning himself as the country’s leading 2028 Republican and blameless for the war, said the midterms had been a near “extinction-level event” for the GOP. asserted
midterms → position → GOP
In the past, fickle as he is, Trump could have acted as a pillar of order for conservative media: Get in line behind him or lose your White House access and audience. uncertain
Trump → act → access
But with Trump inexplicably choosing to spend the election aftermath on Wednesday touring the under-construction White House ballroom, shellshocked Republicans ran wild. asserted
Republicans → choose → ballroom
Even Brilyn Hollyhand, the Charlie Kirk knockoff who rose to a small level of prominence after Kirk’s assassination, criticized Trump for blowing a chance to rally the party. asserted
who → rise → party
So too did Walsh, who posted of the ballroom event, in which Trump seemed childishly gleeful watching beams being pulled by cranes: “This is far worse than I anticipated.” asserted
I → do → cranes
Still, most MAGA influencers proved not quite ready to criticize Trump directly, which led them to spin bizarre theories about what could have really resonated with independent voters. uncertain
what → prove → voters
As an example, podcaster Liz Wheeler said Republicans would have won if only the Justice Department had arrested more deep-state operatives from the Biden administration. asserted
Department → say → administration
Surely that would’ve saved Kansas! asserted
that → save → Kansas
AMONG ALL THE HORRIBLE developments for Republicans that took place Tuesday night, perhaps the most alarming for online MAGA was the collapse of Texas Republican candidates. asserted
alarming → take → candidates
The state has been a bastion of the modern conservative movement, not just reliably red and with leadership willing to gerrymander the shit out of congressional lines, but also the right’s favorite contrast to hedonistic California. asserted
state → gerrymander → California
So when it became clear that Democrats were romping there, it led to an onslaught of white identity politics that could make the movement even more radioactive to voters. uncertain
movement → become → voters
Like Johnson, personalities at the Blaze blamed nonwhite voters for sabotaging the Texas GOP. asserted
personalities → blame → GOP
…and 10 more, not listed.
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