The Aporia · I promised a red wave

I promised a red wave — Trump blew it

Read the original at Washington Examiner ↗

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Levin, M. (2026, November 5). I promised a red wave — Trump blew it. Washington Examiner. https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/op-eds/4793045/why-republicans-lost-midterms-trump-goes-off-topic-despite-toppling-regimes/

Dated from the outlet's own feed. Check the original for its byline.

Quick Summary

This article is an opinion piece where the author admits to being wrong about predicting a significant Republican victory in the recent elections. The writer had previously asserted that hidden support for Republicans would lead to substantial gains, but now concedes this prediction was inaccurate. The piece invites readers to subscribe for further analysis and coverage of political events.

Written by AI on 2026-11-05, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

A month ago, Michael Levin from the Washington Examiner predicted a "loud red wave" where quiet but numerous Republicans would ensure victory for their party in both houses of Congress. However, his prediction has not come true according to recent developments as of November 5, 2026. Levin now admits he needs to eat his words, indicating that the expected surge of Republican support did not materialize as anticipated. The article does not provide specific election results but rather reflects on the failed prediction based on early post-election assessments.

Written for “Trump Missed Red Wave Promise” on 2026-11-05, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Why this leaning score

The model judged this article politically coded and scored it -0.35, but all 1 of its quote(s) are attributed speech - words the article quotes from someone, not the article's own narration, so the score is not published.

Written under an earlier scoring contract, which gave a paragraph rather than checkable quotes. Re-analysing this article replaces it.

Leaning score withheld for article 131179: attributed speech only · logged 2026-11-05

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 0% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.

Trump’s Republicans scramble to stop Democratic midterms wave Different event

The Straits Times

⚖️ Leans strongly left Hedges 3 of 26 claims Outlet record 66/100

“The articles describe different stages of a broader electoral trend: Article A discusses Republicans' efforts before the midterms to prevent Democrats from gaining control, while Article B reflects on the outcomes and disappointment after the elections.”

How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted

sentences that state something as happening or true

Uncertain

0 of 4 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")

Leaning

withheld

no quote in the article backed the model's score

Publisher signals

69/100

Washington Examiner's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.

Outlets on this story

Politics

Same framing elsewhere

articles that frame the event the way this one does

Analyzed 2026-11-05 · how these are computed

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Article leaning vs. publisher reliability

Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Washington Examiner · 4271 article(s) · 8 correction(s) detected

Running correction rate · 8 correction(s)

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Who wrote this

Michael Levin

11 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction

🔮 A month ago, I argued in this space that the Republicans would hold both houses of Congress because massive numbers of quiet, pollster-ignoring Republicans would vote in a loud red wave.

2026-11-05 · assertive framing · I promised a red wave — Trump blew it

🔮 This Saturday in synagogues worldwide, Jews will recount the Biblical story of Abraham’s negotiations with the elders of Hebron to buy a burial place for his wife Sarah.

2026-11-03 · assertive framing · Bibi quits! Your clip-and-save guide to the Israeli election

🔮 Clip and save this op-ed, because I may be the only person in the free world predicting that in the midterm elections next month, the Republicans are going to win and win big.

2026-10-03 · assertive framing · The polls are lying: Why the Republicans are about to sweep the midterm elections

🔮 The U.N. was founded in an era of post-World War II optimism, but it didn’t take long before the Soviets and the Chinese communists found a massive constituency of “non-aligned” countries who could be counted on to vote against the U.S. at every turn.

2026-09-29 · assertive framing · Kick the UN out of New York — and build a museum of socialism in its place

🔮 A seminal moment in my life came when I was 17 and I asked a construction worker how long it would be until the subway project he was working on would be completed.

2026-09-25 · assertive framing · Our inner-city public schools suck, and the Democrats don’t care

🔮 One of the tools of trial lawyers is to ask a jury, “How much would you be willing to pay per hour not to be experiencing the pain and suffering of my client, who was injured in that terrible accident?”

2026-09-25 · assertive framing · Why $4 gas is the bargain of a lifetime

🔮 Socialists, who likely overlap with urban bicyclists, may end up repealing the laws of free enterprise and private property.

2026-09-19 · assertive framing · Socialism on two wheels: The fatal delusion of the city cyclist

🔮 It’s not really a speech he’s likely to give, but it would be awesome nonetheless if he did.

2026-09-14 · assertive framing · The speech Trump would make if he had 100% honesty and zero filter

🔮 Zoeller thought it would be hilarious if Woods served fried chicken and collard greens.

2026-09-05 · assertive framing · LIV Golf is dead: How it saved the sport from hypocrisy, boredom, and the PGA

Also by Michael Levin

Bibi quits! Your clip-and-save guide to the Israeli election

2026-11-03 · Washington Examiner

America is holding an election. It needs a divorce

2026-11-01 · Washington Examiner

Trump’s appointees are very pretty. And pretty unqualified

2026-10-18 · Washington Examiner

The polls are lying: Why the Republicans are about to sweep the midterm elections

2026-10-03 · Washington Examiner

Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

All 11 articles by Michael Levin →

Topics

Congress Republicans Washington Examiner

Subjects

Republicans NORP · 4× Congress ORG · 2× Washington Examiner ORG · 1×

Narrative

A month ago, I argued in this space that the Republicans would hold both houses of Congress because massive numbers of quiet, pollster-ignoring Republicans would vote in a loud red wave.

framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-05

🔮 A month ago, I argued in this space that the Republicans would hold both houses of Congress because massive numbers of quiet, pollster-ignoring Republicans would vote in a loud red wave.

2026-11-05 · Washington Examiner

I promised a red wave — Trump blew it · assertive framing

Claims (4 extracted, 0 hedged)

It’s time for me to eat my words. asserted

me → ’ → words

A month ago, I argued in this space that the Republicans would hold both houses of Congress because massive numbers of quiet, pollster-ignoring Republicans would vote in a loud red wave. asserted

numbers → argue → wave

It’s time for me to eat my words. asserted

me → ’ → words

A month ago, I argued in this space that the Republicans would hold both houses of Congress because massive numbers of quiet, pollster-ignoring Republicans would vote in a loud red wave. asserted

numbers → argue → wave

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