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One in four young men now say violence for a cause can be justified

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Cite

Somerville, E., & Chwasta, M. (2026, November 1). One in four young men now say violence for a cause can be justified. ABC News (AU). https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-11-02/rise-in-young-men-open-to-extreme-measures-for-a-cause/107326932

Dated from the outlet's own feed. Check the original for its byline.

ABC News (AU) · collected 2026-11-01 · by Erin Somerville, Madi Chwasta

Quick Summary

A new survey from the McKinnon Index shows that one in four young Australian men now believe violence can sometimes be justified to advance a cause, up significantly from previous years. The study, which polled over 4,000 Australians, also indicates a decline in trust towards politicians and governments, with nearly three-quarters of respondents feeling Australia is more divided compared to the past year. Conducted by McKinnon and Roy Morgan in June and July, this research highlights growing concerns about political safety following an alleged attack on MP Helen Haines.
Written by AI on 2026-11-01, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

A new survey reveals that one in four young men now believe violence can sometimes be justified to advance a cause, according to the McKinnon Index released today. The study, which surveyed more than 4,000 Australians and was conducted by the not-for-profit organization McKinnon with Roy Morgan in June and July this year, also found that trust in politicians and government has declined among Australians compared to last year. Almost three-quarters of respondents believe Australia is more divided now than it was a year ago. The survey comes amid heightened concerns about political safety following an alleged attack on Independent MP Helen Haines near her parliamentary office in regional Victoria last month. Those who expressed low trust in the federal government cited broken promises, dishonesty, and politicians being out of touch as primary reasons for their dissatisfaction. This trend is particularly pronounced among people with lower education levels and those living in regional areas.

Written for “Violence Justification Among Young Men Rises” on 2026-11-01, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The model judged this article politically coded and scored it -0.35, but 1 quote(s) could not be found in the article and the other 1 are attributed speech rather than the article's own narration, so the score is not published.
Written under an earlier scoring contract, which gave a paragraph rather than checkable quotes. Re-analysing this article replaces it.
Leaning score withheld for article 121156: no verified evidence · logged 2026-11-01

Story

📰 Violence Justification Among Young Men Rises
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

Nothing to compare against. No article is close enough to this one for the pipeline to have linked or judged the pair.
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
32
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
16%
5 of 32 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Publisher signals
68/100
ABC News (AU)'s corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-11-01 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

ABC News (AU) · 4535 article(s) · 10 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 10 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Erin Somerville
4 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 In short: A new survey has revealed a rise in young men who say "extreme measures" could sometimes be justified to advance a cause.
🔮 Her team says the offices will be open three days a week for the rest of the year and thanked the community for its support. What's next? Ms Haines has been granted a leave of absence and Leader of the House Tony Burke told parliament resolutions would be moved for as long as they were needed.
🔮 The 2022 Victorian Air Quality Strategy promised to take "strong action" to address wood heater pollution, finding there were around 240,000 wood heaters across the state that would create around $8 billion in health impacts over the decade between 2018-28 if usage continued unabated.
🔮 Demand is expected to continue amid a Southern Hemisphere flu spike.
Also by Erin Somerville
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
Madi Chwasta
3 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 In short: A new survey has revealed a rise in young men who say "extreme measures" could sometimes be justified to advance a cause.
🔮 It may not look like it in the chart, but the amount of leave men are taking has actually climbed at a faster rate than for women.
Also by Madi Chwasta
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

Topics

Australia Australian Australians Independent McKinnon

Subjects

Australians NORP · 8× Australia GPE · 3× Haines PERSON · 2× Helen Haines PERSON · 2× Independent NORP · 2× McKinnon ORG · 2× Australian NORP · 1× Roy Morgan PERSON · 1× Victoria GPE · 1× Victorian NORP · 1×

Narrative

Those who said they had low trust in the federal government cited broken promises, dishonesty and politicians being out of touch as the most common reasons. The trend was more pronounced for people with lower education levels and those who lived in the regions. In inner regional areas, dissatisfaction in democracy rose to nearly 39 per cent, higher than the national proportion of about 30 per cent.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-01
🔮 In short: A new survey has revealed a rise in young men who say "extreme measures" could sometimes be justified to advance a cause.
2026-11-01 · ABC News (AU)
One in four young men now say violence for a cause can be justified · assertive framing

Claims (32 extracted, 5 hedged)

In short: A new survey has revealed a rise in young men who say "extreme measures" could sometimes be justified to advance a cause. uncertain
measures → reveal → cause
The McKinnon Index data also shows trust in politicians and governments has fallen among Australians in the past year. asserted
trust → show → year
Australia's democracy has been in the spotlight since the alleged attack on Helen Haines. asserted
democracy → allege → Haines
One in four young men say "extreme measures", such as violence, can sometimes be justified to advance a cause, according to new research tracking Australians' views on democracy. uncertain
measures → say → democracy
The second McKinnon Index, released today, also shows trust in politicians and government has fallen compared to last year, while almost three-quarters of Australians believe the country is more divided than 12 months ago. asserted
country → release → Australians
More than 4,000 Australians were surveyed on their attitudes towards democracy, led by the not-for-profit organisation McKinnon and conducted with Roy Morgan in June and July this year. asserted
Australians → survey → June
The results have been released amid a broader conversation about political safety and the state of Australian democracy after an alleged attack on Independent MP Helen Haines near her parliamentary office in regional Victoria last month. asserted
results → release → Victoria
An alleged motive in that incident remains unknown. asserted
motive → remain → incident
The survey finds that Australians largely support democracy, with more than three quarters still saying it is preferable to any other system of government. asserted
it → find → government
Support for democracy slides for young men Some of the largest movements in the data occurred for men aged 18 to 24. asserted
Some → slide → men
There was an increase in the proportion of young men who said extreme measures could sometimes be justified, rising to more than 27 per cent. uncertain
measures → be → cent
That compares to one in 10 across the whole population, while more than three-quarters of Australians disagreed. asserted
quarters → compare → Australians
Support for democracy also declined among young men to 54 per cent, while there was a sharp 23-point drop in the proportion who believed people could freely express political opinions, to about 50 per cent. uncertain
people → decline → cent
McKinnon interim executive chairman and former Victorian deputy premier John Thwaites said it was important to acknowledge that while those who said violence could be justified in some circumstances were in the minority, it was an increasing proportion. uncertain
it → say → minority
"We need to do more to ensure that all of our community, but young men here in particular, understand our democracy, understand the importance of it, and understand that their voice is important and can be heard," he said. asserted
he → need → it
Confidence in politics drops in regional areas asserted
Confidence → drop → areas
The survey more broadly showed Australians were less satisfied with democracy, with fewer than half believing the political system gave people like them a say. asserted
system → show → say
Those who said they had low trust in the federal government cited broken promises, dishonesty and politicians being out of touch as the most common reasons. The trend was more pronounced for people with lower education levels and those who lived in the regions. In inner regional areas, dissatisfaction in democracy rose to nearly 39 per cent, higher than the national proportion of about 30 per cent. asserted
dissatisfaction → say → cent
Cathy McGowan, who was the Independent MP for Indi before Ms Haines, said people in rural and regional Australia were bearing the brunt of inequality. asserted
people → say → inequality
But she said since the alleged attack on Ms Haines, she has heard calls all over Australia "for us to be better and do better". asserted
us → say → Australia
"There's also a role for community to be much more active in holding each other to account and creating the environment that they want to protect the democracy that they value. asserted
they → be → that
" Trust in the public service is steady While trust in politicians and governments has declined, faith in public servants and democratic institutions has largely remained steady or increased. asserted
faith → decline → servants
Nearly half of Australians said they trusted the federal public service, while satisfaction in the education system and public infrastructure also rose. asserted
satisfaction → say → system
The Australian Electoral Commission had the highest trust level, with more than 70 per cent, followed by government regulators and advisory bodies at 57 per cent and the courts at 55 per cent. asserted
Commission → have → cent
University of Melbourne political science associate professor Aaron Martin said he had observed similar trends in his own research, including that support for institutions like the electoral commission remained high for the most part. asserted
support → say → part
While he said it was difficult to read a trend from the two years of data provided by the McKinnon Index, other studies like the Australian Election Study showed satisfaction with democracy had risen between the 2019 and 2025 federal elections. asserted
satisfaction → say → elections
"I think over the longer term, the picture is a little more optimistic than the sort of snapshots that we're getting at the moment," he said. asserted
he → think → moment
Dr Martin said globally Australia sat between countries doing "really badly", such as the US, the UK, France and Spain, and countries doing "really well", like Denmark. asserted
Australia → say → Denmark
"Australia is in a pretty reasonable position, but that's not to say that we're in a sort of unassailable position either," he said. asserted
he → say → position
Mr Thwaites said leaders needed to take note of the loss of trust. asserted
leaders → say → trust
"People need to know their voice matters. asserted
voice → need → ?
They also need to see leaders acting with integrity, keeping their promises and delivering outcomes that make a difference to their lives." asserted
that → need → lives
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