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No horsemen are coming for the independents

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No horsemen are coming for the independents. (2026, November 1). The Sydney Morning Herald. https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/no-horsemen-are-coming-for-the-independents-20261101-p61abg.html?ref=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_source=rss_feed

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The Sydney Morning Herald · collected 2026-11-01

Quick Summary

Peter Hartcher criticizes Australia's four major political parties, describing Labor as delirious, the Coalition as demented, One Nation as delinquent, and the Greens as irrelevant. In response, Robert Hickey argues that independents have an advantage due to their flexibility in adapting to various issues without adhering strictly to party lines. This perspective suggests that if major parties continue to lose popularity, more independents could be elected, potentially leading to a government of "sensible middle" candidates.
Written by AI on 2026-11-01, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Leans left (beta estimate) Confidence high
Leaning: leans left for article 120837 (high confidence, 2 verified quotes) · logged 2026-11-01

Story

📰 No Horsemen For Independents
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

Nothing to compare against. No article is close enough to this one for the pipeline to have linked or judged the pair.
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
86
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
14%
12 of 86 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
61/100
The Sydney Morning Herald's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-11-01 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Sydney Morning Herald · 5731 article(s) · 15 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 15 correction(s)

Who wrote this

No reporter is named on this article.

Topics

Coalition Greens Labor One Nation’s RBA

Subjects

Labor ORG · 5× RBA ORG · 4× Coalition ORG · 3× Greens ORG · 3× Hartcher PERSON · 3× Green Point GPE · 2× Nats ORG · 2× One Nation ORG · 2× Peter Hartcher PERSON · 2× One Nation’s ORG · 1×

Narrative

Thus, the weasel words from the prime minister, trying to shift blame by the pejorative “blunt instrument” phrase, only serve to underline the abject inability of this crew of socialists to manage the situation by doing what responsible governments do, that is, stop feeding more heat by reducing government expenditure and wearing some of the damage themselves.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-01
🔮 If the major parties continue on their present paths and become increasingly unpopular with voters, it will be no surprise to find more and more independent members elected to parliament.
2026-11-01 · The Sydney Morning Herald
No horsemen are coming for the independents · assertive framing

Claims (86 extracted, 12 hedged)

NWhat a clever takedown of our four political parties by Peter Hartcher (“Four horsemen of the apocalypse are coming, one for each party”, October 31). asserted
horsemen → come → party
Their respective problems ring true. asserted
problems → ring → ?
No such pithy criticism of the independents, however, who hold an advantage over the parties in that their political platforms can be flexible enough to adapt to changing political, economic environmental and cultural issues, without the necessity to adhere to rigid party dogma. asserted
platforms → hold → dogma
If the major parties continue on their present paths and become increasingly unpopular with voters, it will be no surprise to find more and more independent members elected to parliament. asserted
members → continue → parliament
Will this mean Australia may one day be governed by the “sensible middle”? uncertain
Australia → mean → middle
How would that work in practice? asserted
that → work → practice
Instead of shooting the messenger, the prime minister should listen. asserted
minister → shoot → messenger
Last week, the RBA governor again said that after 13 rate rises under his government, and another likely next week, the RBA’s focus remains taking the heat out of aggregate demand. asserted
focus → say → demand
So, as Hartcher says, instead of taking a swipe at the RBA and its use of the “blunt instrument” of interest rates, the PM could use the tools at his disposal, cutting spending or raising taxes. uncertain
PM → say → taxes
He may want to look at AUKUS, overseen by his political ally Richard Marles. uncertain
He → want → ally
Last week the PM granted him another adviser, bringing his total to 20. asserted
PM → grant → 20
Mike Kenneally, Manly Hartcher’s colourful take on the current state of the major political parties to contest the next election shows a measure of justified exasperation. asserted
take → contest → exasperation
I cannot disagree with him, so I offer the following prediction: come the election, if Labor and the Greens don’t secure 76 lower house seats, which I believe they won’t, the Coalition and One Nation will, Heaven forbid, unite to form government, despite anything they currently say against that. asserted
they → disagree → that
What shape that government would take is anybody’s guess. asserted
take → take → shape
The only other possibility I can see that could save Labor is a “surge” in the number of Labor-friendly independents. uncertain
that → see → independents
In his perceptive survey of what faces the parties, Hartcher asks, in effect, whether Labor has the guts to tackle inflation by cutting expenditure and raising taxes. asserted
Labor → face → taxes
I believe it does. asserted
it → believe → ?
It has shown considerable courage in tackling negative gearing and capital gains and trusts concessions. asserted
It → show → concessions
In the field of human rights, it could enhance its reputation by passing the draft Human Rights Act that has been awaiting consideration for many months. uncertain
that → enhance → months
The Nationals’ tail has always wagged the Coalition dog because they have been essential to allow the Libs a parliamentary majority, and would brag that after each election they usually retained all or most of their seats. asserted
they → wag → seats
I suspect this will change dramatically for them at the next election. asserted
this → suspect → election
Pauline Hanson and Co will struggle to win many city seats; they may gain a few on suburban fringes; but they will surely decimate the Nats in rural seats, where One Nation often garnered 70 per cent of rural primary votes. uncertain
Nation → struggle → votes
Whatever else happens at the next federal election, I’m sure the Horse of Death has his eyes on the Nats. asserted
Horse → happen → Nats
Ian Morris, Strathfield I was amazed when Greens leader David Shoebridge failed to address any environmental policy in his recent National Press Club speech. asserted
Shoebridge → fail → speech
Thank you to the only journalist who seemed to notice – Peter Hartcher. asserted
who → thank → journalist
It’s time for Bob Brown to stage an intervention or for a name change, at the very least. asserted
Brown → ’ → least
Lorraine Hickey, Green Point PM shifts the blame The Reserve Bank (“PM attacks RBA over rate rises”, October 31) does not create the problems it sees in the economy – it responds by the only means available to it by attempting to take out heat with higher interest rates. asserted
it → shift → rates
Thus, the weasel words from the prime minister, trying to shift blame by the pejorative “blunt instrument” phrase, only serve to underline the abject inability of this crew of socialists to manage the situation by doing what responsible governments do, that is, stop feeding more heat by reducing government expenditure and wearing some of the damage themselves. asserted
governments → try → damage
But I won’t hang around waiting – it’s much easier for them to shift the blame. asserted
them → hang → blame
reflect on the prime minister’s concern that rate hikes are a blunt instrument. asserted
hikes → reflect → concern
Our prime minister cites the Iran war, global social instability and a range of other externalities for our cost of living pressures. asserted
minister → cite → pressures
He likens it to wartime politics. asserted
He → liken → politics
He could increase the GST or fully reform our tax system. uncertain
He → increase → system
He could boost productivity with a considered focus on infrastructure, not a grants program focused on mates. uncertain
He → boost → mates
He has survived because the opposition has shattered and now splintered. asserted
opposition → survive → ?
No prime minister before him had that given to him, and he still misses the point that he needs to have a vision beyond the next election and convince us it’s worth the pain to realise it. asserted
it → give → it
Brian Barrett, Padstow The RBA seems to have a highly elevated reckoning of its clout. asserted
RBA → seem → clout
Suppose it increases the cash rate by one quarter of a percentage point and the mortgage rate goes up from 6 per cent to 6.25 per cent. asserted
rate → suppose → cent
For those with floating rate loans, such a move would increase repayments (principal plus interest) by less than 1 per cent for five-year maturities to a little over 2.5 per cent for loans with 30 years to run. asserted
move → float → years
The extra impost on borrowers would be very small given that a 1per cent cut in national expenditure would be more than $20 billion. asserted
cut → give → expenditure
…and 46 more, not listed.
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