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Karoline Leavitt joins Elon Musk pushing conspiracy about Supreme Court if Democrats win in the midterms

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Cite

Lubin, R. (2026, October 30). Karoline Leavitt joins Elon Musk pushing conspiracy about Supreme Court if Democrats win in the midterms. The Independent. https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/karoline-leavitt-elon-musk-supreme-court-b3076640.html

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The Independent · collected 2026-10-30 · by Rhian Lubin

Quick Summary

Karoline Leavitt, a former White House press secretary, has shared Elon Musk's conspiracy theory on social media suggesting that Democrats plan to change the composition of the Supreme Court if they win upcoming midterms, potentially leading to a "permanent one-party state." Musk claims that increasing the number of justices could shift the court’s ideological balance. While some Democrats like Senator Sheldon Whitehouse have proposed term limits for justices, actual reform faces significant hurdles and is unlikely to occur soon despite calls from politicians like Rep. Jamie Raskin and Kamala Harris for expanding the court. MAGA-aligned figures including Donald Trump Jr., Benny Johnson, and Dan Bongino are amplifying these theories to encourage voting against Democrats in November’s midterms.
Written by AI on 2026-10-30, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

As of October 30, 2026, Karoline Leavitt, the former White House press secretary, has joined other MAGA-aligned figures in spreading conspiracy theories promoted by Elon Musk ahead of the midterms. Musk warned that if Democrats regain control of Congress and the presidency, they would attempt to increase the size of the Supreme Court to secure a majority, potentially leading to what he called a "permanent one-party state." Leavitt echoed these concerns on her Instagram stories, urging people to vote. This narrative aligns with some Democratic proposals for court reform, such as term limits suggested by Rhode Island Senator Sheldon Whitehouse and others advocating for changes in the Supreme Court composition.

Written for “Karoline Leavitt Joins Elon Musk Conspiracy Debate” on 2026-10-31, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Leans strongly right (beta estimate) Confidence high
Leaning: leans strongly right for article 118378 (high confidence, 1 verified quote) · logged 2026-10-30

Story

📰 Karoline Leavitt Joins Elon Musk Conspiracy Debate
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans strongly right and hedges 10% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Daily Mail
Hedges 6 of 26 claims Outlet record 68/100
“While both articles discuss Elon Musk's warnings about Democratic control in the midterms, they do not describe the same specific incident or occurrence.”
Fox News
Hedges 4 of 17 claims Outlet record 70/100
“Article A focuses on Musk's warning about potential Democratic moves if they sweep in 2028, while Article B discusses Leavitt joining Musk in spreading a conspiracy theory related to the Supreme Court ahead of the midterms. While both involve Musk’s warnings and theories, they describe different specific events.”
Times of India
Hedges 4 of 26 claims Outlet record 59/100
“While both articles discuss Elon Musk's concerns about Democrats winning the midterms, they describe different aspects of the situation and do not clearly report on a single identical incident.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
20
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
10%
2 of 20 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans strongly right
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
59/100
The Independent's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-30 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Independent · 3426 article(s) · 7 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 7 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Rhian Lubin
36 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Former White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt has joined MAGA figures in peddling Elon Musk’s conspiracy theories ahead of the midterms, including an alleged plot to change the Supreme Court that would render America a “permanent one-party state.”
🔮 The election forecaster revealed his new figures on The Argument YouTube show.
🔮 President Donald Trump has done a U-turn and will now reportedly rally in Kansas and Iowa this weekend after Republican officials previously pulled the plug on the in-person events.
🔮 President Donald Trump has reversed course and will now hold midterm rallies in Kansas and Iowa this weekend after he was called out by a reporter for canceling them, according to reports.
🔮 Trump has also reportedly asked White House Counsel Will Scharf to investigate Habba’s involvement in another alleged pay-for-influence scandal.
🔮 Staffers are reportedly on edge as unfavorable polls and negative stories set Trump “into a dark mood,” as the administration grapples with fears that Republicans could lose control of the House and Senate next week.
🔮 “There was an imperative to move our coverage in the direction of the president to put a thumb on the scale, if you will, in terms of the president's viewpoint,” he said.
🔮 “It is an ad from our campaign, and the thing that I want to say is that I would love for this race and this election to be about the substantive issues that impact Ohioans, and unfortunately, Amy Acton has been hiding from those issues
🔮 “I always knew you would become the super successful person you are today,” Hendel wrote.
🔮 “I always knew you would become the super successful person you are today,” Hendel wrote.
Also by Rhian Lubin
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 36 articles by Rhian Lubin →

Topics

America Democrats Republicans White House the Supreme Court

Subjects

Democrats NORP · 5× America GPE · 4× White House ORG · 4× House ORG · 3× Musk PERSON · 3× Republican NORP · 3× Republicans NORP · 3× Senate ORG · 3× the Supreme Court ORG · 3× MAGA ORG · 2×

Narrative

The world’s richest man also claimed that if Democrats regain power, they will “make DC and Puerto Rico states to gain a strong majority in the Senate,” and “open the borders and legalize everyone living in America illegally to cement a permanent majority.”
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-30
🔮 Former White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt has joined MAGA figures in peddling Elon Musk’s conspiracy theories ahead of the midterms, including an alleged plot to change the Supreme Court that would render America a “permanent one-party state.”

Claims (20 extracted, 2 hedged)

Former White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt has joined MAGA figures in peddling Elon Musk’s conspiracy theories ahead of the midterms, including an alleged plot to change the Supreme Court that would render America a “permanent one-party state.” asserted
America → join → Court
As the polls are increasingly pointing to a Democratic blowout next week, Musk shared a post Friday on X listing his “biggest concern[s]” if Republicans lose control of the House, Senate, and White House in 2028. asserted
Republicans → point → 2028
Musk claimed that if Democrats are successful, they will “increase the size of the Supreme Court to gain an immediate majority.” asserted
they → claim → majority
“This would result in America becoming a permanent one-party state and the end of democracy in any meaningful sense of the word,” he claimed. asserted
he → result → word
Leavitt, who left her White House role earlier this year to focus on her family, reshared the post to her Instagram stories and said, “This is what’s at stake. asserted
what → leave → stake
Some prominent Democrats have called for overhauling the Supreme Court, currently stacked in favor of the Republicans with a 6-3 conservative majority. asserted
Democrats → call → majority
For example, Rhode Island Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse proposed term limits for justices, and Rep. Jamie Raskin and former Vice President Kamala Harris have supported the idea of increasing the number of justices from nine to 13. asserted
Raskin → propose → 13
If Democrats take control of both chambers of Congress, they could put four new justices on the court and swing the majority, if the numbers increase to 13. uncertain
numbers → take → 13
Supreme Court scholars have noted that reform is unlikely. asserted
reform → note → ?
The path to overhauling the highest court in the land is complex and would likely face enormous challenges, even if the Democrats retake the House and Senate next week. asserted
Democrats → overhaul → House
The world’s richest man also claimed that if Democrats regain power, they will “make DC and Puerto Rico states to gain a strong majority in the Senate,” and “open the borders and legalize everyone living in America illegally to cement a permanent majority.” asserted
states → claim → majority
He pushed the theories to warn his 241.5 million X followers that they could stop it from happening if they voted Republican on November 3. uncertain
they → push → November
“All that is needed to ensure this doesn’t happen is 51 Republican senators in 2029,” he said. asserted
he → need → 2029
“That is why you should vote for Republican senators this election.” asserted
you → vote → senators
“It would be game over for America,” added Musk, who sewed chaos at the beginning of President Donald Trump’s second term overseeing the now-defunct Department of Government Efficiency. asserted
who → add → Efficiency
Other MAGA figures jumped on his post and amplified it to their supporters. asserted
figures → jump → supporters
“Pay attention folks,” said the president’s son, Don Jr. “The most important post in the history of X right here,” said conservative commentator Benny Johnson. asserted
Johnson → pay → X
Former deputy FBI director Dan Bongino simply said: “Please Read This.” asserted
Bongino → say → This
Katie Miller, married to deputy White House chief of staff Stephen Miller, also reshared Leavitt’s post. asserted
Miller → marry → post
In September, Republicans attempted to permanently limit the number of justices to nine but the amendment was struck down in the House. asserted
amendment → attempt → House
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