Poll shows Hochul adding to lead over Blakeman in New York governor's race: 'Running out of time'

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Betz, B. (2026, October 28). Poll shows Hochul adding to lead over Blakeman in New York governor's race: 'Running out of time'. Fox News. https://www.foxnews.com/politics/poll-shows-hochul-adding-lead-blakeman-new-york-governors-race-running-out-time

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Fox News · collected 2026-10-28 · by Bradford Betz

Quick Summary

A recent Siena Research Institute poll shows New York Governor Kathy Hochul leading her Republican challenger, Bruce Blakeman, by 54% to 40%, with only one week until the election. This represents a widening lead from September when Hochul had a five-point advantage. The poll highlights Hochul's growing support across key demographics and regions, indicating that Blakeman is facing difficulties in closing the gap as Election Day approaches.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-28, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

As of October 28, 2026, Kathy Hochul, the Democratic incumbent governor of New York, has expanded her lead over Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman in polls ahead of the upcoming election. According to a Siena Research Institute survey released on that day, Hochul leads with 54% support compared to Blakeman's 40%, marking a 14-point margin and an increase from their September poll where she had a 50% to 41% lead.

The poll indicates that while the race is closely contested in upstate New York and the downstate suburbs, Hochul holds a significant advantage among independent voters by 11 points. Siena pollster Steven Greenberg noted Blakeman's struggle to gain support where Republicans typically need strong margins to compete statewide, given Democrats' voter registration edge of approximately two-to-one.

Despite Hochul’s lead, there remains uncertainty among voters about whether either candidate can effectively make life more affordable for average New Yorkers.

Written for “Hochul Leads Blakeman In New York Governor Race” on 2026-10-28, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
This article does not take a side on a contested political question, so it has no leaning score. That is an answer rather than a gap: a match report or a rescue can be warmly or critically written without being left or right, and scoring it anyway is how approval of a subject gets recorded as a political position.
No political leaning scored for article 111842 · logged 2026-10-28

Story

📰 Hochul Leads Blakeman In New York Governor Race
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 5% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
New York Post
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 3% hedged 1 of 31 📰 publisher trust 66
“Article A describes a joint campaign appearance between Hochul and Mamdani, while Article B reports on poll results showing Hochul's lead in the governor's race. They describe different events.”
New York Post
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 11 📰 publisher trust 66
“The articles describe different events: one covers Bruce Blakeman's campaign stops in NYC, while the other reports on a poll showing Kathy Hochul's lead over Blakeman.”
Fox News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 3% hedged 1 of 38 📰 publisher trust 70
“Article A describes a rally and criticism against Kathy Hochul from disaffected Democrats, while Article B reports on polling data showing Hochul's lead over Blakeman in the gubernatorial race.”
New York Post
⚖️ Leans strongly right 🔴 10% hedged 2 of 21 📰 publisher trust 66
“Article A describes a campaign rally where Blakeman criticizes Hochul, while Article B reports on a poll showing Hochul's lead over Blakeman. These are different events occurring at distinct times.”
New York Post
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 22 📰 publisher trust 66
“Article A describes a campaign rally where Mayor Mamdani and Governor Hochul criticized Trump and Blakeman, while Article B reports on a poll showing Governor Hochul's lead over Bruce Blakeman. These are different events.”
New York Post
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 11 📰 publisher trust 66
“Article A discusses Kathy Hochul's ranking as the worst governor in terms of freedom, while Article B reports on a poll showing her lead over her Republican challenger in the gubernatorial race.”
New York Post
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 6% hedged 1 of 18 📰 publisher trust 66
“Article A reports on a campaign ad warning about potential tax hikes, while Article B discusses polling results showing Hochul's lead over Blakeman in the gubernatorial race.”
New York Post
⚖️ Leans strongly right 🔴 7% hedged 4 of 55 📰 publisher trust 66
“The articles discuss different aspects of the election: one focuses on Hochul's relationship with Mayor Mamdani and their stance on Israel, while the other reports on a poll showing Hochul's lead over Blakeman.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

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Claims extracted
20
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
5%
1 of 20 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
70/100
Fox News's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-28 · how these are computed

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Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
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Publisher

Fox News · 5726 article(s) · 10 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 10 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Bradford Betz
10 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 "But with only a week to go, Blakeman and Hochul are running virtually evenly upstate and in the downstate suburbs, while Hochul has an 11-point lead with independents," Greenberg said, noting that Blakeman is "quickly running out of time to close a gap that is growing rather than narrowing." Despite Hochul's overall advantage, the survey revealed uncertainty among voters over whether either candidate would make life more affordable for average New Yorkers.
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Also by Bradford Betz
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 10 articles by Bradford Betz →

Topics

Democratic Hochul New York Republican Siena

Subjects

Hochul PERSON · 11× Blakeman PERSON · 8× Democratic NORP · 3× New York GPE · 3× Republican NORP · 3× Republicans NORP · 3× Siena ORG · 3× Greenberg PERSON · 2× Bruce Blakeman PERSON · 1× Kathy Hochul PERSON · 1×

Narrative

"But with only a week to go, Blakeman and Hochul are running virtually evenly upstate and in the downstate suburbs, while Hochul has an 11-point lead with independents," Greenberg said, noting that Blakeman is "quickly running out of time to close a gap that is growing rather than narrowing." Despite Hochul's overall advantage, the survey revealed uncertainty among voters over whether either candidate would make life more affordable for average New Yorkers.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-28
🔮 "But with only a week to go, Blakeman and Hochul are running virtually evenly upstate and in the downstate suburbs, while Hochul has an 11-point lead with independents," Greenberg said, noting that Blakeman is "quickly running out of time to close a gap that is growing rather than narrowing." Despite Hochul's overall advantage, the survey revealed uncertainty among voters over whether either candidate would make life more affordable for average New Yorkers.

Claims (20 extracted, 1 hedged)

New York Gov. Kathy Hochul expanded her lead over Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman to double digits in a new poll showing the Democratic incumbent pulling further ahead in the final days before Election Day. asserted
incumbent → expand → Day
Hochul leads the Nassau County executive 54% to 40% among likely New York voters, according to a Siena Research Institute survey released Wednesday. uncertain
Hochul → lead → survey
The 14-point margin is five points wider than her lead in September, when she led 50% to 41%. asserted
she → lead → %
"Heading into the final stretch, Hochul has a 14-point lead, with Blakeman quickly running out of time to close a gap that is growing rather than narrowing," Siena pollster Steven Greenberg said in a statement. asserted
Greenberg → head → statement
The poll also showed Blakeman struggling to establish an advantage in areas where Republicans typically need strong support to compete statewide. asserted
Republicans → show → support
The candidates are virtually tied in upstate New York and the downstate suburbs, while Hochul leads independent voters by 11 points. asserted
Hochul → tie → points
Republicans generally need strong margins in those regions and among independents to overcome Democrats' roughly two-to-one voter registration advantage and their dominance in New York City, Greenberg noted. asserted
Greenberg → need → City
"But with only a week to go, Blakeman and Hochul are running virtually evenly upstate and in the downstate suburbs, while Hochul has an 11-point lead with independents," Greenberg said, noting that Blakeman is "quickly running out of time to close a gap that is growing rather than narrowing." Despite Hochul's overall advantage, the survey revealed uncertainty among voters over whether either candidate would make life more affordable for average New Yorkers. asserted
life → go → Yorkers
A plurality of voters, 35%, said neither candidate would make life more affordable, compared with 30% who chose Hochul and 27% who selected Blakeman. asserted
who → say → Blakeman
Hochul also reached a new milestone in the survey, with 51% of likely voters viewing her favorably compared with 45% who viewed her unfavorably. asserted
who → reach → her
It marked the first time a majority of voters had viewed her favorably in Siena polling during her five years as governor. asserted
majority → mark → governor
Her job approval rating also rose to 51%, up from 48% in September. asserted
rating → rise → September
Blakeman, meanwhile, received a 39% favorable rating and a 40% unfavorable rating. asserted
Blakeman → receive → rating
The survey found a sizable gender gap, with Hochul leading Blakeman by 23 points among women and six points among men. asserted
Hochul → find → men
She also led among Black voters, 81% to 16%, while White voters were closely divided. asserted
voters → lead → voters
The poll also found that 68% of likely voters believed Hochul would win the election, compared with 23% who predicted a Blakeman victory. asserted
who → find → victory
Among Republicans surveyed, 40% said they expected Hochul to win. asserted
Hochul → survey → Republicans
In New York's other statewide races, Democratic Attorney General Letitia James led Republican Saritha Komatireddy 54% to 39%, while Democratic state Comptroller Tom DiNapoli led Republican Joseph Hernandez 59% to 32%. asserted
DiNapoli → lead → Hernandez
The Siena poll was conducted Oct. 19–22 among 807 likely New York voters through telephone and text-to-web surveys. asserted
poll → conduct → surveys
It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.1 percentage points. asserted
It → have → points
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