NFL Week 7 predictions, best bets: Picks against the spread for every game

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Cite

Leboff, M. (2026, October 25). NFL Week 7 predictions, best bets: Picks against the spread for every game. New York Post. https://nypost.com/2026/10/25/betting/nfl-week-7-predictions-best-bets-picks-against-the-spread-for-every-game-2/

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New York Post · collected 2026-10-25 · by Michael Leboff

Quick Summary

This article provides predictions and analysis for NFL Week 7 games, focusing on the matchup between the New York Jets and Miami Dolphins. The Jets are struggling despite some promising performances from key players like Garrett Wilson and Kenyon Sadiq; their issues stem largely from excessive penalties and ineffective coaching decisions under Frank Reich. In contrast, the Dolphins enter the game winless but might benefit from recent roster changes and a bye week. The prediction favors the Jets to win by more than 4.5 points.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-25, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

As of October 25, 2026, the New York Jets entered Week 7 with a record of 2-4, which aligns with preseason expectations given their wins against weaker teams like the Titans and Browns and losses to stronger opponents such as the Packers, Lions, Bears, and Patriots. Despite this, there has been significant criticism aimed at the coaching staff over issues like excessive penalties and poor performance in critical game moments; specifically, they have been outscored 100-6 by their opponents during the last two minutes of the first half under head coach Aaron Glenn's tenure. The team, however, boasts improved talent with multiple players capable of breaking games open on both offense and defense, suggesting potential for future improvement.

Written for “NFL Week 7 Predictions” on 2026-10-25, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
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No political leaning scored for article 105538 · logged 2026-10-25

Story

📰 NFL Week 7 Predictions
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52
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
4%
2 of 52 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
66/100
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1
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New York Post · 13716 article(s) · 34 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 34 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Michael Leboff
117 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 The record of 2-4 is probably what most people would have expected — with the wins predictably coming against the Titans and Browns, and the losses to the Packers, Lions, Bears, and Patriots.
🔮 You may not have had this one circled on your calendar at the beginning of September, but Saturday’s nightcap between No. 10 Utah and No. 14 Houston could wind up as one of the most important games of the regular season.
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🔮 That said, I don’t suspect the offense will be able to do enough damage to justify this total.
🔮 Not only did Florida State easily cover the three-score spread against newly minted No. 1 Miami in Week 7, but the Seminoles gave the Hurricanes all they could handle in a controversial double-overtime defeat.
🔮 There are a number of titanic matchups, but the one that could end up carrying the most weight is Utah vs. Houston in the late window.
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🔮 Tulane’s upset of Memphis in Week 7 completely shook up the standings and opened the door for plenty of other contenders to gatecrash the party. Army (4-2, 3-1) could stand to benefit from Memphis’ demise.
🔮 How to use the Kalshi referral code NYPMAX55 New traders can sign up for the flagship prediction market to forecast contracts on football games, international soccer matches, women’s playoff basketball, and playoff baseball games. Getting the bonus is simple.
Also by Michael Leboff
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 117 articles by Michael Leboff →

Topics

Giants HOUSTON Jets TEXANS Titans

Subjects

Jets ORG · 5× Giants ORG · 2× HOUSTON GPE · 2× Reich PERSON · 2× TEXANS ORG · 2× Bears ORG · 1× Browns ORG · 1× Lions ORG · 1× Packers ORG · 1× Titans ORG · 1×

Narrative

Still, he has way more experience and a better supporting cast than does Tyler Shough, and the spread feels light enough even with the hook. MINNESOTA VIKINGS (-6.5) over Indianapolis Colts GM Chris Ballard has been canned, coach Shane Steichen is on the hot seat, Sauce Gardner is hurt, and there’s talk of a fire sale of Jonathan Taylor and Quenton Nelson.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-25
🔮 The record of 2-4 is probably what most people would have expected — with the wins predictably coming against the Titans and Browns, and the losses to the Packers, Lions, Bears, and Patriots.
2026-10-25 · New York Post
NFL Week 7 predictions, best bets: Picks against the spread for every game · assertive framing

Claims (52 extracted, 2 hedged)

The Jets certainly have had an interesting first six weeks of the 2026 season. asserted
Jets → have → season
The record of 2-4 is probably what most people would have expected — with the wins predictably coming against the Titans and Browns, and the losses to the Packers, Lions, Bears, and Patriots. asserted
wins → expect → Packers
Still, there’s been much consternation among the fans and criticism in the media about how they’ve gotten here. asserted
they → get → media
The talent level of the team clearly has risen since the beginning of 2025. asserted
level → rise → 2025
They should have enough game-breakers on offense and playmakers on defense to have a chance to win every week and at least get themselves on the “In the Hunt” graphic for the playoffs. asserted
They → have → playoffs
We’ve seen 100-yard games from Garrett Wilson, Kenyon Sadiq, Omar Cooper Jr., Breece Hall and Braelon Allen, a three-sack day from David Bailey and even an interception from Minkah Fitzpatrick. asserted
We → see → Fitzpatrick
Most of the arrows have been directed at the coaching staff. asserted
Most → direct → staff
The debilitating penalties keep coming — although the one on Tim Patrick that nullified Cooper’s touchdown in New England was a travesty. asserted
that → come → England
And one stat is so bad, it’s mind-boggling: The Jets have been outscored 100-6 in the final two minutes of the first half over Aaron Glenn’s first 23 games. asserted
Jets → ’ → games
A lot of people have already written off offensive coordinator Frank Reich as a dinosaur who’s still coaching in the game that was played 15 years ago. asserted
that → write → game
He does appear married to the shotgun run up the middle in short yardage that continues to produce shorter yardage than the Jets need. asserted
Jets → appear → yardage
But I still have some hope for Reich. asserted
I → have → Reich
He deserves some of the credit for the breakout performances a few players have had. asserted
players → deserve → performances
As the offense gets a couple of more players back (Adonai Mitchell, Dylan Parham), I believe Reich will do a better job of getting the ball to Wilson and Sadiq, and using the other weapons to better effect. asserted
Reich → get → effect
The Dolphins come in 0-5 but are rested off a bye. asserted
Dolphins → come → bye
They have some good rookies who will be dying to get their first win, but with De’Von Achane out and Jaylen Waddle in Denver, there’s not much left to their offense. asserted
Achane → have → offense
Miami has scored more than 13 points just once in five games. asserted
Miami → score → games
If it’s not, back up the U-Hauls to the coaching wing at One Jets Drive. asserted
it → ’ → Drive
New York Giants (+10.5) over HOUSTON TEXANS This line steamed from nine points into double digits. asserted
line → steam → digits
Not sure why there’s so much love for the 2-4 Texans, who should have blown their game vs. the Jaguars last Sunday in London on C.J. Stroud’s late-game end zone interception. asserted
who → ’ → interception
There’s also not much respect for Houston having to play the week after going across the pond and back. asserted
Houston → ’ → pond
The Giants’ recent tightrope walk — two final-play interceptions for wins and a colossal Commanders blunder for a tie — finally caught up with them last week. asserted
walk → catch → them
But I like what John Harbaugh is doing in these early days, holding Cam Skattebo accountable and sending Najee Harris packing for complaining about his carries. asserted
Skattebo → like → carries
Eventually Harbaugh will have the Giants team he wants. asserted
he → have → team
In the meantime, I think he’ll have it ready to compete alongside J.J. McCarthy and stay within this huge number. asserted
it → think → number
Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5) over New Orleans Saints From his postgame comments last Sunday, it didn’t sound as if Aaron Rodgers wanted any part of traveling to France to play football amid the violence that’s happening there. asserted
that → sound → violence
Still, he has way more experience and a better supporting cast than does Tyler Shough, and the spread feels light enough even with the hook. MINNESOTA VIKINGS (-6.5) over Indianapolis Colts GM Chris Ballard has been canned, coach Shane Steichen is on the hot seat, Sauce Gardner is hurt, and there’s talk of a fire sale of Jonathan Taylor and Quenton Nelson. asserted
Gardner → have → Taylor
Throw in that Daniel Jones will be under siege by Brian Flores’ defense and Justin Jefferson should be healthy, and it adds up to a Skol picnic. asserted
it → throw → picnic
ATLANTA FALCONS (+2.5) over San Francisco 49ers This is one of the worst NFL betting situations imaginable for the 49ers — an undefeated West Coast team playing a 10 a.m. body-clock game after a Monday night overtime win. asserted
This → play → win
While that dynamic is factored into the spread, which is light for a 6-0 vs. a 2-4 team, a first loss is coming for Kyle Shanahan’s team sometime soon. asserted
loss → factor → team
Wondering if that’s a “Win of the Month” type thing for them, though. asserted
that → wonder → them
The Browns are coming off a win over the Ravens and could have five in a row if not for a fumbled punt snap against the Jets. uncertain
Browns → come → Jets
CAROLINA PANTHERS (-3) over Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tampa Bay blew a 16-3, fourth-quarter lead to the Steelers last week. asserted
Bay → blow → Steelers
Was the lead a sign they can have at least some success against a good team, or the result just the dying coughs of the Todd Bowles regime? asserted
result → die → regime
The Panthers, who score 29.2 ppg, will help provide the answer. asserted
who → score → answer
Cincinnati Bengals (+1.5) over BALTIMORE RAVENS This line flipped four points from Ravens -3 to +1, then back to -1.5 when Lamar Jackson practiced Thursday. asserted
Jackson → flip → -1.5
Not sure Tyler Huntley was the only reason they scored just 10 points last week in a loss to the Browns. asserted
they → score → Browns
Willing to back Joe Burrow here off a bye against a Baltimore team that’s had adventures each week after blowing out the Colts in the opener. asserted
that → will → opener
Denver Broncos (-4.5) over ARIZONA CARDINALS The Cardinals had given up 37 ppg over four straight losses before beating the Rams at SoFi, 18-16. asserted
Cardinals → give → SoFi
Figuring that result had more to do with the Rams’ plight. asserted
result → figure → plight
…and 12 more, not listed.
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