College football Week 8 predictions: Best bets, picks against the spread

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Kussoy, H. (2026, October 23). College football Week 8 predictions: Best bets, picks against the spread. New York Post. https://nypost.com/2026/10/23/betting/college-football-week-8-predictions-best-bets-picks-against-the-spread/

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New York Post · collected 2026-10-23 · by Howie Kussoy

Quick Summary

This article provides college football Week 8 predictions, focusing on key matchups and top performers. It highlights Arch Manning's recent struggles at Texas despite leading them to ten wins last season, while emphasizing Trinidad Chambliss’s rise as a crucial backup quarterback for Ole Miss. The piece also recommends betting on Miami (-20.5) against Pittsburgh, Indiana (-7) over Michigan, and Cincinnati (+10.5) against Texas Tech, based on current team performances and statistics.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-23, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

As of October 23, 2026, Arch Manning, quarterback for Texas, is struggling despite leading the team to ten wins in his first season as a starter. Recent games have seen a drop in performance with three fourth-quarter turnovers contributing to back-to-back upsets. His confidence and playmaking ability seem diminished compared to earlier in the year when he produced 19 total touchdowns and only two interceptions over the final six games of the season. In contrast, his uncle Eli Manning's early NFL career included similar struggles before achieving success, suggesting it may still be too early to fully assess Arch's long-term potential. Texas's offense now ranks 89th nationally in yards per play and Manning has averaged under 200 passing yards over the past five games.

Written for “College Football Week 8 Picks” on 2026-10-23, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 College Football Week 8 Picks
Sports · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 5% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Toronto Star
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 10% hedged 3 of 29 📰 publisher trust 64
“Article A discusses Arch Manning's current struggles leading Texas against Ole Miss, while Article B provides historical context and predictions for Manning's performance, covering different aspects of his career.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

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Claims extracted
44
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
5%
2 of 44 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
66/100
New York Post's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Sports
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-23 · how these are computed

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Publisher

New York Post · 13251 article(s) · 33 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 33 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Howie Kussoy
31 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 It IS too early to know who Arch Manning will become.
🔮 “I would say they’re on top of it. …
🔮 If the names and numbers were stripped from the back of every Blueshirt, it would’ve been easy to believe that Igor Shesterkin still stood between the pipes.
🔮 The next chance comes Thursday in Toronto, where the Rangers will attempt to improve upon their 1-3-1 road record this season.
🔮 Against the winless Dolphins, the final two minutes might not matter.
🔮 Aaron Glenn claims he wasn’t confused — but we were. Trailing 17-3 at halftime of Sunday’s loss at New England, the Jets head coach went to the locker room looking worse than his team after an interview with CBS sideline reporter Aditi Kinkhabwala in which Glenn appeared to mistakenly state that his offense would start the second half with the ball.
🔮 But who will John Harbaugh task with keeping them there?
🔮 But offensive coordinator Frank Reich will remember Smith’s performance for his “creative thinking” in the final minutes, when he set up Braelon Allen for a 22-yard game-winning touchdown run on third-and-9.
🔮 “If you’re not making kicks, they’re gonna try and find someone that will.”
🔮 In April, David Bailey could only imagine one thing better than being taken with the No. 2 overall pick in the NFL Draft.
Also by Howie Kussoy
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 31 articles by Howie Kussoy →

Topics

MIAMI NFL Ole Miss Pittsburgh Texas

Subjects

Manning PERSON · 4× AUBURN ORG · 3× LSU ORG · 3× Ole Miss ORG · 3× Eli PERSON · 2× MIAMI ORG · 2× Pittsburgh ORG · 2× SMU ORG · 2× Texas ORG · 2× Arch Manning PERSON · 1×

Narrative

CINCINNATI (+10.5) over Texas Tech The Red Raiders defense has forced more than two turnovers per game, but the Bearcats are tied for fifth in the nation in fewest giveaways per game, thanks to senior JC French IV, who hasn’t thrown an interception — and is completing over 70 percent of his passes — in his first year in Cincy.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-23
🔮 It IS too early to know who Arch Manning will become.
2026-10-23 · New York Post
College football Week 8 predictions: Best bets, picks against the spread · assertive framing

Claims (44 extracted, 2 hedged)

It IS too early to know who Arch Manning will become. asserted
Manning → know → ?
As a junior at Ole Miss, Eli threw 15 interceptions and ranked 45th in college football in quarterback rating. asserted
Eli → throw → rating
As a fourth-year NFL starter, he tied for the most interceptions in the league and had never won a playoff game before one of the most improbable title runs of all time. asserted
he → tie → time
In Arch’s first season as a starter, he led Texas to 10 wins — including three over top 10 teams — producing 19 total touchdowns and two interceptions in the final six games of the season. asserted
he → lead → season
The talent that allowed him to guide a comeback win over Ohio State hasn’t left, but his confidence, poise and awareness have vanished in the past month. asserted
confidence → allow → month
Back-to-back upsets were sealed by Manning’s three fourth-quarter turnovers. asserted
upsets → seal → turnovers
Texas was in position for losses that never should have happened because of an offense that ranks 89th in the nation in yards per play (5.2), led by a fourth-year quarterback averaging under 200 yards passing in his past five games. asserted
that → happen → games
Before Manning was the nation’s top high school recruit, Trinidad Chambliss was a zero-star prospect who didn’t receive any FBS scholarship offers. asserted
who → receive → offers
He ended up at Division II Ferris State, where he won two national championships, then became the backup at Ole Miss. asserted
he → end → championships
Only after an injury to Austin Simmons did the Rebels stumble into the most dynamic quarterback in the country, who then led them to within two wins of a national championship. asserted
who → stumble → championship
When this season began, Manning and Chambliss were two of the top three Heisman favorites. asserted
Manning → begin → favorites
The Ole Miss superstar remains in the same position — Manning now holds 300/1 odds — leading a top 10 offense to 37.5 points per game Who would choose the chosen one now? asserted
Who → remain → one
Who would bet against the player who has willed himself into a future first-round pick? asserted
who → bet → pick
Who would even think of giving points to Ole Miss (+3.5)? MIAMI (-20.5) over Pittsburgh The Panthers have lost back-to-back games since Pat Narduzzi’s latest unbecoming rant — “We’ve got a hell of a football team. asserted
We → think → team
Now any of those voters out there, if they wake their a–es up, they might figure that out” — and brings the nation’s 122nd-ranked pass defense to a matchup against Heisman candidate Darian Mensah. uncertain
they → wake → Mensah
Last November, Pittsburgh lost 38-7 at Miami. asserted
Pittsburgh → lose → Miami
Indiana (-7) over MICHIGAN It doesn’t matter who the Wolverines put under center. asserted
Wolverines → matter → center
The Big House has had almost no impact this season and their second-ranked defense has been propped up by a series of weak opposing offenses (ranked 123rd, 114th, 137th, 85th, 57th and 116th in the nation). asserted
defense → have → nation
After Curt Cignetti’s most recent regular-season loss, the Hoosiers responded with a 66-0 beatdown of Purdue. asserted
Hoosiers → respond → Purdue
Following his only regular-season loss in 2023, James Madison won by 42. asserted
Madison → follow → 42
CINCINNATI (+10.5) over Texas Tech The Red Raiders defense has forced more than two turnovers per game, but the Bearcats are tied for fifth in the nation in fewest giveaways per game, thanks to senior JC French IV, who hasn’t thrown an interception — and is completing over 70 percent of his passes — in his first year in Cincy. asserted
who → force → Cincy
I wonder where Brendan Sorsby will be watching. asserted
Sorsby → wonder → ?
LSU (-7.5) over AUBURN Even if Auburn wasn’t coming down from the high of its upset over top-ranked Georgia, LSU’s talent would overwhelm the hosts in a must-win game for Lane Kiffin’s group, which leads the SEC in total offense and total defense. asserted
which → come → offense
Auburn allows the seventh-highest sack percentage (10.7). asserted
Auburn → allow → percentage
Excluding a matchup with FCS Cal Poly, none of the Mustangs’ seven most recent games — dating back to a loss against Cal last season — have been decided by more than 10 points despite five matchups against unranked teams in that span. asserted
none → exclude → span
ILLINOIS (+8.5) over Oregon The Ducks’ underwhelming campaign continues with a long trip, uncertainty at quarterback and the recent arrest of star receiver Evan Stewart. asserted
campaign → continue → Stewart
The Illini are coming off a bye and are 7-3 against the spread as a double-digit underdog under Bret Bielema. asserted
Illini → come → Bielema
UCF (+6.5) over BYU The Cougars are an obvious letdown candidate, traveling more than 2,300 miles after pulling off their biggest win in decades. asserted
Cougars → travel → decades
The Knights (3-0 at home, 3-1 against the spread as an underdog) are well rested, have a top 25 run defense and made a pair of ranked opponents (Houston, Oklahoma State) sweat in back-to-back games. asserted
pair → rest → games
Michigan State (+13.5) over UCLA The undefeated Bruins’ ceiling remains capped by the season-ending injury to Nico Iamaleava. asserted
ceiling → cap → Iamaleava
UCLA has averaged four points per quarter since he went down. asserted
he → average → quarter
SOUTH CAROLINA (-2.5) over Tennessee Look beyond the Vols’ upset of Alabama and you’ll find a team that nearly lost to 13th-place Arkansas and Auburn, and cannot trust quarterback George MacIntyre, who has thrown for one touchdown and three interceptions in two career starts. asserted
who → look → starts
Meanwhile, LaNorris Sellers is returning to NFL radars after leading the Gamecocks to a convincing win at Florida and an overtime loss to No. 12 Kentucky while producing seven total touchdowns, no interceptions and 167 total rushing yards. asserted
Sellers → return → touchdowns
ALABAMA (-13.5) over Texas A&M To paraphrase Anthony Soprano: If Marcel Reed regresses any further, he’ll be back in the womb. asserted
he → paraphrase → womb
The senior quarterback has nearly as many interceptions as touchdowns this season, is completing under 45 percent of his passes on the road, is leading an offense that ranks 125th in the nation in yards per play and has scored a total of 12 points in two SEC road games. asserted
that → have → games
Iowa (-6.5) over MINNESOTA The Hawkeyes — who are coming off a bye and have won the past two meetings by a combined score of 72-17 — have handled their business on the road, winning at Michigan and Washington. asserted
who → come → Michigan
Kirk Ferentz — who is 8-1 all-time against Minnesota coach P.J. Fleck — hasn’t lost in Minneapolis since 2014. asserted
who → lose → 2014
KENTUCKY (-10.5) over Vanderbilt The first-place Wildcats have won five straight games, going 6-1 against the spread this season. asserted
Wildcats → win → spread
A primetime kickoff will produce an electric crowd for this unlikely playoff contender, but a nightmare for Vanderbilt’s 92nd-ranked defense and freshman quarterback Jared Curtis, who has two touchdowns and five interceptions in SEC play. asserted
who → produce → play
Check out the best sports betting sites and apps USC (-3) over WISCONSIN The Trojans have already survived two cross-country trips, including a Penn State whiteout win in front of 114,000-plus. asserted
Trojans → check → 114,000
…and 4 more, not listed.
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