Hegseth prohibits troops from using ‘nonpublic information’ to bet on prediction markets in new directive

Read the original at New York Post ↗
Cite

Associated Press. (2026, October 23). Hegseth prohibits troops from using ‘nonpublic information’ to bet on prediction markets in new directive. New York Post. https://nypost.com/2026/10/22/us-news/hegseth-prohibits-troops-from-using-nonpublic-information-to-bet-on-prediction-markets-in-new-directive/

Dated from the outlet's own feed. Check the original for its byline.

New York Post · collected 2026-10-23 · by Associated Press

Quick Summary

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has issued a directive banning U.S. troops from betting on prediction markets using any nonpublic information, both classified and unclassified but private. The move follows an incident where a Special Forces soldier used insider details about a mission against Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro to win over $400,000 in bets. Hegseth warns that such activities can compromise operational security and affect judgment. Violators could face administrative punishment or criminal charges under military law or federal statutes.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-23, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

Summary unavailable.

Written for “Pentagon Bets Ban Directive” on 2026-10-23, grounded in this article and the 1 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
This article does not take a side on a contested political question, so it has no leaning score. That is an answer rather than a gap: a match report or a rescue can be warmly or critically written without being left or right, and scoring it anyway is how approval of a subject gets recorded as a political position.
No political leaning scored for article 100869 · logged 2026-10-23

Story

📰 Pentagon Bets Ban Directive
Politics · 2 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 21% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Toronto Star · 0.93 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 3 📰 publisher trust 64
“Both articles describe Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth issuing a new directive on October 22, 2026, banning troops from using nonpublic information to bet in prediction markets.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
14
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
21%
3 of 14 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
66/100
New York Post's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
2
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-23 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

New York Post · 13104 article(s) · 33 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 33 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Associated Press
493 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
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Wire or desk byline, not an individual reporter.
Also by Associated Press
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 493 articles by Associated Press →

Topics

Associated Press Defense Pentagon Polymarket The Associated Press

Subjects

Hegseth PERSON · 3× Pentagon ORG · 2× Polymarket ORG · 2× American Service ORG · 1× Associated Press ORG · 1× CBS News ORG · 1× Defense ORG · 1× Department ORG · 1× Pete Hegseth PERSON · 1× The Associated Press ORG · 1×

Narrative

The one-page document, which was reported earlier by CBS News, comes months after a U.S. Special Forces soldier involved in the military operation to capture then-Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro was charged with using classified information about the mission to win more than $400,000 on the prediction market Polymarket.
framing: mixed · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-23
🔮 It says violators could be subject to administrative punishment and criminal charges under the Uniform Code of Military Justice or federal law.

Claims (14 extracted, 3 hedged)

Hegseth prohibits troops from using ‘nonpublic information’ to bet on prediction markets in new directive By Associated Press asserted
Hegseth → prohibit → Press
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has issued a new directive telling troops they cannot use “nonpublic information” to make bets on prediction markets. asserted
they → issue → markets
“Our enemies watch movements in these markets,” Hegseth wrote in a memo dated Tuesday and reviewed by The Associated Press. asserted
Hegseth → watch → Press
“When an American Service member, intelligence professional, or other Department civilian engages in a financial transaction on a military outcome, they create a signal.” asserted
they → engage → signal
The one-page document, which was reported earlier by CBS News, comes months after a U.S. Special Forces soldier involved in the military operation to capture then-Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro was charged with using classified information about the mission to win more than $400,000 on the prediction market Polymarket. asserted
soldier → report → market
The memo stresses that troops are forbidden from using both classified and unclassified but nonpublic information to make trades on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi. asserted
troops → stress → Polymarket
It says violators could be subject to administrative punishment and criminal charges under the Uniform Code of Military Justice or federal law. uncertain
violators → say → Justice
“Beyond operational security, financial stakes can warp judgment,” Hegseth said in the memo. asserted
Hegseth → warp → memo
“A logistician with money riding on a strike date has an interest in that date. asserted
logistician → rid → date
An analyst with a position on an outcome has an interest in that outcome.” asserted
analyst → have → outcome
When asked about the new policy, a defense official said the Pentagon had no other information to offer beyond the memo. asserted
Pentagon → ask → memo
In April, 38-year-old Master Sgt. Gannon Ken Van Dyke was charged by federal prosecutors and federal regulators with using his access as a Special Forces member to place a series of bets that totaled more than $32,500 on when Maduro might be removed from power. uncertain
Maduro → charge → power
According to the federal complaint in his case, he placed those bets between Dec. 30 and Jan. 2, with the vast majority occurring the night of Jan. 2 — just hours before the first missiles would fall on Caracas. uncertain
missiles → accord → Caracas
However, the issue of government officials and employees using their access to place bets on prediction markets is not confined to the Pentagon. asserted
officials → use → Pentagon
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