Fake pollsters and bogus polls becoming a real issue in U.S. midterms

Read the original at National Post ↗
Cite

AFP. (2026, October 23). Fake pollsters and bogus polls becoming a real issue in U.S. midterms. National Post. https://nationalpost.com/news/world/fake-pollsters-bogus-polls-us-midterms

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National Post · collected 2026-10-23 · by AFP

Quick Summary

A U.S. polling firm called Wedgewood Polls admitted to fabricating most of its data, causing significant controversy ahead of the midterm elections. The fake polls affected political campaigns, media coverage, and public perception; for instance, Michigan Senate candidate Mallory McMorrow experienced a drop in donations and morale following misleading poll results attributed to Wedgewood. Major polling aggregators and news outlets, including The New York Times, have removed Wedgewood’s data from their records. This incident highlights growing concerns about the use of AI tools to create fake polls, which are challenging to identify and can undermine public trust in election polling.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-23, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

A sham polling firm called Wedgewood Polls publicly admitted to fabricating data after being exposed by election analysts at FiftyPlusOne. The fake polls had a significant impact on Michigan’s Senate race, where Mallory McMorrow dropped out of the race following a fabricated poll showing her support plummeting into single digits. This revelation comes months after another polling firm, Median Strategies, was caught fabricating surveys in other elections. Wedgewood claimed their experiment aimed to highlight the ease with which fake polls can gain credibility and influence public perception. The scandal has raised concerns about the vetting process for polling data and its impact on election outcomes, especially as fast-evolving AI tools may facilitate easier fabrication of results.

Written for “Fake Polls In Elections” on 2026-10-23, grounded in this article and the 2 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The model judged this article politically coded and scored it +0.35, but all 2 of its quote(s) are attributed speech - words the article quotes from someone, not the article's own narration, so the score is not published.
Written under an earlier scoring contract, which gave a paragraph rather than checkable quotes. Re-analysing this article replaces it.
Leaning score withheld for article 100811: attributed speech only · logged 2026-10-23

Story

📰 Fake Polls In Elections
Politics · 3 article(s) covering the same event. Compare every outlet's account →

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 15% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
New York Post
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 3% hedged 1 of 30 📰 publisher trust 66
“Both articles discuss Wedgewood Polls admitting to releasing fake polls, which came to light after being investigated by FiftyPlusOne.”
The Straits Times
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 23% hedged 5 of 22 📰 publisher trust 68
“The articles discuss different issues related to misinformation in U.S. midterms, with Article A focusing on X Community Notes' failure to flag election falsehoods and Article B detailing a fabricated polling scandal.”
Fake polls are a real problem same event · 95%
Silver Bulletin
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 6% hedged 7 of 121
“Both articles discuss the scandal involving a fake polling firm called Wedgewood Polls, indicating they are reporting on the same specific incident.”
Washington Examiner · 0.91 cosine similarity
⚖️ Centre 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 2 📰 publisher trust 66
“Article A focuses on uncovering who was behind Wedgewood Polls, while Article B discusses the impact and admission of fake polls by Wedgewood Polls.”
Washington Examiner
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 50% hedged 1 of 2 📰 publisher trust 66
“While both articles discuss the fabrication of polls by Wedgewood Polls, Article A focuses on FCC Chairman Brendan Carr's warning to broadcasters, while Article B discusses the broader impact and context of fake pollsters in the midterms.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
20
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
15%
3 of 20 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Publisher signals
60/100
National Post's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
3
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-23 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

National Post · 1074 article(s) · 2 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 2 correction(s)

Who wrote this

AFP
672 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
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🔮 It said the firm had been experimenting on how easy it could be for “an entirely fabricated polling firm to gain traction” and “be taken seriously.”
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Wire or desk byline, not an individual reporter.
Also by AFP
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 672 articles by AFP →

Topics

FiftyPlusOne Michigan U.S. Wedgewood Wedgewood Polls

Subjects

Wedgewood ORG · 4× FiftyPlusOne ORG · 3× Brendan Carr PERSON · 1× Mallory McMorrow PERSON · 1× McMorrow PERSON · 1× Michigan GPE · 1× The New York Times ORG · 1× Times ORG · 1× U.S. GPE · 1× Wedgewood Polls ORG · 1×

Narrative

The case involving the firm Wedgewood Polls threatens to erode trust in independent pollsters in an already hyperpolarized political climate, particularly as political pundits voice concern that fast-evolving AI tools are making it easier to fabricate results.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-23
🔮 It said the firm had been experimenting on how easy it could be for “an entirely fabricated polling firm to gain traction” and “be taken seriously.”
2026-10-23 · National Post
Fake pollsters and bogus polls becoming a real issue in U.S. midterms · assertive framing

Claims (20 extracted, 3 hedged)

A self-described U.S. polling firm whose data was tracked by political campaigns and mainstream media has admitted that its polls were fabricated, in the second such scandal to stir controversy ahead of the midterm elections. asserted
polls → describe → elections
The case involving the firm Wedgewood Polls threatens to erode trust in independent pollsters in an already hyperpolarized political climate, particularly as political pundits voice concern that fast-evolving AI tools are making it easier to fabricate results. asserted
it → involve → results
The case came to light earlier this week after polling aggregator FiftyPlusOne contacted Wedgewood as part of an investigation into the firm’s surveys. asserted
FiftyPlusOne → come → surveys
Wedgewood responded with a statement on X admitting that “most” of its data had been made up. asserted
most → respond → data
It said the firm had been experimenting on how easy it could be for “an entirely fabricated polling firm to gain traction” and “be taken seriously.” uncertain
firm → say → traction
It turns out that Wedgewood, whose X account has since been taken down, was indeed taken seriously. asserted
account → turn → ?
Michigan Senate candidate Mallory McMorrow said after the group’s “poll” in late June showed her support in the single digits, she said “donations dried up,” volunteers were “devastated,” and the media “hounded” her “with calls to drop out.” asserted
media → say → calls
“It killed us,” McMorrow wrote on X. The bogus data, which covered high-profile races across several states, were also highlighted by major polling aggregators and news outlets, including The New York Times. asserted
which → kill → Times
In an editors’ note, The Times said its poll tracker database included 15 surveys released by Wedgewood between June and October, all of which have now been removed. asserted
all → say → which
Brendan Carr, chairman of the Federal Communications Commission, said there has been “a significant surge in entirely fake polls and suppression polls” designed to interfere with the electoral process. asserted
Carr → say → process
He urged the media not to amplify such hoaxes and engage in “news distortions.” asserted
He → urge → distortions
In August, another phony group called Median Strategies admitted to fabricating poll results, saying it was “created as a short term social experiment,” according to the Los Angeles Times. uncertain
it → call → Times
On Thursday, in a blog titled “more pollster funny business,” FiftyPlusOne said it will no longer collect polling data by another firm called SoCal Strategies, after an investigation that cast doubt on its authenticity. asserted
that → title → authenticity
The firm could not be reached for comment. uncertain
firm → reach → comment
SoCal Strategies’s website, X account, and Substack page appeared to have been taken offline. asserted
website → appear → ?
The revelations comes amid warnings that AI-powered tools were enabling the fakery. asserted
tools → come → fakery
“It’s getting easier to conduct low-quality polls — or fake them altogether,” FiftyPlusOne said. asserted
FiftyPlusOne → get → them
Sophisticated AI tools were also making it difficult to identify phony pollsters and made-up data, the American Association for Public Opinion Research said in a statement. asserted
Association → make → statement
“We are once again experiencing bad actors producing and distributing fabricated data and organizational information that undermines trust in public opinion and election polling,” said the association’s president, Mary Losch. asserted
president → experience → opinion
“It is important that we don’t conflate fraudulent activity like this with legitimate election polling.” asserted
we → conflate → polling
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